The BTC Football Trading Thread
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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 im watching two equal teams. Anyones game this.
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@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 poor game so far
goals can come from nowhere ...yes da look not so good so far
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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 poor game so far
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@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Got caught napping with 11 oclock in China... Odds have shortened quite a bit... Maybe due to Fellaini on the bench???
10 min left still 1.69 haha
before the 20th min need to get in -
Got caught napping with 11 oclock in China... Odds have shortened quite a bit... Maybe due to Fellaini on the bench???
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Valur look value tonight to back- 2.37 currently. Won their last 6 away from home, KR Reykjavik lost their last home game and took a thumping away to celtic in their last game.
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@Ryan-Carruthers Betfair doesn't cover the smaller Aussie leagues but made good profit with small accas on Bet365 last summer with FHG, o2.5 & overs with corners... Don't think you can combine o2.5 goals with FHG now unless I tried combining o1.5 with FHG
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@ryan-carruthers right ok. I’ve excluded regional leagues and a lot of b leagues
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@lee-woodman Brisbane Strikers buddy
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@ryan-carruthers what Aussie game?
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@lee-woodman I might have a slightly different version
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@alan-steward I was just curious more than anything. It could be unique to certain filters, including mine, after all I am primarily looking for 2 SH goals whereas others will be looking for at least 1
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@ryan-carruthers I haven’t got Aussie one of my filter, none of the Aussie games seem to appear from what I remember. I’ll check the settings later
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@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
In China... 11:00 Guangzhou R&F will trade as follows;
Dutch 3-1, 2-2 & 1-3 correct score for 0.25pts
Lay u2.5 goals @ KO for 0.25pts (have already queued 0.25pts @ 2.3 to see if I get any nibbles) (this is protection against no BTTS)If game goes 1-1 will remove red on lay u2.5 goals
If game goes 2-1 or 1-2 will remove red in correct scoreIf game is 0-0 at HT will consider lay 0-0, 1-0 & 0-1 for 0.5pts if in-play stats suggest goal
This game have all the greens for over 2.5 and 3.5 succes
but long way to go to get matched @2.12 , otherwise over 2.5 SH with one fhg -
In China... 11:00 Guangzhou R&F will trade as follows;
Dutch 3-1, 2-2 & 1-3 correct score for 0.25pts
Lay u2.5 goals @ KO for 0.25pts (have already queued 0.25pts @ 2.3 to see if I get any nibbles) (this is protection against no BTTS)If game goes 1-1 will remove red on lay u2.5 goals
If game goes 2-1 or 1-2 will remove red in correct scoreIf game is 0-0 at HT will consider lay 0-0, 1-0 & 0-1 for 0.5pts if in-play stats suggest goal
Will take 75% green in correct score if goals come at the right time.
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@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
When people LCS at say 60' or 70' then i believe the general consensus is that if there has already been a goal in that half then you dont enter the trade. Has anyone collated any meaningful information to suggest thats is actually beneficial to leave the trade alone if there has already been a goal? I only ask because i decided to look at the results of my own filter and it didnt really make a difference and i was curious if people did it 'because thats the way its always been done' or maybe the stats are relevant to my filter alone. Just curious really!
This is interesting and I've started measuring Gary's SH Goal as of this month... As with all filters I will measure 2 month's before making a decision to trade... Will check stats later with what I have
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@xhenis-tora said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer i saw you league selection,what kind of stratedy you use for these leagues?
Not quite sure what you mean? I talked about leagues I'm now excluding on my ELO strategy. This is the one on strategies page on dashboard.
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@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
When people LCS at say 60' or 70' then i believe the general consensus is that if there has already been a goal in that half then you dont enter the trade. Has anyone collated any meaningful information to suggest thats is actually beneficial to leave the trade alone if there has already been a goal? I only ask because i decided to look at the results of my own filter and it didnt really make a difference and i was curious if people did it 'because thats the way its always been done' or maybe the stats are relevant to my filter alone. Just curious really!
Well I know Martins late goals doesn't take this into account but I can't imagine I'd have an 85% s/r if I was using games where goals already scored. Have no data to back that up but the late goals Martin is doing is around 78% while drawing.
All depends if it stays this way I guess.
