The BTC Football Trading Thread

james everard

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Anyone staying up for the last 2 games. If there's angle at all I'm thinking it must be for Managua to score 2nd half. Esteli hardly have a goal to their name after 45 minutes! As there doesn't appear to be a market for this maybe a BTTS yes would be in order but only if Esteli have managed to score 1st half.

I really can't see any other angles jumping out at me. @james-everard? @gary-haigh?

Hi Richard sorry mate think my age is catching up with me , I couldn't keep my eyes open to stay up after the night before lol.

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

One extra stat: Both prev H2H between these teams have ended 2-0 to the home team. This was in 2016.

Looking at premier league games so ignore me haha! Stats are correct. Odds are not.

Richard Latimer

One extra stat: Both prev H2H between these teams have ended 2-0 to the home team. This was in 2016.

Richard Latimer

So who's currently researching the Belarus reserve league haha??

At first glance the stats strongly suggest over 2.5 with 9/10 of the home teams fixtures going that way and 7/10 of the away teams. Of course we don't know about teams but these are strong stats.

A quick glance at the over 2.5 odds either says that somebody knows something we don't or there could be massive value.

Stats aren't detailed enough to show when the goals are scored so it's impossible to get an idea of whether these are first half teams or second half or indeed whether they spread the love.

What we can do though is to make sure the teams here have scored a good qty themselves.

home scored 2 or more in 6/10
home scored at least 1 in 8/10
Away scored scored at least 1 in 6/10

Home scored average = 1.8
Away scored average = 1
2.8 combined

Current odds:

Over 1.5 between 1.58 -1.68
Over 2.5 between 2.92 - 3.1

Anybody else have any thoughts?

Ryan

@richard-latimer We are on with it matey, trying to get to the bottom of this issue.

Richard Latimer

@ryan-carruthers can't read your post on off topic at all

Ryan

I feel like its back the Aussie open days awake at all hours, not going out, smashing coffee!

Simji

I found that last night that the market wasn't moving as fast as I thought it would. Last 10 was that's where I got in on last scalp and sadly think I got bit cocky

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Lost that but layed over 4.5 now

Small green there. These odds just aren't moving.

Richard Latimer

Lost that but layed over 4.5 now

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Early goal on one game and 2 early goals definitely not expected. Cheap lay of the over 2.5

And out. Small green but sot. Playing it safe.

Taking my small green and laying it against another goal. 1.12 lay of over 2.5.

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Early goal on one game and 2 early goals definitely not expected. Cheap lay of the over 2.5

And out. Small green but sot. Playing it safe.

Richard Latimer

Early goal on one game and 2 early goals definitely not expected. Cheap lay of the over 2.5

Richard Latimer

Anyone staying up for the last 2 games. If there's angle at all I'm thinking it must be for Managua to score 2nd half. Esteli hardly have a goal to their name after 45 minutes! As there doesn't appear to be a market for this maybe a BTTS yes would be in order but only if Esteli have managed to score 1st half.

I really can't see any other angles jumping out at me. @james-everard? @gary-haigh?

Richard Latimer

@simon-miller said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

One scalp too many. The 4th(2nd pen) came in 2 ticks before my out.

Sorry to hear that

Simji

One scalp too many. The 4th(2nd pen) came in 2 ticks before my out.

Richard Latimer

Ocotal not inplay as Betfair obviously way too busy given all the sport currently on right now.....

Richard Latimer

@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer Ok cheers mate will do

Was going to join you on this after I got out of the other but too late. Hope you got in.

Richard Latimer

Got lucky with a missed pen. I'm out just before 60 mins.

Simji

im in at under 2.5 and 3.5 will be out at 60 mins.