The BTC Football Trading Thread
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@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@matt-wood hey mate, they’re good I think they missed me
or they just tell me that to make me feel good. 
I’m entering generally before 15 mins mate and taking the 1.51 when it gets there which seems to be around the 9-12 minute mark. To be fair whilst away I did treat them a lot like set and forgets. I’m very strict with FHG’s and cut my list down massively each day averaging no more than 3. I’m going at about 78% but that’s with variance after a hot streak then a lull and now consistent winners. I’ll have a proper look over the weekend mate and give correct % I’m 2 from 2 today in Japan for a points green and that will do me for today as far as FHG’s go. They can be profitable but I definitely think less is more.They miss you until they see there are no gifts
lol I am sure they do miss you 
I was doing the same, setting/entering @ 1.51 but am just about break even. Maybe I need to cut my list down each day but not sure how to do that beyond obvious things like top scorers and recent form etc. Had 5 pop up on my filter yesterday but have stopped trading them even with tiny stakes now. All 5 won lol sods law I guess.
Thanks for the tips though
much appreciated -
@james-woodroffe Thanks mate, testing a filter at the minute it's only 140 games in but thinking of adding a couple more criteria to nail it down
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@matt-wood hey mate, they’re good I think they missed me
or they just tell me that to make me feel good. I’m entering generally before 15 mins mate and taking the 1.51 when it gets there which seems to be around the 9-12 minute mark. To be fair whilst away I did treat them a lot like set and forgets. I’m very strict with FHG’s and cut my list down massively each day averaging no more than 3. I’m going at about 78% but that’s with variance after a hot streak then a lull and now consistent winners. I’ll have a proper look over the weekend mate and give correct % I’m 2 from 2 today in Japan for a points green and that will do me for today as far as FHG’s go. They can be profitable but I definitely think less is more. -
@james-woodroffe Morning hope you and family are good.
What is the sr of your FHG filter? entering @ 15mins?
I am kinda going off my filter. It is currently 80% from KO and 67.5% from 15mins. Not sure if thats good or if I should give up on FHG. Have barely broken even on them after 2mnths.
Chrs in advance
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@ben-dobie I’m going in with 5% of bank at 1.51 and then between 1.5-2% again IF the goal hasn’t come and in play looks good. If in play isn’t enticing I just leave it.
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Backing these for a sh goal if they reach 1.51. 2pts per trade
26/09/2020 11:00:00 Kobe Sapporo Late Goal
26/09/2020 12:00:00 Energetik-BGU Isloch Minsk Late Goal
26/09/2020 14:00:00 Orebro Sirius Late Goal
26/09/2020 15:00:00 Backa Topola Sp. Subotica Late Goal
26/09/2020 17:00:00 Molde Sandefjord Late Goal
26/09/2020 18:00:00 Z. Moravce Zilina Late Goal -
@james-woodroffe hi mate thanks, what sort if s/r are you getting at 15 mins then ? Are you just 50/50 split staking ?
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@john-hurst hello mate just to give you some input from my filter, out of 62 games that were 0-0 at HT only 8 didn't have a second half goal
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@john-hurst I do yes. Like I said any reduced chance is reflected in the odds and a lot of teams in these leagues find a way to get the goal needed. I’ve only got 35 or so games which were 0-0 at HT so not enough to get a great analysis but the SR is barely lower than other score lines
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@ben-dobie I tried it but liked the idea of waiting till 1.51 or 15 minutes. The FHG’s are working well at the moment so happily sticking with what’s working. What I am finding is I very rarely get a chance to enter again around 30 mins.
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@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
another quiet friday, just the one today from lee's sh filter and its Raufoss v Sandnes
not to be. Need to start half staking for a sh goal if 0-0 at HT.
If the SR is slightly reduced because it is 0-0 at HT then i think you will find that is factored into the reduced odds. I like it when its 0-0 at HT and a goal is well due because the market panics, odds drop fast and you can usually get on at a decent price
you think it is worth full staking then mate? always thought the 0-0 is a dodgy score
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Does anybody trade FHG from kick off using a split stake ? I’m sure somebody does just can’t remember who
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plan for today is to break my streak of ending Saturday on a red. Taking onboard everyones tips from last week and trading just a select few games.
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@ryan-carruthers said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
ooooooooffff today's has some nice stats games doesn't it! What's everybody's fav stat?
Calm before the storm before most leagues start hitting the filters in next couple of weeks!.
One game in particular I'll be looking at is Molde v Sandefjord. Should be a comfortable home win but in the unlikely event its 0-0/1-1/0-1 at HT, will be definitely looking for SHGs or to back Molde if there is value
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@ben-dobie said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@ben-dobie not long and all the big leagues will be hitting the filters
That's it mate, big few months coming up
weekends will get crazy haha!
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@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
another quiet friday, just the one today from lee's sh filter and its Raufoss v Sandnes
not to be. Need to start half staking for a sh goal if 0-0 at HT.
If the SR is slightly reduced because it is 0-0 at HT then i think you will find that is factored into the reduced odds. I like it when its 0-0 at HT and a goal is well due because the market panics, odds drop fast and you can usually get on at a decent price
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@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@ben-dobie not long and all the big leagues will be hitting the filters
That's it mate, big few months coming up
