The BTC Football Trading Thread
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@daniel-mills Only one more to go
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@daniel-mills have heard viprow is good for streaming
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Looking forward to the end of this box office / ppv guff.
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@john-hurst
Was on my shortlist for a 2 x SH goal trade but first half IP stats fell 1 short so I've left it.
Would have dutched 1-1/0-2 and backed over 1.5 -
keeping an eye on west brom vs tottenham for a ltd
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@ben-dobie My first point of entry is about 30' so ill see how its looking before i enter
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@james-woodroffe Definitely mate, no harm in seeing how it starts though, *cue goal in first 30seconds
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@lee-woodman Yeah I can see that about Kalmar, same as you mate I wouldn't avoid but approach with caution i.e. see how the game looks first hence I wouldn't risk a pre match stake
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@ben-dobie said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Morning gang,
Happy Sunday hope it’s green. Really interested in O2.5 today in Sweden with Orebro v Kalmar currently priced at 1.86 but was 1.89 not that long ago.
It’s popped up on a few filters and was expecting the odds to be a little more flimsy than that.
Will be keeping an eye on that.@James-Woodroffe Morning mate this is on my goals filter and Allsvenskan is flying for me on O 2.5 on this filter my only concern is that Orebro don't really have anything to play for so Id question the motivation. Odds seem like great value though I agree
Orebo don’t really mate you’re right but the other mob will have to have a crack to get out of the drop zone.
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@ben-dobie I have this game on my split stake and SH goals and though Orebro dont have much to play for, Kalmar have a lot to play for. Personally ill see how that translates to in-play action as it could be an open game if Kalmar go for it
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People rightly asking what leagues they should exclude. I've found that it isn't leagues, but teams you should be excluding.
A good rule of thumb for me is this: If i don't know a little about both teams then I simply won't trade them.
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@stuart-capstick i got 1.66 at half time for next goal the other day in this league
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@bottlabroon said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@martin-walker said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Ive had a league clear out and still have finland, serbia, slovakia, portugal that im on the fence with. Anyone got rid of these leagues
Important thing really though is prices to me. Prime example is the Dutch leagues which are great for goals but I can rarely seem to get any value there because the whole world knows they are high scoring. Portugal (particularly the B league) is very good for me purely because I can usually get decent prices.
Spanish Segunda is great value for SHG
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@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Morning gang,
Happy Sunday hope it’s green. Really interested in O2.5 today in Sweden with Orebro v Kalmar currently priced at 1.86 but was 1.89 not that long ago.
It’s popped up on a few filters and was expecting the odds to be a little more flimsy than that.
Will be keeping an eye on that.@James-Woodroffe Morning mate this is on my goals filter and Allsvenskan is flying for me on O 2.5 on this filter my only concern is that Orebro don't really have anything to play for so Id question the motivation. Odds seem like great value though I agree
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@james-woodroffe Got my eye on that one too for first half goals
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Morning gang,
Happy Sunday hope it’s green. Really interested in O2.5 today in Sweden with Orebro v Kalmar currently priced at 1.86 but was 1.89 not that long ago.
It’s popped up on a few filters and was expecting the odds to be a little more flimsy than that.
Will be keeping an eye on that. -
@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
When removing leagues it’s important to be careful not to generalise too much. I had a bit of a nightmare with a few leagues last month and there was a definite drop off but having further delved into it then it’s more so that they’re towards the end of the season and games are a bit more chess-like so I could’ve easily cut the league but I’ve made decent profit this week by focusing on the change in dynamic of motivation
Sure... ie not to trade final 10% of a season will be a good general fix, sure it depends if someone is fighting to get out of the drop zone or into Europe but by & large leaving the first & last 10% of any season alone isn't a bad thing
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@martin-walker said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@lee-woodman will have to look into improving my spreadsheet skills
I think it’s worth doing. Spending a few hours learning that will probably help more than the same time spent trading
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When removing leagues it’s important to be careful not to generalise too much. I had a bit of a nightmare with a few leagues last month and there was a definite drop off but having further delved into it then it’s more so that they’re towards the end of the season and games are a bit more chess-like so I could’ve easily cut the league but I’ve made decent profit this week by focusing on the change in dynamic of motivation
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This is where btc proves its value. Looking at my spreadsheets my strike rates have took huge leaps after this mornings discussions. Now to convert it to profit
