The BTC Football Trading Thread
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@james-everard will have to look more closely at fhg. Havent managed to create a reliable filter or get anywhere with it tbh mate. Want to trade the actual fh winner market by backing strong fh home teams. Not sure if there is anything in it or not
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@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Anyone had any luck on the FH winner market?
Doing ok on the 1st half goal market . I back on the over 0.5 fh goals split on 21,29,33 and 39mins, I am looking for matches from my filters that have 80% of matches have over 0.5 fh goals and looking for a 30% of goals to be scored between 20min-45mins.
I did original trade the first half market by laying the draw around the 20min mark but it just wasn't profitable that way.
How do you trade the strategy? -
quiet today.........think ill kick back and watch the play off final in a bit
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well well china made my day love that
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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Anyone had any luck on the FH winner market?
fhg market is very difficult for that i trade that only small games , sometimes i back a team fh winner vs higher odds
goal in china nice -
@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Anyone had any luck on the FH winner market?
fhg market is very difficult for that i trade that only small games , sometimes i back a team fh winner vs higher odds
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@daniel-cooper said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
3 potentials on the ELO winning team lays tomorrow:
The chinese ones are at a neutral location
For ELO I've decided I'm fine with that. Makes no difference if it's an away fave does it. Home team not likely to be improved by playing at a neutral ground and away fave not likely to be weakened by playing at a neutral ground.
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Anyone had any luck on the FH winner market?
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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@stuart-capstick said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@johannes-van-leeuwen-0
I didn't trade the game, Johannes.
You're right; it would have been an easy, cheap lay when Zurich was 3-0 up, knowing that Thun had to score.
I'm just using it to show how "weird" results can happen
NOT SO MUCH TODO TODAY IN TRADING Maybe overs 2.5 in shina tyo get in already put order 2.12
when no fhg still can make it sratch later onno action in china then i stay out fh when i said that goal lol
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@stuart-capstick said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@johannes-van-leeuwen-0
I didn't trade the game, Johannes.
You're right; it would have been an easy, cheap lay when Zurich was 3-0 up, knowing that Thun had to score.
I'm just using it to show how "weird" results can happen
NOT SO MUCH TODO TODAY IN TRADING Maybe overs 2.5 in shina tyo get in already put order 2.12
when no fhg still can make it sratch later on -
@johannes-van-leeuwen-0
I didn't trade the game, Johannes.
You're right; it would have been an easy, cheap lay when Zurich was 3-0 up, knowing that Thun had to score.
I'm just using it to show how "weird" results can happen
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@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@stuart-capstick said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
As it's quiet, I guess now is a time to reflect and take stock (sorry, sound like I'm taking Mass).
This is a case of either bizarre coincidence or just plain simple probability in action.I have a strategy that works on laying the draw depending on odds. One game that arose was Zurich Thun yesterday.
I didn't touch this as it was the last game of the season and Thun needed a draw or a win to stay up.
HT score- Zurich 2 Thun 0. I started to get frustrated. I looked at the data I had from over 8 years. In 99 games of the 2-0 scoreline, on 6 occasions the away team has come back to draw. In spite of knowing that I had made the right decision to not get involved, I couldn't help but think this was a wasted opportunity.FT score Zurich 3 Thun 3. Relief at having my decision confirmed.
I looked back over the data.
The last time a team had come back from 2-0 at HT in Switzerland was in 2015. The game ended....Zurich 3 Thun 3....
There are no "certs", history repeats etc.
that is mad
y need to think in another way , urich game was very easy trade lay zurich and lay the unders 2.5/3.5 because tun scored 80´% AWAY THEN WAS EASY TRADE TO DO SAME LIKE ELSBORG GAME SH
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@stuart-capstick said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
As it's quiet, I guess now is a time to reflect and take stock (sorry, sound like I'm taking Mass).
This is a case of either bizarre coincidence or just plain simple probability in action.I have a strategy that works on laying the draw depending on odds. One game that arose was Zurich Thun yesterday.
I didn't touch this as it was the last game of the season and Thun needed a draw or a win to stay up.
HT score- Zurich 2 Thun 0. I started to get frustrated. I looked at the data I had from over 8 years. In 99 games of the 2-0 scoreline, on 6 occasions the away team has come back to draw. In spite of knowing that I had made the right decision to not get involved, I couldn't help but think this was a wasted opportunity.FT score Zurich 3 Thun 3. Relief at having my decision confirmed.
I looked back over the data.
The last time a team had come back from 2-0 at HT in Switzerland was in 2015. The game ended....Zurich 3 Thun 3....
There are no "certs", history repeats etc.
that is mad
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
3 potentials on the ELO winning team lays tomorrow:
The chinese ones are at a neutral location
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We merely live in a simulation
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As it's quiet, I guess now is a time to reflect and take stock (sorry, sound like I'm taking Mass).
This is a case of either bizarre coincidence or just plain simple probability in action.I have a strategy that works on laying the draw depending on odds. One game that arose was Zurich Thun yesterday.
I didn't touch this as it was the last game of the season and Thun needed a draw or a win to stay up.
HT score- Zurich 2 Thun 0. I started to get frustrated. I looked at the data I had from over 8 years. In 99 games of the 2-0 scoreline, on 6 occasions the away team has come back to draw. In spite of knowing that I had made the right decision to not get involved, I couldn't help but think this was a wasted opportunity.FT score Zurich 3 Thun 3. Relief at having my decision confirmed.
I looked back over the data.
The last time a team had come back from 2-0 at HT in Switzerland was in 2015. The game ended....Zurich 3 Thun 3....
There are no "certs", history repeats etc.
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Oh yeah, and Iceland all called off (must be covid related) so dealing with a bit of a lull after the non stop football for over a month. At least it won't be long before it's back haha!
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3 more if the home team falls behind 0-2 but again 2 of these are overnight and I'm off to bed. More data.
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And another 3 on the H2 goals although I'm off to bed now so the overnight will just serve as data:
