The BTC Football Trading Thread
-
@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Have a H2 goal filter running at 88.82% after 152 results. Maybe it can supplement others as it does bring up a fair few results.
Included leagues are:
A League, Austria 1 and 2, Belgium Jupiler, Croatia 1, Czech 1, Denmark 1 and 2, England champ and prem, france 1, germany 1 and 2, greece 1, iceland 1, israel 1, italy 1 and 2, Japan 1, Netherland 1 and 2, Norway 1, Poland 1, Portugal 1 and 2, Scotland 1 and 2, south korea 1 (not trading currently), Spain 1, Sweden 1 and 2, Swiss 1, Turkey 1.
I know the sample size isnt massive but it has been very reliable over the last couple of months. Thought id share for anyone interested.
Have you done a post 60 minute calculation yet?
26/152 have a goal or two before 67mins and none after
50/152 have a goal or two after 67 and none before
59/152 have a goal or goals before 67 and after 67When totalling in goal times between 60-67 13/26 of those games had a goal in that period
SO 122/152 have a goal after 60 minsSeems decent for sure. You confused the hell out me though. Still can't get my head around the calculation haha!
-
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Have a H2 goal filter running at 88.82% after 152 results. Maybe it can supplement others as it does bring up a fair few results.
Included leagues are:
A League, Austria 1 and 2, Belgium Jupiler, Croatia 1, Czech 1, Denmark 1 and 2, England champ and prem, france 1, germany 1 and 2, greece 1, iceland 1, israel 1, italy 1 and 2, Japan 1, Netherland 1 and 2, Norway 1, Poland 1, Portugal 1 and 2, Scotland 1 and 2, south korea 1 (not trading currently), Spain 1, Sweden 1 and 2, Swiss 1, Turkey 1.
I know the sample size isnt massive but it has been very reliable over the last couple of months. Thought id share for anyone interested.
Have you done a post 60 minute calculation yet?
26/152 have a goal or two before 67mins and none after
50/152 have a goal or two after 67 and none before
59/152 have a goal or goals before 67 and after 67When totalling in goal times between 60-67 13/26 of those games had a goal in that period
SO 122/152 have a goal after 60 mins -
@daniel-mills said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
In for another goal in the Lillestrom v Jerv match. They've just brought on their top scorer.
Didn’t happen
-
AAAARRRRRRRGGGGGGGHHHHHHHH!!!
So bored of this interlull. Every potential trade I have (and there aren't many) is either getting red carded and then winning, losing unexpectedly or just not coming close to the point where I could enter.
-
@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Have a H2 goal filter running at 88.82% after 152 results. Maybe it can supplement others as it does bring up a fair few results.
Included leagues are:
A League, Austria 1 and 2, Belgium Jupiler, Croatia 1, Czech 1, Denmark 1 and 2, England champ and prem, france 1, germany 1 and 2, greece 1, iceland 1, israel 1, italy 1 and 2, Japan 1, Netherland 1 and 2, Norway 1, Poland 1, Portugal 1 and 2, Scotland 1 and 2, south korea 1 (not trading currently), Spain 1, Sweden 1 and 2, Swiss 1, Turkey 1.
I know the sample size isnt massive but it has been very reliable over the last couple of months. Thought id share for anyone interested.
Have you done a post 60 minute calculation yet?
-
i think we will have some goals today in the big internationals.
-
In for another goal in the Lillestrom v Jerv match. They've just brought on their top scorer.
-
England BTTS no seems decent value at 1.57. Iceland have only scored 3 times in their 5 nations league games.
-
@chris-osborne no worries mate, have found it brings up quite a lot of results which is also a bonus- as long as the sr is good anyway haha
-
@john-hurst thanks Jon definitely looks promising
-
@chris-osborne I either lcs at 3.0 if no SH goal or if i like the odds i back over 1.5 sh goals and trade out after first goal- if not i take loss and lcs at evens.
Have worked out that half of the losers had 1 or less first half goals so that is something i am wary of. 0-1 accounted for 5 or 30% of losers.
Have worked out that lcs at 3.0 would have made 18 points in 2 months. This is based on there being no sh goals prior to 70 mins.
-
@john-hurst thanks for posting, how are you trading it?
-
Japan, both J1 and J2, are some of the best performing leagues for my Back U2.5 strategy. I’m only in the market between K/O and 20 mins and I made some profit on Kobe and Kawasaki, I was also on the Sendai game (all 3 came up on my filter and hit the criteria) - only thing with Sendai is I exited my position early (11 mins) as the price graph showed a lot of sideways and upwards movement and Tokyo were beginning to rack up the shots off target. Glad I did as I avoided the 15min goal.
Nothing else for me today, was looking at Grorud on Ryans O1.5 Split Stake but the goal came too early
-
@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
I don’t trade Japan anymore. Save your money. Plenty of football on from this weekend until the new year.
I’m getting to this point with Japan. So many skewed prices and results
-
Have a H2 goal filter running at 88.82% after 152 results. Maybe it can supplement others as it does bring up a fair few results.
Included leagues are:
A League, Austria 1 and 2, Belgium Jupiler, Croatia 1, Czech 1, Denmark 1 and 2, England champ and prem, france 1, germany 1 and 2, greece 1, iceland 1, israel 1, italy 1 and 2, Japan 1, Netherland 1 and 2, Norway 1, Poland 1, Portugal 1 and 2, Scotland 1 and 2, south korea 1 (not trading currently), Spain 1, Sweden 1 and 2, Swiss 1, Turkey 1.
I know the sample size isnt massive but it has been very reliable over the last couple of months. Thought id share for anyone interested.
-
I don’t trade Japan anymore. Save your money. Plenty of football on from this weekend until the new year.
-
That's me out for the day folks. Good luck if you play.
-
@bottlabroon and a red card!
-
@chris-osborne said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@bottlabroon said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Prices at Kawasaki are shocking. Over 2.5 barely touching 1.50 after 20 minutes 0-0.
It’s also another poor game
36 Minutes 0-0 with 0 shots on target and only 1 off target for the over 2.5 to hit 2.00!!
-
@bottlabroon said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Prices at Kawasaki are shocking. Over 2.5 barely touching 1.50 after 20 minutes 0-0.
It’s also another poor game