The BTC Football Trading Thread
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SHG in the Hoffnheim v Stuttgart match. 1-1 at HT
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@Mark-Maguire I like the look of a first half goal angle in the bayern game.
I am thinking laying the draw half time as odds are currently 3.95. Will see how the first 10 mins plays out. It looks like their top 3 goal scorers are all starting aswell so lots of positives.
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@matthew-harrison
Can’t believe I got odds below 5 pre match. Schalke can’t string a pass together but Leipzig have been on flames
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I have Schalke on my Ltd. Wish every night was as easy as this
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These came up on my SHG filter for tonight:
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Lay Under 1.5 Glenavon
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@mark-maguire you don’t like cricket
You love it!
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For some reason posted this on the cricket thread first
Of interest tonight
LTD
Schalke vs Leipzig
Bayern vs Koln (although odds likely to be prohibitive)
Bolton vs Forest Green
Glentoran vs Larne (again odds may prevent it)The above will all be 01.5
02.5
Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart (Out after 60 mins if no goal, split stake before then)
FHG
Bayern vs Koln.. my stats say 99% chance of FHG .. so bound to be 0-0 HT but will try it anyway
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@stephen-brooks-0 Good stuff decent odds as you say
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@mark-maguire I backed o 1.5 after 30 mins as per Ryans split stake o 1.5 strategy. got odds of 1.65 which I thought was good.
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LTD
Umraniyespor vs Fenerbahçe
Inter vs Empoli /
(not the way I expected and while it ended with a result I took a loss after the red card) stayed in with 01.5 traded and greened up small profit after goalBoth will be 01.5 trades (green up after goal)
01.5 and also FHG
Fulham vs Spurs
greened up for 01.5 after Kane's goal -
@keith-anderson my man - buzzing at the moment. Been a long time coming!
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@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
I know this is a Trading forum but......get to f**k!!! Arsenal!!
Love this team so much!!
Saka is just immense!!!!
Will they win the league?
I hope so but not thinking we have won it yet. Only half the season gone but in a great position we have managed to get 7 points out of 9 from Newcastle , Spurs and Utd which was more than i expected . Still got Man City to place twice , Newcastle away , Liverpool and Chelsea ( both of which form could turn around )
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@keith-anderson Interesting Keith.. I put mine through an ELO probability calculator and that factors in Home bias.. it ends up with Inter at probability of 80% , 1.25 and Empoli 8% , 12.5 the Draw , 12% 8.33
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Match: Inter Milan v Empoli
Time: 19:45
Home Win Probability: 77.7%
Implied Odds: 1.29
Betfair Odds: 1.29Emploi have scored in 49.7% of away games.
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Today will have a look at these
LTD
Umraniyespor vs Fenerbahçe
Inter vs EmpoliBoth will be 01.5 trades (green up after goal)
01.5 and also FHG
Fulham vs Spurs
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@keith-anderson I hope so!!! Only issue is how much City can spend to get their hold on it again.
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
I know this is a Trading forum but......get to f**k!!! Arsenal!!
Love this team so much!!
Saka is just immense!!!!
Will they win the league?
le jeu avant tout
Am Yisrael Chai
When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game... -
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
I'm just going Lay Under 1.5 in Leeds today which appeears to be in the sweet spot of everything
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