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The BTC Football Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
42.9k Posts 268 Posters 3.4m Views
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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #29861

    @alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Morning all, not sure which of us are still left either still furloughed or full time trading... Whilst the Aussie & Chinese leagues don't appear to have played out exactly how other leagues have post COVID it's most probably because most have been played at neutral venues.

    However I do expect goals in each of today's games and will look to trade all using split stake but only using 50% stakes. All three games will be dependant on in-play stats.

    Whilst I accept it drastically cuts down profits it allows us to hopefully gain green.

    I fancy a FHG in the Aussie match but will look to trade all three games using either split stake option (listed below) on the o1.5 goal market

    If games have lively starts I will use 50% stake on 20 mins and then 25% on plus 25pts & 25% plus another 25pts, which may look like;

    On 20mins 50% Stake @ 1.5 then 25% @ 1.75 & 25% @ 2.0

    Or look to wait until 30mins and use 50% stake & then 50% on 50mins

    Using either option I'm retaining 50% to LCS @ evens (or there about's)

    Todays games;

    Adelaide United
    Tianjin Teda
    Qingdao Huanghai FC

    Any input please post 👍

    I'm back from my monings work. First potential for me is the Chinese game on now anyway as an ELO.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James Woodroffe
    replied to James Woodroffe on last edited by
    #29862

    @james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    LTD in Oz at 1.68 on 77 1-1.

    Not to be this time.

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  • James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James Woodroffe
    wrote on last edited by
    #29863

    LTD in Oz at 1.68 on 77 1-1.

    James WoodroffeJ 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #29864

    Didn't see enough value in China for o1.5 goals and didn't feel comfortable with any other trade as game was always going to be a tad one sided... Will back off until lunchtime and focus on updating my filters... Catch you all later

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  • James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James Woodroffe
    replied to Finn Kristensen on last edited by
    #29865

    @finn-kristensen it’s a slightly abbreviated season as a result of Covid they wrapped up the title (Premiers Plate) last week. Now they have the Championship finals to focus on. The top 6 clubs qualify for a finals series which culminates in a Grand Final. Haven’t seen the team but might be resting some blokes in preparation for that.

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to James Woodroffe on last edited by
    #29866

    @james-woodroffe Yeah will keep tabs on it... It's just that Sydney don't concede much SH... Personally will focus on China now... But nothing until HT there

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James Woodroffe
    wrote on last edited by
    #29867

    Adelaide have more to play for than Sydney as they look to lock in a finals berth. Will look for a late LCS if still 1-1.

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Finn KristensenF Offline
    Finn KristensenF Offline
    Finn Kristensen
    replied to James Woodroffe on last edited by
    #29868

    @james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Okay... Maybe LTD in SH with Aussie game??? Sydney appear to have woken up a bit... Any views???

    Sydney have wrapped up the League night be just going thru the motions.

    But have they actually? Aren't there 30 matches to play this season (not totally sure about this league)? If so, they still have 6 matches to play outside this and so they have not mathematically secured the title yet - but based on the previous couple of matches it does seem like they believe they have.

    James WoodroffeJ 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by A Former User
    #29869

    Yeah, will move on from Aussie match... Prob won't finish 1-1 but stats don't seem strong enough to back up/support SH goal... Thanks @Dean-Adams

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  • James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James Woodroffe
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #29870

    @alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Okay... Maybe LTD in SH with Aussie game??? Sydney appear to have woken up a bit... Any views???

    Sydney have wrapped up the League night be just going thru the motions.

    Finn KristensenF 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by A Former User
    #29871

    last 5 games
    Overall O0.5 H2 90%
    Scored/concede H2%
    Adelaide 40/60
    Sydney 60/40

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James Woodroffe
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #29872

    @alan-steward sorry mate got stuck on the phone. Various stadiums but all in NSW so either Sydney or just outside of Sydney.

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Martin Walker
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #29873

    @alan-steward i will be backing the overs at 70 if it gets there

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #29874

    Okay... Maybe LTD in SH with Aussie game??? Sydney appear to have woken up a bit... Any views???

    M James WoodroffeJ 2 Replies Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #29875

    @johannes-van-leeuwen-0 Yes... Just made a coffee for me and the good lady but before I did was considering backing 01.5 fhg @ 2.2... But thought NO... Thats punting lol

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #29876

    @alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @james-woodroffe Is that all games mate... Bit like MLS all played in one location?

    nice sidney 1-1

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to James Woodroffe on last edited by
    #29877

    @james-woodroffe Is that all games mate... Bit like MLS all played in one location?

    ? James WoodroffeJ 2 Replies Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by A Former User
    #29878

    Sydney appear to be struggling to get into this match will re-evaluate @ HT... Then they put a spurt on... They reading my posts lol

    Both games in China appear to have low odds for o1.5 goals... Not sure about value there... Will asses as the games unfold

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  • James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James Woodroffe
    replied to Finn Kristensen on last edited by
    #29879

    @finn-kristensen being played in Sydney mate in a hub.

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #29880

    @johannes-van-leeuwen-0 Yeah, have stopped trading now unless I can pay full attention to what I'm doing... I have not found summer leagues to be as consistent as winter leagues, so trust them less

    1 Reply Last reply
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