The BTC Football Trading Thread

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Lay Under 1.5:

1-1

[Richard Latimer]

Finally finished fine tuning!! Lay Under 1.5:

Lay Over 1.5:

[Akiva Anderson]

SHG in the City v Liverpool match. 1-1 at HT

[Richard Latimer]

Lay Under 1.5:

[Richard Latimer]

Lay Under 1.5:

[Akiva Anderson]

@akiva-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Going for another goal in the Sydney v Western United match. 2-3 after 62 minutes

So many chances missed, but thankfully a delighted goal in the 89th minute. I'll miss this league when it finishes

[A Former User]

@matthew-harrison

yes but what if there is nog restriction from the bookie

just if there was a endles stream of arb options available

or is there no large data set because we get restricted quickly by the bookies

[A Former User]

@samo

If you’re talking about backing on the bookies at higher odds and then laying at lower odds on the exchange, then before getting stake restricted I would always go for the smaller profit as those arb situations will quickly die off when they realise what you are doing

[Akiva Anderson]

Going for another goal in the Sydney v Western United match. 2-3 after 62 minutes

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Lay Under 1.5:

Everything else can wait until I wake up!!

Late goal in Czech to save the blushes and maintain decent start to the month. Just not as decent as when I woke!

1/2

[A Former User]

Hi All,

I Have a question:

if you find an arb situation. So you have a higher od and you can lay it on the exchange what is better long term?
option 1: lay the bet on the exchange and get a risk free profit, but a smaller profit
option 2: let the bet run as a set and forget bet. Having to deal with variance etc but because you have a better od in the long run you will always have a profit?

and are there people who tried both options and have a (large) data example?

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Lay Over 1.5 Necaxa @ 1.27

Ends 0-0
Great start to April

[Richard Latimer]

Lay Under 1.5:

Everything else can wait until I wake up!!

[Richard Latimer]

Lay Over 1.5 Necaxa @ 1.27

[A Former User]

@matthew-harrison said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@david-baker-0

I had Frankfurt to. I’ve got 3 Ltd filters that I’ve been using for months and this game popped up on every single one. Would of placed my house on this one not been a draw. Thankfully I never

However… Frankfurt scored first 75% of the time this season and Bochum conceded 78% of the time this season away. None of them happen either. Putting it down to variance

I totally agree about variance,it was the other 4 that had everything going for them made me think it was international break syndrome ahead of variance.The dog scoring first 6 out of 7 was something I haven't encountered much!

[A Former User]

@david-baker-0

I had Frankfurt to. I’ve got 3 Ltd filters that I’ve been using for months and this game popped up on every single one. Would of placed my house on this one not been a draw. Thankfully I never

However… Frankfurt scored first 75% of the time this season and Bochum conceded 78% of the time this season away. None of them happen either. Putting it down to variance

[A Former User]

@matthew-harrison said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@david-baker-0

Did you have Frankfurt on by any chance ?

Yes,yes i did (and Burnley too)

[A Former User]

@akiva-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@david-baker-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@Martin (and everyone else)Are you trading any games this weekend or leaving it till later because of the international break?Reason for asking is I have an odds based lay the draw system which has been abosultely crushing it and I had 7 games this evening and have 5 loses 1 scratch and 1 win.And it made quite fearfull for the weekend.

Some do take a break. I don't. You could use half stakes if you prefer

Not a bad shout that cheers

[A Former User]

@alastair-todd said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@akiva-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@akiva-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

SHG in the Burnley v Sunderland. 0-0 at HT

feck!

You're not wrong!

Yup

[A Former User]

@david-baker-0

Did you have Frankfurt on by any chance ?