The BTC Football Trading Thread

Martin Walker

@matt-wood the downturn happened massively after covid, was still profitable and its picking up again. Tracked a couple hundred results now.

Matt Wood

@martin-walker Thats a great return Interesting to see if it continues or if there is a downturn in the variance that eats a little of that up. Can't see a downturn being so bad that it ruins that sort of return though.

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@richard-latimer if you go to my blog and read iv started the filter from a simple idea with everyone, we then setup a filter for everyone to track alongside. We did 100 games together worked on improving the filter and now its gone from a 70-74% trike rate to 88%. We are letting the data decide how we make trading decisions most newer traders base all decisions based of assumptions ours isnt. The filter is posted up and the results are on my sheet but everyone has the same filter anyway so its a nice project for everyone to see how i go from idea to strategy. Head on over to read, click on the posts tab at the top of the blog and see the first update of results and what we changed. We have been doing it together on the blog for a few months now, for everyone to copy and work at it themselves too

Martin Walker

@matt-wood think im around 30 points up in 8 weeks on mine

Richard Latimer

@darri said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@john-hurst im building a FHG strategy for everyone over on my blog, its on the 2n batch of 100 of testing. At the end of this batch i will be minimum staking to make sure its profitable. I used to make around 12 points a month from it, its simpler than most make it, 100% can make good money from it.

Will be interested to see this. You actually going to share the criteria or just the selections?

Richard Latimer

@matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Is there anyone on here that makes consistent money with over 0.5 fhg?

can tell y can not it goes up and down because the variance same like late goals
when y back above 2 y need to see it in very long run

I think 70 mins + is good. I've started putting half stake in after odds from ht halve and then the rest of stake when for example 5 becomes 2.5 or 4.0 becomes 2.0.

I've got over 80% so far. If that continues it will work very well.

Am I following correct. You lay @HT with 50% then other 50% when odds halve of what they were at HT?

No. I lay when odds halve halved from ht. So 5.0 would be 3.0. Then again when 5.0 becomes 2.5. it's generally 60-65 and then 70-75.

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@john-hurst im building a FHG strategy for everyone over on my blog, its on the 2n batch of 100 of testing. At the end of this batch i will be minimum staking to make sure its profitable. I used to make around 12 points a month from it, its simpler than most make it, 100% can make good money from it.

Matt Wood

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Is there anyone on here that makes consistent money with over 0.5 fhg?

can tell y can not it goes up and down because the variance same like late goals
when y back above 2 y need to see it in very long run

I think 70 mins + is good. I've started putting half stake in after odds from ht halve and then the rest of stake when for example 5 becomes 2.5 or 4.0 becomes 2.0.

I've got over 80% so far. If that continues it will work very well.

Am I following correct. You lay @HT with 50% then other 50% when odds halve of what they were at HT?

Richard Latimer

@eamonn-hogan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@john-hurst He might have been doing something from that UFT course thing, fireball, snowball, cannonball or bouncyball something or other.

lol

Doesn't matter what staking plan you're following. If your selections aren't winning enough you will lose long-term. No staking plan can turn negative ev into a positive.

Eamonn Hogan

@matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@john-hurst He might have been doing something from that UFT course thing, fireball, snowball, cannonball or bouncyball something or other.

lol

Richard Latimer

@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Is there anyone on here that makes consistent money with over 0.5 fhg?

can tell y can not it goes up and down because the variance same like late goals
when y back above 2 y need to see it in very long run

I think 70 mins + is good. I've started putting half stake in after odds from ht halve and then the rest of stake when for example 5 becomes 2.5 or 4.0 becomes 2.0.

I've got over 80% so far. If that continues it will work very well.

liam willis

@matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@john-hurst He might have been doing something from that UFT course thing, fireball, snowball, cannonball or bouncyball something or other.

:face_with_tears_of_joy: :face_with_tears_of_joy: :face_with_tears_of_joy:

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@matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@john-hurst He might have been doing something from that UFT course thing, fireball, snowball, cannonball or bouncyball something or other.

yes there talking about low ball back in drip 1.3/1.6/1.9/2.2
but when y have 10 small winners and 3 loosers still losing money

Matt Wood

@john-hurst He might have been doing something from that UFT course thing, fireball, snowball, cannonball or bouncyball something or other.

liam willis

@john-hurst for me i think the best way to trade them is to drip back something in the mould of frodes that way when you get the late goals you get the value which makes up for the losers and missed chances but as johanne says its variance can mess with your head

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Just wondered what that bloke was doing that was making a fortune from them. Dont get it really

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@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Is there anyone on here that makes consistent money with over 0.5 fhg?

No not me need to find a decent first half strategy or just ignore it and focus on 2nd half

Matt Wood

I think @james woodroffe is doing ok on them too

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@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Is there anyone on here that makes consistent money with over 0.5 fhg?

can tell y can not it goes up and down because the variance same like late goals
when y back above 2 y need to see it in very long run

Matt Wood

@john-hurst I think @martin walker?