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The BTC Football Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #2721

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Lay Under 1.5:

    0_1673976351588_9e15810a-e890-4ab8-82c5-f8e51250531f-image.png

    1-1, didn't think it was going to come!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #2722

    SHG Leuven @ 1.3

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2723

    Lay Under 1.5:

    0_1673976351588_9e15810a-e890-4ab8-82c5-f8e51250531f-image.png

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #2724

    Anyone fancy Wolves tonight at 3.55?

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    replied to Mr. Emmet Moorehouse on last edited by
    #2725

    @mr-emmet-moorehouse said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @keith-anderson They are not uneducated guesses though.

    True!

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Mr. Emmet Moorehouse
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #2726

    @keith-anderson They are not uneducated guesses though.

    Akiva AndersonA 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #2727

    @chris-osborne said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @keith-anderson impressive Keith

    Looking to upscale in September. No rush

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #2728

    @keith-anderson impressive Keith

    Akiva AndersonA 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #2729

    @keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Some stats on my SHG trades:

    September 2022:

    73 Trades
    11 Losses
    S/R = 85%

    October 2022:

    164 Trades
    33 Losses
    S/R = 80%

    November 2022:

    151 Trades
    29 Losses
    S/R = 81%

    December 2022:

    65 Trades
    15 Losses
    S/R = 77%

    January 2023 (So Far):

    81 Trades
    16 Losses
    S/R = 81%

    Total (07th Sept - 16th Jan )

    534 Trades
    104 Losses
    S/R = 81%

    It is remarkably consistent considering a lot of these are guesses. I'm putting December down to the 'World Cup'. There was still a profit there (+ 0.70).

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    M 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • A Offline
    A Offline
    Andy Donnelly
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #2730

    @keith-anderson Nice results, what’s your break even strike rate out of interest?

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    mick mcmahon
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #2731

    @keith-anderson 😆 For a moment I was trying to figure out why you where sad about your overall 81% strike rate. "what does he want? 90%!!?!"

    Really good stuff there mate. You are a continued inspiration on here that one day it will fall into place.

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by Akiva Anderson
    #2732

    Some stats on my SHG trades:

    September 2022:

    73 Trades
    11 Losses
    S/R = 85%

    October 2022:

    164 Trades
    33 Losses
    S/R = 80%

    November 2022:

    151 Trades
    29 Losses
    S/R = 81%

    December 2022:

    65 Trades
    15 Losses
    S/R = 77%

    January 2023 (So Far):

    81 Trades
    16 Losses
    S/R = 81%

    Total (07th Sept - 16th Jan )

    534 Trades
    104 Losses
    S/R = 81%

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    M A Akiva AndersonA ? Alex RuleA 6 Replies Last reply
    3
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #2733

    @keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Going for a SHG in the Port Vale v Peterborough match. 0-0 at HT. Slim pickings tonight

    All's well that ends well

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #2734

    I back a SHG in the match Gil Vicente against Guimaraes.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #2735

    Heads up for Friday:

    Sheffield United v Hull City:

    Home Win Probability: 70.4%
    Probability Odds: 1.42
    Betfair Odds: 1.62

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #2736

    @keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Going for a SHG in the Port Vale v Peterborough match. 0-0 at HT. Slim pickings tonight

    Overs / Under market.

    If laying no more than 5.9

    If backing, then nothing lower than 1.21

    I tend not to post above or below those two odds

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #2737

    @keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Going for a SHG in the Port Vale v Peterborough match. 0-0 at HT. Slim pickings tonight

    Nice though! 👍

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #2738

    Going for a SHG in the Port Vale v Peterborough match. 0-0 at HT. Slim pickings tonight

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    Akiva AndersonA ? 3 Replies Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #2739

    @keith-anderson

    For SHG are you just laying the correct score/laying next goal market? If so do you have a max odds you go for

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #2740

    About 1/4 only make it. So on a Saturday / Sunday about 6 games

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    1

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