The BTC Football Trading Thread
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@dan-erridge said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Anyone think a split stake o1.5 might work on bate game mate?
My reasoning is this
88% o1.5 h2h
Bate avg goal time 32mins
Goro avg goal time 51min
Overall 1st goal avg 26mins
As Ryan said earlier chance of 1st half goal, which on avg come after or around 30mins.
On overall h2h only 13% chance of ending a scoreline under 2 goalsWhat's people's thoughts on this as new to using the stats, have I read them right?
I'm hoping to lay at HT if 0-0
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Anyone think a split stake o1.5 might work on bate game mate?
My reasoning is this
88% o1.5 h2h
Bate avg goal time 32mins
Goro avg goal time 51min
Overall 1st goal avg 26mins
As Ryan said earlier chance of 1st half goal, which on avg come after or around 30mins.
On overall h2h only 13% chance of ending a scoreline under 2 goalsWhat's people's thoughts on this as new to using the stats, have I read them right?
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Re-laid Minsk at short odds, goal back so a nice easy out. Naftan I cashed for a whopping green on around 70 mins. All in just slightly under break even on these so far.
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Hopefully you will get your home goal, personally I only trust these guys for 1 goal...
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@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Slutsk reserves vs Belshina reserves Inplay stats suggest a goal or two, pre match stats certainly did with 49 goals in the 12 matches played between the sides this year. 0-0 at half time going to back over 1.5 goal market and drip until 70mins take liability away if there is a goal before.
Well that is why I haven't been trading this shitty leagues lol. 49 goals in 12 games and what do we get a bloody 0-0 lol
@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Slutsk reserves vs Belshina reserves Inplay stats suggest a goal or two, pre match stats certainly did with 49 goals in the 12 matches played between the sides this year. 0-0 at half time going to back over 1.5 goal market and drip until 70mins take liability away if there is a goal before.
Well that is why I haven't been trading this shitty leagues lol. 49 goals in 12 games and what do we get a bloody 0-0 lol
I was put off by results from years ago.
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@pete-smith said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer And Guess what 2-0 Minsk!
I can see Slavia turning it around though.
@pete-smith said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer And Guess what 2-0 Minsk!
I can see Slavia turning it around though.
Typical
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@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer And Guess what 2-0 Minsk!
I can see Slavia turning it around though.
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@richard-latimer And Guess what 2-0 Minsk!
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@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Slutsk reserves vs Belshina reserves Inplay stats suggest a goal or two, pre match stats certainly did with 49 goals in the 12 matches played between the sides this year. 0-0 at half time going to back over 1.5 goal market and drip until 70mins take liability away if there is a goal before.
Well that is why I haven't been trading this shitty leagues lol. 49 goals in 12 games and what do we get a bloody 0-0 lol
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@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Missed the first goal in Belarus Prem... Didn't see enough SOT so was sitting tight... Never mind, onto the 2 o'clock
Laying Minsk here
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Missed the first goal in Belarus Prem... Didn't see enough SOT so was sitting tight... Never mind, onto the 2 o'clock
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@pete-smith said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Watching the FC Slonim Reserves and I think I've identified why the Belarus massive play the way they do. Main HT beverage of vodka to keep the virus at bay followed by listening to 15 mins of trance music... explains a lot!
The definition says everything!
Trance
'A half conscious state characterized by an absence of response to external stimuli, typically as induced by hypnosis or entered by a medium'.
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Watching the FC Slonim Reserves and I think I've identified why the Belarus massive play the way they do. Main HT beverage of vodka to keep the virus at bay followed by listening to 15 mins of trance music... explains a lot!
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Slutsk reserves vs Belshina reserves Inplay stats suggest a goal or two, pre match stats certainly did with 49 goals in the 12 matches played between the sides this year. 0-0 at half time going to back over 1.5 goal market and drip until 70mins take liability away if there is a goal before.
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Finally Energetik Mary.....wtf haha!!
It's unmanaged but over 1.5 overall 80% and also looks nailed on for at least 1 goal if 0-0 @ HT.
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Kopetdag in Turkmenistan looks like an under 2.5 all day but odds not favourable .1.5-1.6. Maybe worth a bash with 75% unders already.
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Dinamo Brest I'm thinking LTD 2nd half too. Brest have scored 100%, Shakhtyor 60%.
Brest have gone over 1.5 90% of the time but Shakhtyor again only 60% so not keen on the over 1.5.
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@ryan-carruthers said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Gorodeja v Bate
Goro 50% Over 0.5 FHG this season at home
Bate 100% Over 0.5 FHG this season away from home
Overall 20% 0-0 @ HT
My original thinking was a FHG goal on this one, the price is currently 1.53 which is higher than my usual entry point, but I am not 100% convinced with the average goal time stats where it puts the goals coming later...
I will keep an eye on this for 0-0 @ HT then will look for a LTD at HT.
I'm with you on the 0-0 @ HT 2nd half goal angle here.
Too many red flags for other scenarios.
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Smorgon v Volna
Only 50% stats that either team scores. 3x 0-0, 3x 1-0/0-1.
Looks like a low scoring affair.
Red flag - Both teams concede a lot but no one to score will it make a difference.
Odds on under 2.5 @ 1.8. Looks tasty.
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Slavia v Minsk. I may check inplay stats and back home. Only 4 goals scored by away. 6 scored for home. Slavia don't lose too often at home. H2H favours Slavia. Odds over evens.