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The BTC Football Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
42.9k Posts 268 Posters 3.4m Views
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Finn Kristensen on last edited by
    #28941

    @finn-kristensen said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    I said it not that long ago but wanted enough results before I did anything. 1-0 is a horrible HT score for goals:

    0_1597325102388_98b2748a-90e9-4b61-b323-b830f124da71-image.png

    7 winning trades
    5 losing

    All paper trades thankfully.

    It would take at least another 8 winning trades on the bounce to get up to 75% where I would expect this to be.

    Maybe it would work as a Laying Over instead then? Obviously need more than 12 matches to conclude anything decisive but perhaps something to follow.

    I prefer things with a higher strike rate plus I never go against logic. They're still high scoring teams so to go against goals would be illogical. I have enough to trade already. Just trying to streamline and optimise.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    ? Finn KristensenF 2 Replies Last reply
    0
  • Finn KristensenF Offline
    Finn KristensenF Offline
    Finn Kristensen
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #28942

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    I said it not that long ago but wanted enough results before I did anything. 1-0 is a horrible HT score for goals:

    0_1597325102388_98b2748a-90e9-4b61-b323-b830f124da71-image.png

    7 winning trades
    5 losing

    All paper trades thankfully.

    It would take at least another 8 winning trades on the bounce to get up to 75% where I would expect this to be.

    Maybe it would work as a Laying Over instead then? Obviously need more than 12 matches to conclude anything decisive but perhaps something to follow.

    Richard LatimerR ? 2 Replies Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #28943

    I said it not that long ago but wanted enough results before I did anything. 1-0 is a horrible HT score for goals:

    0_1597325102388_98b2748a-90e9-4b61-b323-b830f124da71-image.png

    7 winning trades
    5 losing

    All paper trades thankfully.

    It would take at least another 8 winning trades on the bounce to get up to 75% where I would expect this to be.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Finn KristensenF ? 2 Replies Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #28944

    @martin-futter said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @john-hurst yeah statistically it's not sustainable, I worry about a bust there but hopefully that won't happen.

    What he does very well (he mentioned this on his post on here before he deleted it) is get his shortlist each day and research further into the games (spends around 1-2 hours doing the further research) and that really is such a good way to trade.

    Why delete it if it was a good post? By being on here everyday you mean the stats software, guy hasnt been on the forum in a month or so and has only joined 2 months ago. Anyone come here from the UFT forum seen him active there? Might be good to get him on the podcast

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #28945

    Ok so....here's what everyone has been waiting for (or already seen from my sheet haha). Todays ELO's:

    0_1597324718769_f8e0cd6a-9a24-434c-91de-764f82294a1b-image.png

    Nothing going on for ages and no rain at present so Ideal time to walk the hound.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Finn KristensenF Offline
    Finn KristensenF Offline
    Finn Kristensen
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #28946

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @ryan-carruthers Urm!!! Just double checked that's 25 games with 2 goals or more lol

    Is that 2 goals or more over the duration of the match or in the FH? FH would be mental haha!!

    Also, is that from backtesting or are they actual "live" trades?

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #28947

    @alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @ryan-carruthers Urm!!! Just double checked that's 25 games with 2 goals or more lol

    Is that 2 goals or more over the duration of the match or in the FH? FH would be mental haha!!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Finn KristensenF ? 2 Replies Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #28948

    @darri said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @richard-latimer posted the link

    Yeah I saw. Don't think I've ever seen the guy in here before that I can recall.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #28949

    @martin-futter said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @john-folan yeah they are very good on fhg and shg by the looks of it! I think that's been added to the members filters, Gary SHG

    Blinding. Thank you

    Read the first post on both threads.

    Horse Trading Resources
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/1111/john-s-horse-trading-resources

    BfBotmanager
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/2915/bfbotmanager-automation-discussion

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Matt Wood on last edited by
    #28950

    @matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @martin-futter said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @richard-latimer what have you got for the elo today? not had an email through with the selections yet.

    He was standing outside in the storm last night, he may have been struck by lightning 😮

    Nah, no lightning strike haha!

    I have been out in torrential rain all morning and heard a few thunderclaps but nothing else thankfully haha!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to John Folan on last edited by
    #28951

    @john-folan yeah they are very good on fhg and shg by the looks of it! I think that's been added to the members filters, Gary SHG

    John FolanJ 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to John Folan on last edited by
    #28952

    @john-folan what are they?

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #28953

    @martin-futter said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @john-hurst yeah the results are on the sheet bud

    0_1597311957692_Screenshot 2020-08-13 10.43.06.png

    What about the GSHG filters? I love the look of them.

    Read the first post on both threads.

    Horse Trading Resources
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/1111/john-s-horse-trading-resources

    BfBotmanager
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/2915/bfbotmanager-automation-discussion

    ? MartinM 2 Replies Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #28954

    Catch you all later for the Sweden games 👍

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #28955

    Unbelievable lol... 0.8pts green guaranteed

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James Woodroffe
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #28956

    @alan-steward there you go mate. 👍

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Martin Walker on last edited by
    #28957

    @martin-walker They do tend to concede late by think Jets will be happy with the 1-0... 🤞 for 2 late goals

    James WoodroffeJ 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Martin Walker
    wrote on last edited by
    #28958

    Goal, at least i was right

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James Woodroffe
    replied to Martin Walker on last edited by James Woodroffe
    #28959

    @martin-walker same here mate but yeah awful value at the moment.

    2-0 about 5 secs after finishing the post.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Martin Walker
    wrote on last edited by
    #28960

    Jets game was on my list for goal after 70 mins but not great value

    James WoodroffeJ ? 2 Replies Last reply
    1

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