The BTC Football Trading Thread
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@martin-walker said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Although i was asking about trading too many games in one day ive looked at this months results and ive managed to make
Fhg 10% 33 trades
Shg 11% 16 tradesSo on average 1 fhg trade a day and 1 shg trade every 2 days roughly. I think this shows how little you actually have to trade and im sure some people trade even less than this.
I think i can improve the fhg numbers by stopping when im ahead on busy weekends next month
Are those the only trades you do? Just your FHG and SHG?
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Although i was asking about trading too many games in one day ive looked at this months results and ive managed to make
Fhg 10% 33 trades
Shg 11% 16 tradesSo on average 1 fhg trade a day and 1 shg trade every 2 days roughly. I think this shows how little you actually have to trade and im sure some people trade even less than this.
I think i can improve the fhg numbers by stopping when im ahead on busy weekends next month
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@finn-kristensen said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@liam-willis said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
ok brains gone does anyone know how to work out the probability for the lay side, for example using martins chart 71% is 1.4 to back what would be lay side to this.
The bettingtools site does what you want but if you don't want to have to open that site every time, it's not difficult to calculate for yourself.
If you have back odds of 1.4, you calculate the probability as 1/1.4 = 71% (you already have these two).
So, if there is 71% chance of it happening, there must be 29% chance of it not happening. This converts to odds of 1/0.29 = 3.45 (these percentages are all rounded figures, why the site will show a slightly different result - if you use the real figures, you get the Lay odds to be 3.50).thanks for that ill have a play around with that
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@liam-willis said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
ok brains gone does anyone know how to work out the probability for the lay side, for example using martins chart 71% is 1.4 to back what would be lay side to this.
The bettingtools site does what you want but if you don't want to have to open that site every time, it's not difficult to calculate for yourself.
If you have back odds of 1.4, you calculate the probability as 1/1.4 = 71% (you already have these two).
So, if there is 71% chance of it happening, there must be 29% chance of it not happening. This converts to odds of 1/0.29 = 3.45 (these percentages are all rounded figures, why the site will show a slightly different result - if you use the real figures, you get the Lay odds to be 3.50). -
@liam-willis No worries mate
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@ben-dobie nice one thanks mate
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ok brains gone does anyone know how to work out the probability for the lay side, for example using martins chart 71% is 1.4 to back what would be lay side to this.
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@ryan-carruthers said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@martin-futter said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@lee-woodman @Ben-Dobie have to say your two filters I've tested over the weekend look very good, early days of course
Iām looking forward to seeing these results
check the mastersheet, woody and big ben tabs https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Cpqyy6ijhtHNRs_7sSVBMVIrWEhmAuLFXVLnN51DUFs/edit#gid=1253874436
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@martin-futter After seeing your selections and mine i decided i was looking at too many of the lesser leagues, not certain leagues in particular but any which would be classified as 'Grade B' in terms of quality. Makes a huge difference to the figures!
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@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Anyone who does LCS, what sort of prices do you get on 70' and 80' to LCS? I appreciate it varies but any idea of price range would be appreciated
I haven't really looked at 80 mate but I find 70 mins is usually between 2.2 - 2.5 .... 2.0 is a bonus but don't see it often
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@martin-futter Thanks for the feedback back mate, encouraging to hear
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@martin-futter said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@lee-woodman @Ben-Dobie have to say your two filters I've tested over the weekend look very good, early days of course
Iām looking forward to seeing these results
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Anyone who does LCS, what sort of prices do you get on 70' and 80' to LCS? I appreciate it varies but any idea of price range would be appreciated
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@martin-futter Glad to hear it
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With the international break and with everyone doing monthly reviews etc, i thought it would be a good time to start a little series of detailed posts over on my blog/thread which you can find in the link below. Noticed people tend to ask or struggle with the same recurring habits/issues and whilst it might not fix them, they could help guide you to better decisions. The first one is on PRICE/VALUE and would be happy to receive requests for topics to discuss in this quiet period. Just a small series and dont have to follow just posting here incase there is anyone new here and hasnt read the blog yet. Cheers lads
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@lee-woodman @Ben-Dobie have to say your two filters I've tested over the weekend look very good, early days of course
