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The BTC Football Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
42.9k Posts 268 Posters 3.4m Views
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #27661

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    I really don't know what to think about today. You'd think this one was safe as houses but yet again, against the run of play, it's 0-2.

    Today really testing my faith in these. Los Angeles massive home favourites ffs!

    Maybe it's like a delayed Covid reaction or something. Easily the worst day since I've been doing it well over a year ago. Not just the amount of losses but the odds involved. I know statistically this has to happen but it's still a real kick in the teeth just as things were finally going well.

    This is 4 losses now. 2x over 3.0, and 2x over 2.5. To make matters worse the relay hasn't salvaged a single penny today and it's not going to here either. Best hope is an improbable comeback to 2-2.

    Sorry anyone who got caught AGAIN!!!!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Matt WoodM 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by Richard Latimer
    #27662

    I really don't know what to think about today. You'd think this one was safe as houses but yet again, against the run of play, it's 0-2.

    Today really testing my faith in these. Los Angeles massive home favourites ffs!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #27663

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Right well, in for a pound in for a penny. Last ELO has qualified. Laid LA Galaxy @ 3.2.

    Got that round the wrong way haha! In for a penny in for a pound.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #27664

    Right well, in for a pound in for a penny. Last ELO has qualified. Laid LA Galaxy @ 3.2.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Finn KristensenF Offline
    Finn KristensenF Offline
    Finn Kristensen
    replied to Martin Walker on last edited by Finn Kristensen
    #27665

    @martin-walker said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    How many games would people recommend before dropping a league from a strategy?
    I ask as korea is performing terribly for fhg

    That's a very good question. I thought the same and have decided to remove the league from my systems when updating in Excel, so for now I won't be including them in my "official" figures. I haven't removed the league from the software though as I still want to keep records on how they perform so they will be exported to my Excel sheet, only not be used as selections for the various systems I track.

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #27666

    @gareth-thomas said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Evening all. Rough day today. 4 points down. Glad I've previously spent time looking at the mental side of things. Having reviewed the day, I don't think I did anything hugely wrong - perhaps I could have traded out to minimise losses on a couple - but overall, it just wasn't my day. I'm still 9 points up for the month though. Hopefully a better day tomorrow.

    Fine margins. If you were in the Dundalk game and they score the pen it's all different. If Krasnodar don't get a red they prob score.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #27667

    Evening all. Rough day today. 4 points down. Glad I've previously spent time looking at the mental side of things. Having reviewed the day, I don't think I did anything hugely wrong - perhaps I could have traded out to minimise losses on a couple - but overall, it just wasn't my day. I'm still 9 points up for the month though. Hopefully a better day tomorrow.

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    4
  • A Offline
    A Offline
    Andrew
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #27668

    @richard-latimer i know. it is curious. I suppose in every league there are teams that buck the trend.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Andrew on last edited by
    #27669

    @andrew said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @martin-walker If you look at the stats software the K1 league has FH goal in only 58% and K2 in 61% of matches. Relatively low compared to some leagues which are up to 70%+

    That just makes me wonder how it could appear in fhg filter at all.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    A 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • A Offline
    A Offline
    Andrew
    replied to Martin Walker on last edited by
    #27670

    @martin-walker If you look at the stats software the K1 league has FH goal in only 58% and K2 in 61% of matches. Relatively low compared to some leagues which are up to 70%+

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #27671

    @johannes-van-leeuwen-0 👍

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #27672

    @xhenis-tora said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @johannes-van-leeuwen-0 do you chose your games before they start or live?

    off course every day game selection, but in all these game fhg will have a profit from 10 points that means 36 points profit in 3 weeks and good traders make in long run arround 10 points a month doubeling yoour bank in a year

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #27673

    @johannes-van-leeuwen-0 do you chose your games before they start or live?

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #27674

    @xhenis-tora said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @johannes-van-leeuwen-0 same strategy for all these games today?

    yes the same enter above 2.1 10/20 thick above starting price, early goal then enter sh

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #27675

    @johannes-van-leeuwen-0 same strategy for all these games today?

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Martin Walker
    wrote on last edited by
    #27676

    How many games would people recommend before dropping a league from a strategy?
    I ask as korea is performing terribly for fhg

    A Finn KristensenF 2 Replies Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #27677

    0_1598124129176_KKLLL.JPG

    FOR WHO DO LIKE TO SEE IT
    Today not so good day but the profits goes lineair not to much up or downswing

    thks

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    3
  • E Offline
    E Offline
    Eamonn Hogan
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #27678

    @chris-osborne said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @eamonn-hogan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Over and out with 4 points green. Good luck everyone.

    And here's me thinking after the way today started I was going to stick with my 2 pts loss for the day and happy to do so.

    Well done Eamonn and keep doing what you've been doing the past few days

    Thanks Chris. Just need to keep my discipline. Logging off now instead of looking for something stupid and losing.

    Trading spreadsheet
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1uQGqrD_SJLxH3URHO1lgDPqecTGXwCdTDREJIRcrkeU/edit#gid=415583658

    1 Reply Last reply
    3
  • E Offline
    E Offline
    Eamonn Hogan
    replied to Matt Wood on last edited by
    #27679

    @matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @eamonn-hogan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Over and out with 4 points green. Good luck everyone.

    Excellent stuff on a day like today! You total ass... 🙂

    just sticking to my filters and then the opportunity to back celtic at 2.4

    Trading spreadsheet
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1uQGqrD_SJLxH3URHO1lgDPqecTGXwCdTDREJIRcrkeU/edit#gid=415583658

    1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • E Offline
    E Offline
    Eamonn Hogan
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #27680

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @eamonn-hogan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Over and out with 4 points green. Good luck everyone.

    Bloody well done today haha

    thanks Richard.

    Trading spreadsheet
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1uQGqrD_SJLxH3URHO1lgDPqecTGXwCdTDREJIRcrkeU/edit#gid=415583658

    1 Reply Last reply
    2

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