The BTC Football Trading Thread
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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 Fair play and please accept my apologies... Maybe I have different leagues to Ryan, I know I filter out some non profitable leagues... Not too sure if Martin has tweaked Ryan's members filter of late... I will stop posting his selections for now and just keep the leagues in my signature link as per the ones I am measuring.
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Very pleasing morning in the end. 2pts green to take into the afternoon.
Next potential now is 16:00 in the Faroes and that's only if they go behind 0-2. Otherwise it's 18:30 and Lazio.
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@alan-steward do you know what it averages monthly? Would be nice to have a ball park to aim for with some of my strategys im working on
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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0
Hi Johannes. I'm referring to backing next overs in the second half.
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@alan-steward BUT I was looking to ryans filter but i did not find the verde game y can show me where i found that?
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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
verde 1-1
Yes final score was 1-1... But Ryans strategy & selections are to take red on 70mins period!
This months results up to & including the 26th July (I've not updated further) only 2 games from 25 which were 0-0 on 70 mins went on to produce 2 goals.
Standard loss on Ryans Split Stake on 70 mins is -0.667pts... Do the maths mate!
Ryans filter is already running at around 9pts green for July... I've only just quickly calculated that but it's a profitable strategy and it is what it is!
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@stuart-capstick when y back over 1.5 let say 1.6 arround 30 th min 0.25 point then 1.9 0.25 point HT THEN NEXT 0.25 point 2.9 and last one 0.25 point 3.9 and y stay in untill the 80 th min
when no goal cash out for 70% loss i lay the CS @ 1.6 FOR ONE POINT liab 0.6 points IF THERE PLENTY ACTION TO GET A SMALL PROFIT FROM THESE TRADE -
verde 1-1
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It depends on the price you take as well. For 58% you want over 1.72.
As I said, I think you have a potentially great strategy there if you have a look at HT scores and scores at 70 ( or scores at 60, if you like).
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@richard-latimer assuming odds of 1.8+ at 70 its profitable so hopefully i can tweak it to make it better
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@martin-walker said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@stuart-capstick yeah theres a lot of like 3-0 that stay that way. Just seeing if people thought my baseline results were decent
It's something to work on for sure. I've found any 3 goal deficit is pretty much a bad idea when looking for goals.
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@stuart-capstick yeah theres a lot of like 3-0 that stay that way. Just seeing if people thought my baseline results were decent
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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@john-hurst ok but why cash out after 70 th min never do that
It was a different strategy that some were on.
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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 damage limitations. Games like that often finish 0-0.
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these hopefuls for later -
@john-hurst ok but why cash out after 70 th min never do that
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I reckon if you play around with the scorelines, your 70+ SHG could be very profitable.
For example, compare 1-0 with 0-0 or 0-1 etc.
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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
why everybody was in the verde match?
for a second half goal i imagine, which came. I wasnt on it myself, been a bit drab