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The BTC Football Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by A Former User
    #27281

    2-1 in Iceland lol... o2.5 goals may have hit 1.82... Not sure

    Urm 2-2 lol... Glad I didn't do a correct score trade... Iceland very tricky for that

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #27282

    Any questions re the filter fire away... Remember it only started this month so if new to trading maybe just paper trade for now or just trade what you see.

    Think best value is o2.5 goals... I know Johannes doesn't like odds less than 2.1 but personally think with that filter around 1.82 would be fine.

    FHG, you could maybe split stake 0.5 & 1.5 FHG from KO as follows;

    25% KO
    25% 15mins
    25% 25mins
    25% 35mins

    Then either cash out o1.5 FHG remove red or let run???

    Don't think there would be enough value for o1.5 goals on full match even split staking from 10mins

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  • ? Offline
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    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #27283

    @johannes-van-leeuwen-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Scratch trade for me in China unless a late 4th goal.

    Am on my allotment now but remember the filter is new but picks up a few goals.

    Will add full settings later

    Your filter is ok , do not filter the betfair odds?

    Hi mate, no I don't wish to add Betfair odds as it makes a filter dynamic and something might appear one minute but disappear the next I use Betfair odds on my o2.5 goals value filter

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #27284

    Evening guys, am back on the scene... Busy afternoon... Phone call from my daughter just as I was trying to set up for the Iceland game... Hadn't been in 5mins lol

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #27285

    @john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    too soon valur, so close to being matched at 1.5 nvm

    better to lay under 1.5 fhg @1.5 and when y need lay under 0.5 @2 something like that

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #27286

    too soon valur, so close to being matched at 1.5 nvm

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Martin Walker
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #27287

    @john-hurst thanks

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Martin Walker on last edited by
    #27288

    @martin-walker from what i have seen from games with high goal expetency- they can take 20 mins+ to get there- from starting at 1.4-1.6.

    M 1 Reply Last reply
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  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Martin Walker
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #27289

    @richard-latimer thanks, just trying to figure out what possible strategies i have available from a filter

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #27290

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @martin-walker said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Does anyone know a rough time it takes a match to reach over 2 for over 2.5? Id like to check my data to see if waiting would affect my strike rate much.
    I know it can be quite different game to game but a guideline will do

    Completely depends what your starting odds are. 1.8 will often become evens around 15mins in I find.

    Evens or more I should say.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    M 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Martin Walker on last edited by
    #27291

    @martin-walker said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Does anyone know a rough time it takes a match to reach over 2 for over 2.5? Id like to check my data to see if waiting would affect my strike rate much.
    I know it can be quite different game to game but a guideline will do

    Completely depends what your starting odds are. 1.8 will often become evens around 15mins in I find.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
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  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Martin Walker
    wrote on last edited by
    #27292

    Does anyone know a rough time it takes a match to reach over 2 for over 2.5? Id like to check my data to see if waiting would affect my strike rate much.
    I know it can be quite different game to game but a guideline will do

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #27293

    @john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @finn-kristensen said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Took a bit of green from Asia this morning but the one that seems fairly decent value is the Wuhan game;

    It's on my o2.5 goals filter & o2.5 value filter... Basically should be good for 2 goals.

    Best value I feel would be to back o2.5 from KO, currently around the 2.08 mark... Take green or remove red on 2nd goal, if still less than 2 goals on 75mins LCS/Lay next overs to cover red... So be prepared to double your stake or fully risk the o2.5 stake.

    Best of luck if you enter 🤞 👍

    Have you been trading many Chinese matches? I have avoided them as they are played on neutral grounds.

    @Finn-Kristensen They're not anymore. Don't know why but they haven't been for a couple of weeks or more.

    todays were all neutral according to flashscore

    Weird, not according too soccerway either so sofascore giving out incorrect info. That's helpful.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #27294

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @finn-kristensen said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Took a bit of green from Asia this morning but the one that seems fairly decent value is the Wuhan game;

    It's on my o2.5 goals filter & o2.5 value filter... Basically should be good for 2 goals.

    Best value I feel would be to back o2.5 from KO, currently around the 2.08 mark... Take green or remove red on 2nd goal, if still less than 2 goals on 75mins LCS/Lay next overs to cover red... So be prepared to double your stake or fully risk the o2.5 stake.

    Best of luck if you enter 🤞 👍

    Have you been trading many Chinese matches? I have avoided them as they are played on neutral grounds.

    @Finn-Kristensen They're not anymore. Don't know why but they haven't been for a couple of weeks or more.

    todays were all neutral according to flashscore

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #27295

    @alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @john-hurst Not a league I feel too much love for... Dipped in and out, took some green yesterday in one game but was fortunate to scratch the 2nd... Best avoided in my mind but individual tastes vary.

    I guess I consider it corrupt 😳

    I have been warned off by someone here before. Very corrupt.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Finn Kristensen on last edited by Richard Latimer
    #27296

    @finn-kristensen said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Took a bit of green from Asia this morning but the one that seems fairly decent value is the Wuhan game;

    It's on my o2.5 goals filter & o2.5 value filter... Basically should be good for 2 goals.

    Best value I feel would be to back o2.5 from KO, currently around the 2.08 mark... Take green or remove red on 2nd goal, if still less than 2 goals on 75mins LCS/Lay next overs to cover red... So be prepared to double your stake or fully risk the o2.5 stake.

    Best of luck if you enter 🤞 👍

    Have you been trading many Chinese matches? I have avoided them as they are played on neutral grounds.

    @Finn-Kristensen They're not anymore. Don't know why but they haven't been for a couple of weeks or more.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #27297

    @john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    well just the valur match later for me for fhg. Queued at 1.52

    that game fhg puffff difficult sometimes i lay under 1.5fhg and after goal let it run or made green both sites
    depends on the goaltiming
    but valur is difficult to trade in the overs 2.5 ....

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by A Former User
    #27298

    @john-hurst to trade the overs with good profits y need to back above 2, i prefere to wait so long i can most of the time i wait for action 1/ sot sometimes already goal then up to the next game or go inside in the SH
    but is up to you , not everybody read the game the same

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #27299

    well just the valur match later for me for fhg. Queued at 1.52

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #27300

    @johannes-van-leeuwen-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Scratch trade for me in China unless a late 4th goal.

    Am on my allotment now but remember the filter is new but picks up a few goals.

    Will add full settings later

    Your filter is ok , do not filter the betfair odds?

    most dont get close to 2.0+ from start of match, filter looks good though

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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