The BTC Football Trading Thread

Richard Latimer

@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@martin-walker said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

I have 60+ 72% any scoreline up to 76% with 0-0 removed

70+ 58% any scoreline up to 64% with 0-0 removed

Very very early days with mine but have 75% on the 0-0 scoreline for 64mins+

What’s the stat something like 8% of matches finish 0-0 certainly seems more when you’re on the wrong side but I still think it’s a great score to enter on.

That's because loads of them have had goals already in the first half. All apart from the ones where you decided there would be a FHG haha!

James Woodroffe

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@martin-walker said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

I have 60+ 72% any scoreline up to 76% with 0-0 removed

70+ 58% any scoreline up to 64% with 0-0 removed

Very very early days with mine but have 75% on the 0-0 scoreline for 64mins+

What’s the stat something like 8% of matches finish 0-0 certainly seems more when you’re on the wrong side but I still think it’s a great score to enter on.

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@james-woodroffe yes y can also dutch the 2-2 and over 3.5 later on

James Woodroffe

@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 it’s interesting that you trade the 2-1 scoreline. For ages I ignored it for late goals post 70 mins and then got frustrated by seeing the score go 3-1 or 2-2 mainly 3-1 it seemed. I was always a stickler for 0-0 1-0 1-1 0-1 but 2-1 or 1-2 certainly seems to be worth the trade if the value is there.

Richard Latimer

@martin-walker said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

I have 60+ 72% any scoreline up to 76% with 0-0 removed

70+ 58% any scoreline up to 64% with 0-0 removed

Very very early days with mine but have 75% on the 0-0 scoreline for 64mins+

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@finn-kristensen after covid 19 the profits are down for at least 20%
because the crowd do not push the hometeam anymore
a lot of hometeams are strong at home because the crowd
in holland feyenoord rotterdam example and away poor team haha

Finn Kristensen

@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@john-hurst i already trade for 5 years my strake rate is 80%
higher is not possible , variance also see it like poker AK all inn shove only 55% win vs random

Have you noticed any significant changes post lockdown?

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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 but for sure level score ht do it good for late goals

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@john-hurst i already trade for 5 years my strake rate is 80%
higher is not possible , variance also see it like poker AK all inn shove only 55% win vs random
was talking about 1 sh goal 80% 2 goals very difficult only 40-45%
then we need to dripback sh .... and remove red after goal depends the goaltime

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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 that said 0-1 /0-2 do it better then o-o games

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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 you used the filter for 10 years? wow. what is the strike rate?

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@john-hurst i have from 10 year database

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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 cheers, do you have much historical data for this or is it early testing?

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@john-hurst all when the difference is 0 or 1
means 0-0/1-1/2-1/1-2/0-1/1-0
and 0-2 games lay the away team and back the overs but now anymore because away teams are the favorite most of the time in empties stadions
but only the game in my selections

but most of the time 0-0/1-1/2-2 i scalp the fitst 15 min sh to have freebet for lay cs later on in the match

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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 what scorelines do you enter for sh goal

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@alan-steward both team to score 51% and probiality sh goal min 80% and teams that attaching a lot and concedded goals
and for 80% the same games

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@martin-walker y need to check the 0-0and 1-1 ht when come average the next goal
but level ht normally is good to back the unders sh 45-60 min

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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 Ah you mentioned BTS rather than BTTS so I guess that's GP... What is your criteria there?

Martin Walker

@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 not on my results they dont.

Ive just checked all my results and removing 0-0 improves all my strategies.

I thought 0-0 would be the best

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@martin-walker but 0-0 and 1-1 HT SCORES HAVE MORE LATE GOALS THEN 1-0/0-1/0-2 GAMES
in general imean