The BTC Football Trading Thread
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That home comeback filter i made has a 100% strike rate so far 8/8 out of 20 fixtures. All matches have btts beside 2 that had early red cards. Something that could be used in the future if it continues
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Off to bed now. Tomorrow looks quiet but I'll post up any potentials in my thread when I'm done with the boring stuff in the morning. Today was another green day to the tune of around 1.25pts.
That'll do nicely.
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@darri said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer all the answers you need are on the blog mate, follow along if you want im sure ill post something on this thread too once we hit the next milestone of testing but been a nice project for everyone to follow along and its all explained without assumptions just pure data
Just scanned through. Looks like a really good filter.
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@chris-osborne thanks mate glad your enjoying it, its a nice compliment to the style of the blog and how to learn about building a strategy from the ground up. Its a slower process this way for sure but each step shows why it was necessary and why its better than an assumption about a certain market. Hopefully turn this into a cracking filter for everyone to use after such rigorous testing
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@richard-latimer all the answers you need are on the blog mate, follow along if you want im sure ill post something on this thread too once we hit the next milestone of testing but been a nice project for everyone to follow along and its all explained without assumptions just pure data
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@darri said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer if you go to my blog and read iv started the filter from a simple idea with everyone, we then setup a filter for everyone to track alongside. We did 100 games together worked on improving the filter and now its gone from a 70-74% trike rate to 88%. We are letting the data decide how we make trading decisions most newer traders base all decisions based of assumptions ours isnt. The filter is posted up and the results are on my sheet but everyone has the same filter anyway so its a nice project for everyone to see how i go from idea to strategy. Head on over to read, click on the posts tab at the top of the blog and see the first update of results and what we changed. We have been doing it together on the blog for a few months now, for everyone to copy and work at it themselves too
Had a look at the sheet. Interesting. Did you collect odds/dates as well?
Where is the criteria you mentioned?
I've been tracking results from 05th July, be around then, from memory I started a few days after @Darri set the second filter up.
For those not used to the Filters, i.e. me its all very thorough to someone like me who works with spreadsheets all day I'm finding it interesting how Darri's building up and testing.
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Hafnarf 0-0 at ht. Perfick!! Laying under 0.5 in 2 hits. 3.25 & 2.76.
It's currently 5.5.
Both bets matched by 66mins. Unusual. Just need the goal now.
Almost perfect timing. Happy with ave odds 3.01.
how is it possible in that game the over 2.5 game in and late goal to make the trade scratch
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Hafnarf 0-0 at ht. Perfick!! Laying under 0.5 in 2 hits. 3.25 & 2.76.
It's currently 5.5.
Both bets matched by 66mins. Unusual. Just need the goal now.
Almost perfect timing. Happy with ave odds 3.01.
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@darri said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer if you go to my blog and read iv started the filter from a simple idea with everyone, we then setup a filter for everyone to track alongside. We did 100 games together worked on improving the filter and now its gone from a 70-74% trike rate to 88%. We are letting the data decide how we make trading decisions most newer traders base all decisions based of assumptions ours isnt. The filter is posted up and the results are on my sheet but everyone has the same filter anyway so its a nice project for everyone to see how i go from idea to strategy. Head on over to read, click on the posts tab at the top of the blog and see the first update of results and what we changed. We have been doing it together on the blog for a few months now, for everyone to copy and work at it themselves too
Had a look at the sheet. Interesting. Did you collect odds/dates as well?
Where is the criteria you mentioned?
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Hafnarf 0-0 at ht. Perfick!! Laying under 0.5 in 2 hits. 3.25 & 2.76.
It's currently 5.5.
Both bets matched by 66mins. Unusual. Just need the goal now.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@daniel-cooper said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Sad about Athlone
Oh well. It may lose and we'll all be happy.
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Sad about Athlone
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@cyril-reaney said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer Thanks Richard does it happen much and is there a way of knowing in advance that it wont go in play.
Yes it happens all the time and no not really. Betfair are amateur hour.
Sorry.
Best thing you can do is not place a bet until the match starts.
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@richard-latimer Thanks Richard does it happen much and is there a way of knowing in advance that it wont go in play.
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Annoying. Would have been nice to lay Athlone haha
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@cyril-reaney said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
anyone advise on situation where Betfair dont turn market in play.The 3 div 1 matches in Ireland ko 745 are all suspended.What is situation on bets placed?
If you need to get out you could either place bets with bookmaker or another exchange if they have it. Other than that I wouldn't know what to advise.
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Will be looking at fhg inter depending on odds
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anyone advise on situation where Betfair dont turn market in play.The 3 div 1 matches in Ireland ko 745 are all suspended.What is situation on bets placed?
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Hafnarf 0-0 at ht. Perfick!! Laying under 0.5 in 2 hits. 3.25 & 2.76.
It's currently 5.5.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@darri said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer if you go to my blog and read iv started the filter from a simple idea with everyone, we then setup a filter for everyone to track alongside. We did 100 games together worked on improving the filter and now its gone from a 70-74% trike rate to 88%. We are letting the data decide how we make trading decisions most newer traders base all decisions based of assumptions ours isnt. The filter is posted up and the results are on my sheet but everyone has the same filter anyway so its a nice project for everyone to see how i go from idea to strategy. Head on over to read, click on the posts tab at the top of the blog and see the first update of results and what we changed. We have been doing it together on the blog for a few months now, for everyone to copy and work at it themselves too
Cool, thanks. I'll definitely have a look later.
