The BTC Football Trading Thread
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@martin-futter fhg is a tough nut to crack
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@martin-futter said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
what ever happened to Frode Lia
not sure but if anyone has a FHG filter let me know, the rate on that one is around 67% now which is ok but not outstanding
I'm working on one at the moment but not enough data yet.
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@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
what ever happened to Frode Lia
not sure but if anyone has a FHG filter let me know, the rate on that one is around 66% now which is ok but not outstanding
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Will be backing over 2.5 goals in the Newport v Newcastle match at 5:30 currently 1.97 to back.
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what ever happened to Frode Lia
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@daniel-cooper surprised nothing came up on my filter for shg, missed a trick there
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3 out of 3 for trades in Japan this morning! 2 SHG and a ELO Lay
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@daniel-cooper nice when the goal comes late on
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@john-hurst sweet! was on this too
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GOOOAL
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yokohama m are behind, laying sagan
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@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@keith-anderson how do you select these games other than them having okay odds pre-match?
I’m at that point in trading where I rarely look at odds or stats. Though I do watch lots of football. Lucky that I can read the play well
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@xhenis-tora said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@keith-anderson you are layig with 3.6....dont you think its to big odds??
No, certainly not for a 90 minute match. I’m drip laying anyway, so my full stake won’t be 3.6
I certainly wouldn’t LTD at that price (3.6) at HT. there wouldn’t be value in that.
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@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@xhenis-tora said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@james-woodroffe yes i know but not so much matches
Hi, I have done a filter I intended for O2.5 goals, not great but seeing how it goes.
I also tracked the O1.5 on it and that is sitting around 80% at the moment. Feel free to copy or alter it. I think it could certainly be refined somewhat. PLEASE dont trade off it as it has only recorded about 150 games so far and needs refining.
Have you tried being stricter on 'Home Scored by FT' and 'Away Scored by FT' and seeing what it does to the figures? Ive been looking at similar filters for a split stake and was surprised at the effect those 2 criteria had on figures. Im not saying update your filter, just check it out in your spreadsheet and see what it looks like. Something like 80 for home and 60 or 70 for away could really tighten things up. Maybe not but worth checking.
Yes that was my next avenue of attack. Just wanted to get to around 200 games on this filter first but have already been thinking along these lines for the next step. Good to know I am thinking in the right directions though
thanks for the advice too 
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@matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@xhenis-tora said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@james-woodroffe yes i know but not so much matches
Hi, I have done a filter I intended for O2.5 goals, not great but seeing how it goes.
I also tracked the O1.5 on it and that is sitting around 80% at the moment. Feel free to copy or alter it. I think it could certainly be refined somewhat. PLEASE dont trade off it as it has only recorded about 150 games so far and needs refining.
Have you tried being stricter on 'Home Scored by FT' and 'Away Scored by FT' and seeing what it does to the figures? Ive been looking at similar filters for a split stake and was surprised at the effect those 2 criteria had on figures. Im not saying update your filter, just check it out in your spreadsheet and see what it looks like. Something like 80 for home and 60 or 70 for away could really tighten things up. Maybe not but worth checking.
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Saw something tonight in the molde game. Correct score for 0-0 was 1.61 with ten to play. But in the match odds the draw was 1.5
Sadly wasn't quick enough to get on but am I right that would have been a small green regardless?
Edit. Goal disallowed for ferencvaros. Thought my late over 0.5 hit
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Ok so something like an 81 min SHG (making it 1 goal to nil) came in the Irish game I would have got on! Darn! Shame about no inplay but I'm still on a small green for the day!
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@keith-anderson how do you select these games other than them having okay odds pre-match?
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@keith-anderson you are layig with 3.6....dont you think its to big odds??
