The BTC Football Trading Thread
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Only got one more potential today and think I may call it a day while I'm behind.
Only other qualifier on the goals was Santos v Flamengo and that looked for all the world like a 2nd half goal would come. Odds not too bad as well. Flamengo missed a couple of big chances apparently. Not as many shots on target as first half but unless I find anything crazy in my analysis I'd do that one all day long. Was easily the best of my 4 losers today. Yes we've gone from no losers in getting close to 20 to 4 on the bounce.
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@lee-woodman Nice one mate. Gonna get stuck in later.
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@richard-latimer That landed and decent roi for 10 minutes in the game early on.
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Dun Streda behinddat Moravce. Laid @ 2.2.
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@chris-osborne said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@matt-wood Malmo caught me out as well Matt, 21 shots in 2nd half with only 6 on target and no goals speaks for itself.
I'd expect another goal in that game everytime
Next week's an international break and although I would normally hate them, going to review what I'm doing.
Yep think I will be doing the same. Really annoying thing is I was trying to carefully consider the trades and I chose the Malmo game over the Rosenborg game for my 2H trading. Couldnt have been more wrong
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@chris-osborne said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@matt-wood Malmo caught me out as well Matt, 21 shots in 2nd half with only 6 on target and no goals speaks for itself.
I'd expect another goal in that game everytime
Next week's an international break and although I would normally hate them, going to review what I'm doing.
I saw The Malmo goalkeeper was their best performing player according to Sofascore.
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Well gents thats it for me. Very nearly wiped out the profit I had made this month
Even taking into account the two mistakes I made this has been my worst day by far since starting in June.
Seems I do better when I do random here and there crazy over trading lol. I know this cannot be true but kinda feels like it.
Crack open a bottle tonight and watch a s**t film. Then look at things in the morning. Maybe a movie style desk swipe and clear the decks to start again from the beginning
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@darri said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer first game of the season in holland mate, id wait personally and just focus on the summer leagues until there is a good amount of data for this current season
Yeah I know. I'm going to do the same sort of analysing which has worked so well on the ELO which is coming up trumps again.
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@matt-wood Malmo caught me out as well Matt, 21 shots in 2nd half with only 6 on target and no goals speaks for itself.
I'd expect another goal in that game everytime
Next week's an international break and although I would normally hate them, going to review what I'm doing.
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@richard-latimer first game of the season in holland mate, id wait personally and just focus on the summer leagues until there is a good amount of data for this current season
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@matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Well after an overtrading saturday which is normally crappy, I clawed it back to a tiny red. Only for that to be replaced by a crappy sunday
Need a goal in Malmo to claw some back but looking at about 6 pts red
2 clear mistakes that were off plan from me accounts for 2 pts but the others were carefully considered and thought out trades.
Maybe I should just roll a dice on the games and the strats and do those
Yeah it's been real s**t again last couple. Perhaps I should have stayed away from Netherlands. I'll have to analyse further.
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Now into Malmo for another goal. Laying @ 3.8 and 3.3.
Really and truly like buses. What a crap day on these! Still well up but annoying nonetheless.
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Well after an overtrading saturday which is normally crappy, I clawed it back to a tiny red. Only for that to be replaced by a crappy sunday
Need a goal in Malmo to claw some back but looking at about 6 pts red
2 clear mistakes that were off plan from me accounts for 2 pts but the others were carefully considered and thought out trades.
Maybe I should just roll a dice on the games and the strats and do those
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Now into Malmo for another goal. Laying @ 3.8 and 3.3.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Odd weren't behind long. Hope people got on. Laid under 0.5 in Dordrecht game.
Like buses. Nothing for ages then 2 come along. Looks like 0-0 in Netherlands.
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Odd weren't behind long. Hope people got on. Laid under 0.5 in Dordrecht game.
I missed it
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Odd weren't behind long. Hope people got on. Laid under 0.5 in Dordrecht game.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Going to monitor St Gilloise game to see if inplay stats pick up. Ideally in for a goal when odds get to 2.3.
A few more shots this half. Actually lower than 2.3 by the time I got in (1.95). Happy with that.
Had to have a loser on these in the end. Take it at those odds.
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Dutch odds a little higher than they get later on. May look for a goal in Dordrecht later in 2nd half around 3.2 & 2.7.
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@richard-latimer thanks for the detailed and explained reply, I really appreciate you taking the time to provide context!
