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The BTC Football Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
42.9k Posts 268 Posters 3.4m Views
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #27541

    One thing I've decided. I'm getting rid of South Africa. Liquidity p**s poor!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt Wood
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #27542

    @daniel-mills said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @matt-wood make sure you have a message from them in your inbox first. The offer might be account specific, I know I was getting them through for a little while at least.

    Cheers, just looked, not messages in my inbox. Ah well easy come easy go lol 🙂

    Catch that Green!

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to A Former User on last edited by Richard Latimer
    #27543

    @darri said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @richard-latimer dont rush to correct these mate, let the weekend pass and have a overall view of the strat not just the weekends games. One thing i would say is new seasons are something i never get involved with. When we are finding games from filters and basing it on last seasons games we are asking for trouble. New players, new managers, new tactics etc. These are huge impacts on stats. A team may have just signed a 20 goal a season striker etc and changes everything.

    Covid also impacts on this seasons restart. Its badly affected how teams are preparing. Also for some there hasnt been any league football since march. I base all my filters to only show the games of current season. I wait until there has been around the 10 games played mark 5home/5away and then they qualify on mine. That way we know how a team is performing this season.

    I would advise to just let these run for a while mate. they have been working superb. If this trend of new season games keep affecting you then it maybe time to ask if the above i mentioned could be something to think about. If you look around at some of the leagues not all the best teams are at the top of the league or playing well right now. Some real early season results for the bigger teams, celtic, monaco, rangers, club brugge. It will happen in the bigger leagues too. I think james posted a cracking list of variables that badly affect stats for early season picks, personally i avoid, your strat has been superb with the games already mid season/late season when we have enough data on them

    Yeah, I'm going through the matches since start of Aug to see how many had been played on either side as we speak. I'm not going to throw out the baby with the bath water but definitely something more to look at right now.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #27544

    @ben-dobie if PSG get one in i'll be rooting for you!

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Matt Wood on last edited by
    #27545

    @matt-wood make sure you have a message from them in your inbox first. The offer might be account specific, I know I was getting them through for a little while at least.

    Matt WoodM 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #27546

    @daniel-mills it was great at the time mate made some nice money from it. Seen a few now go for a 3 goal margin in favour of Bayern

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Matt Wood on last edited by
    #27547

    @matt-wood mate if you haven't got many accounts then I'd recommend doing some matched betting just to help your trading bank....it's basically free money if you do it right .

    Not sure if it's a minimum bet but you should have a message somewhere from them when you log in

    😁 he loves the Rescue Bots at the minute...he's literally played with them.all day today

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #27548

    @ben-dobie I thought maybe i'd been doing too well with the £50 free bets and that was why they'd stopped/they got wise to us. it's an MB dream that. Gone for 3-0 bayern CS with the initial bet. Should be an interesting match either way!

    ? ? 2 Replies Last reply
    0
  • Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt Wood
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #27549

    @ben-dobie said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @matt-wood 😂😂 I've pushed him towards transformers instead mate.
    If you are a member of Bet365 they should offer you a free in play bet to the value of your ore match bet on tonight's match varies from £10 - £25 - £50
    Have you not done matched betting yet mate ?

    Never looked into matched betting. is £10 a minimum on that? I got £9 in the account lol. So you just place a pre match bet and then get same value free bet in play? Sounds good to me 🙂

    Transformers were amazing when I was a kid 🙂

    Catch that Green!

    ? ? ? 3 Replies Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #27550

    @richard-latimer dont rush to correct these mate, let the weekend pass and have a overall view of the strat not just the weekends games. One thing i would say is new seasons are something i never get involved with. When we are finding games from filters and basing it on last seasons games we are asking for trouble. New players, new managers, new tactics etc. These are huge impacts on stats. A team may have just signed a 20 goal a season striker etc and changes everything.

    Covid also impacts on this seasons restart. Its badly affected how teams are preparing. Also for some there hasnt been any league football since march. I base all my filters to only show the games of current season. I wait until there has been around the 10 games played mark 5home/5away and then they qualify on mine. That way we know how a team is performing this season.

    I would advise to just let these run for a while mate. they have been working superb. If this trend of new season games keep affecting you then it maybe time to ask if the above i mentioned could be something to think about. If you look around at some of the leagues not all the best teams are at the top of the league or playing well right now. Some real early season results for the bigger teams, celtic, monaco, rangers, club brugge. It will happen in the bigger leagues too. I think james posted a cracking list of variables that badly affect stats for early season picks, personally i avoid, your strat has been superb with the games already mid season/late season when we have enough data on them

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Matt Wood on last edited by
    #27551

    @matt-wood 😂😂 I've pushed him towards transformers instead mate.
    If you are a member of Bet365 they should offer you a free in play bet to the value of your ore match bet on tonight's match varies from £10 - £25 - £50
    Have you not done matched betting yet mate ?

    Matt WoodM 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #27552

    @radomir-greczka said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Flamengo has recovered my losses of the last days. It's not the first time that a goal in the last few seconds is profitable.

    it is amazing how many late goals get scored in football in general!

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt Wood
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #27553

    @ben-dobie said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @daniel-mills only a bet using tge 365 in play freebie.....Bayern 4-1

    Hi ben, hope things going well, and your lego skills have been improving ;). What is this mysterious free in play bet on 365 you speak of?

    Catch that Green!

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #27554

    Flamengo has recovered my losses of the last days. It's not the first time that a goal in the last few seconds is profitable.

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #27555

    @daniel-mills just gutted it's now only a tenner when it was £50 for a long time....good luck with whatever you go for 👍

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #27556

    @ben-dobie Forgot about that! Nice. Will put mine on now.expecting late goals on this so will wait for in play at HT

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #27557

    @daniel-mills only a bet using tge 365 in play freebie.....Bayern 4-1

    ? Matt WoodM 2 Replies Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #27558

    Anyone going in for anything on the champs final tonight?

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #27559

    @richard-latimer I looked at my main filter and over 103 games had I layed the next overs at 1.2 i.e. 90 mins+ for £2 liability it would have been £146 in profit....that was with the last 13 of that filter losing. This isn't boasting as I haven't been trading that late in the game but just to show late goals happen often enough to profit from them even with long losing streaks

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to james everard on last edited by
    #27560

    @james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @richard-latimer Good on you if you got in on the 93rd min , i missed it but generally don't bother when that late maybe i should though as liability would be really low
    It has surely got to be just one of them months for the Elo hopefully . Fingers crossed you can make up for it in September positive thinking mate

    I didn't do it. May have done if it wasn't for Club Brugge and everything else.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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