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The BTC Football Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
42.9k Posts 268 Posters 3.4m Views
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  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Martin Walker
    wrote on last edited by
    #27501

    I never did that well with the recommended 1.5, moved it up to 1.75 and started doing well but then noticed i could afford to drop it a bit, took 1.65 and its been flying

    Matt WoodM 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt Wood
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #27502

    @john-hurst Dont get me wrong I would always want 1.6+ but 1.51 is my absolute minimum. I am greedy too 🙂

    Catch that Green!

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Martin Walker
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #27503

    @john-hurst i que 1.65 on all of mine

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Matt Wood on last edited by
    #27504

    @matt-wood basing it on 75% strike rate 1.5 is decent isnt it. I get greedy i think wanting 1.65/1

    Matt WoodM 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt Wood
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #27505

    @john-hurst For me at least I wont take less than 1.51

    Catch that Green!

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #27506

    what sort of odds are people happy to take on over 0.5 FHG?

    Matt WoodM M ? 3 Replies Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Ryan on last edited by
    #27507

    @ryan-carruthers aye same here fhg and 2.5. Lets hope they give us chance to get our stake on!

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #27508

    @john-hurst The Brage one was on a few filters for me, I decided SS was the play on it too.

    Again cue it being 0-0

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #27509

    24/08/2020 17:00:00 Tromso Sogndal Over 1.5 SS
    24/08/2020 18:00:00 Brage Dalkurd Over 1.5 SS

    These look good for over 2.5 but decided to split stake 1.5. Probably both end 0-0

    RyanR 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Martin Walker on last edited by Richard Latimer
    #27510

    @martin-walker said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Its not like theres a lack of elos if you get rid of belgium so could be wise to bin it and monitor

    I will be monitoring all other excluded leagues separately from now on. A B sheet if you will haha! Won't have the odds buty will still give a good idea of profitability.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Martin Walker
    wrote on last edited by
    #27511

    Its not like theres a lack of elos if you get rid of belgium so could be wise to bin it and monitor

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #27512

    @martin-futter said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @lee-woodman do you enter any scoreline on your filter?

    Yes mate, I am doing

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #27513

    @john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @richard-latimer might be a bit premature to remove them mate. First time they are playing without crowds. Remember when the premier league started? barely any goals anywhere. Better off just using teams that have proven records very recently (ie last 5-10 games imo) could check their results too before entering. Brugge had lost last week by the same result if i remember.

    How is a year of data premature? They were playing with crowds all last year.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #27514

    back now

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #27515

    ermmmmm all the filters are gone.........

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #27516

    @richard-latimer might be a bit premature to remove them mate. First time they are playing without crowds. Remember when the premier league started? barely any goals anywhere. Better off just using teams that have proven records very recently (ie last 5-10 games imo) could check their results too before entering. Brugge had lost last week by the same result if i remember.

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by Richard Latimer
    #27517

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    https://punditfeed.com/long-reads/belgian-jupiler-pro-league/

    Maybe this leads to inconsistency. No one cares or understands the rules so don't know what they have to do to secure various routes into Europe or win titles, get promoted etc haha!!!

    Wow, I suggest anyone read this. I haven't got a bloody clue what's going on and it seems like halfway through the league most teams are done and dusted. 2nd division teams can qualify for Europe but even if they do they can't because of their grounds and then if their grounds are up to spec there is a whole bunch of match fixing charges hanging in the air.

    Yeah, I think Belgium is confined to the bin for now on the ELO's!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #27518

    @lee-woodman do you enter any scoreline on your filter?

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by Richard Latimer
    #27519

    https://punditfeed.com/long-reads/belgian-jupiler-pro-league/

    Maybe this leads to inconsistency. No one cares or understands the rules so don't know what they have to do to secure various routes into Europe or win titles, get promoted etc haha!!!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Ryan on last edited by
    #27520

    @ryan-carruthers said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    In that league I wonder if there's a lot of movement in the quality of team year to year?

    I.e. is the league not that settled?

    Maybe that could be a thing. I'm sure Club Brugge had a few of the top players from last year on the pitch though.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0

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