The BTC Football Trading Thread
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@daniel-mills said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Eyeing up Salzburg v Bayern for O2.5 goals if it's 1-0/0-1 after the first half. Will be monitoring the in-play stats to see if it's lively.
Good shout if the price is right
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@matt-wood yeh was just being weird again mate.
Am ltd/lcs in Aarau vs Kriens, 1-1 at HT
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@martin-walker Good to know thanks, been having issues with my pc and was close to bringing the hammer in from the garage
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@matt-wood everything down again yeah
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Backing Jong Utrecht @ 1.94
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Eyeing up Salzburg v Bayern for O2.5 goals if it's 1-0/0-1 after the first half. Will be monitoring the in-play stats to see if it's lively.
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@martin-walker said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@darri its a different one that came from me messing about with FHG
Lol... That's where some of my better SHG filters have come from
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@darri its a different one that came from me messing about with FHG
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@martin-walker also is this with the filter we worked on?
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@alan-steward i like to back the next goal not to keen on laying. If i can average 1.22 or above i think it could be decent.
Ive never entered at ht though so not sure -
@martin-walker keep doing what your doing mate, track the next 100 games jotting down what price was at HT then you know for sure what is and isnt making more money long term. Regardless good position to be in when your debating what makes you even more profit.
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@darri yeah im not too bothered which approach i take and ill happily switch if it proves more profitable. 60 mins is working fine im just always evaluating
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@martin-walker if your confident in your data and wouldnt lose discipline with a few losses at these odds then select an odds range that gives you an edge on the market and youll be making a nice ticking bank. People overcomplicate it. I like to trade small amounts of games but with big rewards, there are far too many people who think their way and only their way but trading is simply, you find a strike rate, you back or lay at better odds
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@martin-walker said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@darri 90%
That's a tad over average but think that could be profitable... But... It depends on what leagues you're trading and the markets expectation of a SHG, ie Odds!
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@martin-walker said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Does anyone successfully back the next goal at HT
Are you referring to backing next goal/LCS from HT with filtered games... ie either profitable members filters or yours?
If yes, then look back on your data and back test using average HT odds, average HT losing odds can be 6.5... So make sure you chose your selections wisely.
My SHG filters show LCS on 60mins as being the most profitable and I've just tweaked 2 filters I use to produce almost 20pts green in just under 2 weeks.
The answers are always in your stats
What we measure we can manage
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@darri 166
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@martin-walker how many trades?
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@darri 90%
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@martin-walker whats your strike rate for HT entry?
