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The BTC Football Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
42.9k Posts 268 Posters 3.4m Views
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #2981

    @Martin When you say variance do you mean in the short term? Its only had one losing month in 6 so do you advise to stick with it? I know it has lots of credit but obviously I've caught it at a bad time.

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #2982

    @chris-osborne Yeah make that 4 losers in 2 days so far ha ha

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #2983

    @keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @mr-emmet-moorehouse said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @keith-anderson The price is great too.

    No wonder! With 30 minutes to go, Mourinho shuts up shop. Boring f****r!

    Backed under 1.5 great news for me haha

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Mark Maguire
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by Mark Maguire
    #2984

    @keith-anderson I use it everyday to narrow my selections down - I use the ELO's from the Ratings on here to compare with Betfair odds and decide value.. using an ELO calculator on line which allows for Home advantage - doesn't make my decisions but helps inform them and find some value.

    ps there should be a separate one for Mourinho parking the bus at 1-0 😅

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #2985

    Anyone here look at implied odds and probability?

    Fiorentina v Monza.

    Away win probability: 15.4%
    Implied odds: 6.49
    Lay Monza odds: 4.7

    20 minutes: Fiorentina 1 - 0 Monza

    Greened up

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    M G 2 Replies Last reply
    2
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Mr. Emmet Moorehouse
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #2986

    @keith-anderson Goal line clearance in the last minute!!!

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    replied to Mr. Emmet Moorehouse on last edited by
    #2987

    @mr-emmet-moorehouse said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @keith-anderson The price is great too.

    No wonder! With 30 minutes to go, Mourinho shuts up shop. Boring f****r!

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    M ? 2 Replies Last reply
    1
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Mr. Emmet Moorehouse
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #2988

    @keith-anderson The price is great too.

    Akiva AndersonA 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #2989

    Went for a SHG in the Roma v Bologna match. 1-0 at HT

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    M 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Mr. Emmet Moorehouse
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #2990

    @stephen-brooks-0 It's no big deal. Winning strategies can have annoyingly long losing runs.

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #2991

    @stephen-brooks-0 I'm not the most experienced member here but if I've learnt anything from the process it is to never panic. Use a small percentage of your bank for each selection and play the long game. The members filters are proven long term currently so don't ever look at it day to day.

    I find aswell if I want to use a lower stake on the lay the draw strategy I do double chance market on the home/away selection. The back odds work out the same roughly as the lay the draw odds.

    ? RyanR 2 Replies Last reply
    1
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #2992

    @stephen-brooks-0 will be lots of variance with Dan's LTD, it's got plenty of credit in the bank at the moment

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #2993

    @stephen-brooks-0 not yet

    Atlanta’s last minute equaliser doesn’t help

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #2994

    I joined BTC yesterday and naturally I wanted to start trading Dans LTD as I can see that has been very profitable over the last few months of testing.

    As would be my luck I've currently had 3 losing trades in 2 days so far lol.

    When is it time to panic!?

    ? MartinM ? M 4 Replies Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #2995

    @chris-osborne Thanks Chris was just wondering how some selections got in the email if they weren't showing in the filter

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #2996

    @stephen-brooks-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @Martin There's also a few Italian games on the email that are not showing in the actual filter. Just to clarify should we just stick with the selections on the daily email?

    I have a different approach, I rarely use the emails but download from the filters myself

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #2997

    I've went for a SHG in the Sassuolo v Sampdoria match. 0-2 at HT

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #2998

    @Martin There's also a few Italian games on the email that are not showing in the actual filter. Just to clarify should we just stick with the selections on the daily email?

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #2999

    @stephen-brooks-0 probably odds movement

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #3000

    @Martin Hi Martin> looking at the selections on the filters for todays Dans lay the draw I can see spurs vs Crystal Palace game is on there but is not on your daily email of selections. Do you filter games out before sending the daily email and if so why did that game not meet your criteria? Or did you leave it out by mistake?

    Kind regards

    Steve

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    0

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