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The BTC Football Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #22561

    @john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Have a H2 goal filter running at 88.82% after 152 results. Maybe it can supplement others as it does bring up a fair few results.
    Included leagues are:
    A League, Austria 1 and 2, Belgium Jupiler, Croatia 1, Czech 1, Denmark 1 and 2, England champ and prem, france 1, germany 1 and 2, greece 1, iceland 1, israel 1, italy 1 and 2, Japan 1, Netherland 1 and 2, Norway 1, Poland 1, Portugal 1 and 2, Scotland 1 and 2, south korea 1 (not trading currently), Spain 1, Sweden 1 and 2, Swiss 1, Turkey 1.
    I know the sample size isnt massive but it has been very reliable over the last couple of months. Thought id share for anyone interested.
    0_1605701506475_Capture1.JPG

    Have you done a post 60 minute calculation yet?

    26/152 have a goal or two before 67mins and none after
    50/152 have a goal or two after 67 and none before
    59/152 have a goal or goals before 67 and after 67

    When totalling in goal times between 60-67 13/26 of those games had a goal in that period
    SO 122/152 have a goal after 60 mins

    Seems decent for sure. You confused the hell out me though. Still can't get my head around the calculation haha!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #22562

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Have a H2 goal filter running at 88.82% after 152 results. Maybe it can supplement others as it does bring up a fair few results.
    Included leagues are:
    A League, Austria 1 and 2, Belgium Jupiler, Croatia 1, Czech 1, Denmark 1 and 2, England champ and prem, france 1, germany 1 and 2, greece 1, iceland 1, israel 1, italy 1 and 2, Japan 1, Netherland 1 and 2, Norway 1, Poland 1, Portugal 1 and 2, Scotland 1 and 2, south korea 1 (not trading currently), Spain 1, Sweden 1 and 2, Swiss 1, Turkey 1.
    I know the sample size isnt massive but it has been very reliable over the last couple of months. Thought id share for anyone interested.
    0_1605701506475_Capture1.JPG

    Have you done a post 60 minute calculation yet?

    26/152 have a goal or two before 67mins and none after
    50/152 have a goal or two after 67 and none before
    59/152 have a goal or goals before 67 and after 67

    When totalling in goal times between 60-67 13/26 of those games had a goal in that period
    SO 122/152 have a goal after 60 mins

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #22563

    @daniel-mills said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    In for another goal in the Lillestrom v Jerv match. They've just brought on their top scorer.

    Didn’t happen

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #22564

    AAAARRRRRRRGGGGGGGHHHHHHHH!!!

    So bored of this interlull. Every potential trade I have (and there aren't many) is either getting red carded and then winning, losing unexpectedly or just not coming close to the point where I could enter.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #22565

    @john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Have a H2 goal filter running at 88.82% after 152 results. Maybe it can supplement others as it does bring up a fair few results.
    Included leagues are:
    A League, Austria 1 and 2, Belgium Jupiler, Croatia 1, Czech 1, Denmark 1 and 2, England champ and prem, france 1, germany 1 and 2, greece 1, iceland 1, israel 1, italy 1 and 2, Japan 1, Netherland 1 and 2, Norway 1, Poland 1, Portugal 1 and 2, Scotland 1 and 2, south korea 1 (not trading currently), Spain 1, Sweden 1 and 2, Swiss 1, Turkey 1.
    I know the sample size isnt massive but it has been very reliable over the last couple of months. Thought id share for anyone interested.
    0_1605701506475_Capture1.JPG

    Have you done a post 60 minute calculation yet?

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #22566

    i think we will have some goals today in the big internationals.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #22567

    In for another goal in the Lillestrom v Jerv match. They've just brought on their top scorer.

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #22568

    England BTTS no seems decent value at 1.57. Iceland have only scored 3 times in their 5 nations league games.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #22569

    @chris-osborne no worries mate, have found it brings up quite a lot of results which is also a bonus- as long as the sr is good anyway haha

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #22570

    @john-hurst thanks Jon definitely looks promising

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by A Former User
    #22571

    @chris-osborne I either lcs at 3.0 if no SH goal or if i like the odds i back over 1.5 sh goals and trade out after first goal- if not i take loss and lcs at evens.

    Have worked out that half of the losers had 1 or less first half goals so that is something i am wary of. 0-1 accounted for 5 or 30% of losers.

    Have worked out that lcs at 3.0 would have made 18 points in 2 months. This is based on there being no sh goals prior to 70 mins.

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #22572

    @john-hurst thanks for posting, how are you trading it?

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Daniel CooperD Offline
    Daniel CooperD Offline
    Daniel Cooper
    wrote on last edited by
    #22573

    Japan, both J1 and J2, are some of the best performing leagues for my Back U2.5 strategy. I’m only in the market between K/O and 20 mins and I made some profit on Kobe and Kawasaki, I was also on the Sendai game (all 3 came up on my filter and hit the criteria) - only thing with Sendai is I exited my position early (11 mins) as the price graph showed a lot of sideways and upwards movement and Tokyo were beginning to rack up the shots off target. Glad I did as I avoided the 15min goal.

    Nothing else for me today, was looking at Grorud on Ryans O1.5 Split Stake but the goal came too early

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #22574

    @keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    I don’t trade Japan anymore. Save your money. Plenty of football on from this weekend until the new year.

    I’m getting to this point with Japan. So many skewed prices and results

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by A Former User
    #22575

    Have a H2 goal filter running at 88.82% after 152 results. Maybe it can supplement others as it does bring up a fair few results.
    Included leagues are:
    A League, Austria 1 and 2, Belgium Jupiler, Croatia 1, Czech 1, Denmark 1 and 2, England champ and prem, france 1, germany 1 and 2, greece 1, iceland 1, israel 1, italy 1 and 2, Japan 1, Netherland 1 and 2, Norway 1, Poland 1, Portugal 1 and 2, Scotland 1 and 2, south korea 1 (not trading currently), Spain 1, Sweden 1 and 2, Swiss 1, Turkey 1.
    I know the sample size isnt massive but it has been very reliable over the last couple of months. Thought id share for anyone interested.
    0_1605701506475_Capture1.JPG

    ? Richard LatimerR 2 Replies Last reply
    2
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #22576

    I don’t trade Japan anymore. Save your money. Plenty of football on from this weekend until the new year.

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • B Offline
    B Offline
    bottlabroon
    wrote on last edited by
    #22577

    That's me out for the day folks. Good luck if you play.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • A Offline
    A Offline
    Alastair Todd
    replied to bottlabroon on last edited by
    #22578

    @bottlabroon and a red card!

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • B Offline
    B Offline
    bottlabroon
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #22579

    @chris-osborne said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @bottlabroon said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Prices at Kawasaki are shocking. Over 2.5 barely touching 1.50 after 20 minutes 0-0.

    It’s also another poor game

    36 Minutes 0-0 with 0 shots on target and only 1 off target for the over 2.5 to hit 2.00!!

    A 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to bottlabroon on last edited by
    #22580

    @bottlabroon said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Prices at Kawasaki are shocking. Over 2.5 barely touching 1.50 after 20 minutes 0-0.

    It’s also another poor game

    B 1 Reply Last reply
    0

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