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The BTC Football Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
42.9k Posts 268 Posters 3.4m Views
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  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #26621

    @john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Question for those who successfully trade 0ver 0.5 FHG- how do you filter out the games from your fhg filter to find the matches you will trade? from my experience there doesnt seem to be any pattern ie you can have 100% across the board and the fh will be terrible. Never got how people make so much off it. Luck? Also with a tried and tested fhg filter (1000 results) lets say 80% sr, why wouldnt you use a martingale system on that when you get a loser?

    ' ie you can have 100% across the board and the fh will be terrible.' can you clarify this? not sure I understand.

    I filter out lowly leagues and start of season games mainly

    Wouldn't touch martingale with a ten foot bargepole unless you don't really care if you lose your bankroll one day

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Ryan on last edited by
    #26622

    @ryan-carruthers i deleted both of them mate after having a few games losing streak. The % were so high on over 0.5 fh, overall goals, goals conceded etc but i had that many results i could not fine tune, any that did have fhg came well before 1.51. Seems a lot tougher than the sh markets to crack.

    RyanR ? 2 Replies Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #26623

    @john-hurst I cant really answer the first part but the martingale system is an absolute disaster to use! It will go well but imagine if you get just 6, 7 or 8 losses in a row (unlikely but could well happen). It will honestly cripple you and i would hate to be in a position whereby a run of losses like that could finish me as a trader

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #26624

    @john-hurst Hey buddy,

    I'd never touch martingale even if the stats said it would work, you are going to get a bad run and it will wipe you out.

    On the FHG I had a filter which worked based on value, the price should have been 1.20-1.30 and I was getting on @ 1.51 and in active games so it reduced the risk and it was profitable over the long term. Although, it's been hammered by Corona and I haven't been using it fully since - while I track the data.

    What is your filter? 🙂 happy to have a look through it.

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #26625

    Question for those who successfully trade 0ver 0.5 FHG- how do you filter out the games from your fhg filter to find the matches you will trade? from my experience there doesnt seem to be any pattern ie you can have 100% across the board and the fh will be terrible. Never got how people make so much off it. Luck? Also with a tried and tested fhg filter (1000 results) lets say 80% sr, why wouldnt you use a martingale system on that when you get a loser?

    RyanR ? MartinM S 4 Replies Last reply
    0
  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    wrote on last edited by
    #26626

    Nothing from me today! Bloody internationals!

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #26627

    @martin-futter said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    If 0-0 I would look at getting in and laying the draw or the 0-0 either at HT or even later in the game:

    Yokohama v Kawasaki 10am

    Hehei v Shanghai 11am

    VPS v Ekanas 2.30pm

    none got to 0-0 at HT should have just gone for FHG!

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Martin Walker
    wrote on last edited by
    #26628

    I expect england to sort it out but terrible starting line up and terrible first half

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #26629

    Backing over 1.5 goals in england game. Seems good value at over 2.0 odds

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #26630

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Liking the look of another goal in Eindhoven. It's on my Over & Out filter. Everything seeems good for it including price.

    Laying under 1.5 @ 3.4 @ 2.9.

    Too soon, damn you!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #26631

    Liking the look of another goal in Eindhoven. It's on my Over & Out filter. Everything seeems good for it including price.

    Laying under 1.5 @ 3.4 @ 2.9.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • S Offline
    S Offline
    Stuart Capstick
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #26632

    @martin-futter

    Thanks, Martin.

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    wrote on last edited by
    #26633

    software is back 🙂 apologies for the delay

    S 1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #26634

    @john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @richard-latimer not happening today. Look at the stats in this second half yet now finished 2-0.

    Only took it as odds decent and inplay stats favoured Shanghai massively. Not the end of the world but pointless.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by Richard Latimer
    #26635

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Pretty sure Pohang would have been a dog lay, would have already greened once and they are behind again

    Not sure about that one to be honest. Odds quite even for both teams. Not saying it wouldn't be but would be unusual.

    Well there was another goal. Leaving now until we have the stats back. Like working with one arm tied behind your back haha!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #26636

    @richard-latimer not happening today. Look at the stats in this second half yet now finished 2-0.

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • S Offline
    S Offline
    Stuart Capstick
    replied to Martin Walker on last edited by
    #26637

    @martin-walker

    Well done. I'm in a similar position..

    Think I'll wait for this evening's internationals.

    Been quite a good opportunity to see if I can trade without the stats and just by using in-play and what's available free on-line.

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt Wood
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #26638

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Pretty sure Pohang would have been a dog lay, would have already greened once and they are behind again

    Not sure about that one to be honest. Odds quite even for both teams. Not saying it wouldn't be but would be unusual.

    Probably right I dont know sh*t lol. Dont seem to be able to make a profit lately even with the stats software 🙂

    Catch that Green!

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Matt Wood on last edited by
    #26639

    @matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Pretty sure Pohang would have been a dog lay, would have already greened once and they are behind again

    Not sure about that one to be honest. Odds quite even for both teams. Not saying it wouldn't be but would be unusual.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Matt WoodM Richard LatimerR 2 Replies Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #26640

    @john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @richard-latimer has dipped a bit now watching the attacking charts, be surprised if they dont get one. Missing the software/ratings i must say

    Yeah, I won't record it but it looks good.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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