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The BTC Football Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
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  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Martin Walker
    wrote on last edited by
    #29161

    Do we think them going behind again shows theyre having an off night or does the data show it doesnt matter longer term

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Finn KristensenF Offline
    Finn KristensenF Offline
    Finn Kristensen
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #29162

    @johannes-van-leeuwen-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    molde 24 shots 17 corners 125 Dangerous attachs and only one goal

    One of these days I guess.

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Finn KristensenF Offline
    Finn KristensenF Offline
    Finn Kristensen
    wrote on last edited by
    #29163

    Pretty sure that Man United don't like VAR tonight either. So far 3 VAR verdicts going against them, 1 canceled penalty and 2 canceled goals (all correct tbf, but still).

    Richard LatimerR E 2 Replies Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #29164

    molde 24 shots 17 corners 125 Dangerous attachs and only one goal

    Finn KristensenF 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Finn Kristensen on last edited by
    #29165

    @finn-kristensen said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    another poor result there. Cant get going recently

    Definitely a very surprising result. I expected Molde to win comfortably tonight.

    It's very annoying when they concede again if they're not going to equalise again ffs!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #29166

    @richard-latimer not just elo lays- think they are good. everything really, not got one solid strategy atm. All gone a bit haywire

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Finn KristensenF Offline
    Finn KristensenF Offline
    Finn Kristensen
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #29167

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @finn-kristensen said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @finn-kristensen said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    For anyone watching the Molde game - do they not look like getting back? Stats wise they don't seem to be creating a lot.

    They are controlling the game, hit the bar and had one headed off the line. Plus last corner should have been a pen for Brann handball. No VAR in Norway?

    No, I don't think there is VAR in Norway.

    Who'd have thought we'd be bitching because there was no VAR haha!

    VAR just can't win, can it? 😂

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt Wood
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #29168

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @finn-kristensen said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @finn-kristensen said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    For anyone watching the Molde game - do they not look like getting back? Stats wise they don't seem to be creating a lot.

    They are controlling the game, hit the bar and had one headed off the line. Plus last corner should have been a pen for Brann handball. No VAR in Norway?

    No, I don't think there is VAR in Norway.

    Who'd have thought we'd be bitching because there was no VAR haha!

    haha just makes it worse as it goes against us but never for us 😞

    Catch that Green!

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Finn KristensenF Offline
    Finn KristensenF Offline
    Finn Kristensen
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #29169

    @john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    another poor result there. Cant get going recently

    Definitely a very surprising result. I expected Molde to win comfortably tonight.

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Finn Kristensen on last edited by
    #29170

    @finn-kristensen said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @finn-kristensen said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    For anyone watching the Molde game - do they not look like getting back? Stats wise they don't seem to be creating a lot.

    They are controlling the game, hit the bar and had one headed off the line. Plus last corner should have been a pen for Brann handball. No VAR in Norway?

    No, I don't think there is VAR in Norway.

    Who'd have thought we'd be bitching because there was no VAR haha!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Matt WoodM Finn KristensenF 2 Replies Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Matt Wood on last edited by
    #29171

    @matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @john-hurst Same here, not mega red but red nonetheless

    I'm just over half a point red now. It's a dip.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #29172

    @john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    another poor result there. Cant get going recently

    It's a dip.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt Wood
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #29173

    @john-hurst Same here, not mega red but red nonetheless

    Catch that Green!

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #29174

    2 red days in a row now but would have been a worse red day if I was playing these as I had been. Only the 5th (I think) team to concede again before the 70th min (after having already equalised) and not get it back again.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #29175

    another poor result there. Cant get going recently

    Matt WoodM Richard LatimerR Finn KristensenF 3 Replies Last reply
    0
  • Finn KristensenF Offline
    Finn KristensenF Offline
    Finn Kristensen
    replied to Matt Wood on last edited by
    #29176

    @matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @finn-kristensen said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    For anyone watching the Molde game - do they not look like getting back? Stats wise they don't seem to be creating a lot.

    They are controlling the game, hit the bar and had one headed off the line. Plus last corner should have been a pen for Brann handball. No VAR in Norway?

    No, I don't think there is VAR in Norway.

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Finn Kristensen on last edited by
    #29177

    @finn-kristensen im lcs this game is waaaay too open for me

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt Wood
    replied to Finn Kristensen on last edited by
    #29178

    @finn-kristensen said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    For anyone watching the Molde game - do they not look like getting back? Stats wise they don't seem to be creating a lot.

    They are controlling the game, hit the bar and had one headed off the line. Plus last corner should have been a pen for Brann handball. No VAR in Norway?

    Catch that Green!

    Finn KristensenF 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Finn KristensenF Offline
    Finn KristensenF Offline
    Finn Kristensen
    wrote on last edited by
    #29179

    For anyone watching the Molde game - do they not look like getting back? Stats wise they don't seem to be creating a lot.

    Matt WoodM ? 2 Replies Last reply
    0
  • Finn KristensenF Offline
    Finn KristensenF Offline
    Finn Kristensen
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #29180

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @finn-kristensen said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    molde let run

    You're a gambler not a trader then.

    I disagree. I've only recently started cashing immediately. These are profitable whether you cash immediately, let it run until 70 as I was doing or even all the way to the end.

    If you let it run until the end, it's not a trade, it's a bet.

    What is the difference then between over 0.5 where you win or lose? Plus I know Lee Woodman says he lets most of his over 1.5 run. Don't think it's as simple as that.

    Basically any bet that is only settled at the end of the match (or at halftime, if it's a FH bet) is a bet, not a trade. A trade does not depend on the final match outcome. It is pretty clear to me tbh. I saw Peter Webb explain the difference in a video once and I agree with him. But who cares anyway? if it works, it works, whatever it is.

    1 Reply Last reply
    1

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