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The BTC Football Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Mark Maguire on last edited by
    #2221

    @mark-maguire

    I’ve removed the Bundesliga from every filter. Terrible league currently

    M 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Mark Maguire
    wrote on last edited by
    #2222

    Ouch !!!!! Well in the spirit of accountability its just as important to post the bad days as well as the good. Today was tough for the selections I posted here, other selections won but no hiding from the fact it was a tough day .. apologies to anyone who followed selections.. explainers for what I did below..

    LTD

    Rakow vs Piast Gliwice✅
    Cambridge vs Ipswich⛔ took small loss early in second half with Cambridge one up
    Moenchengladbach vs Schalke ⛔ this was a stats buster out after 70 at 0-0
    Volendam vs Alkmaar⛔ took small loss with Volendam one up

    Moenchengladbach and Volendam games will be 01.5⛔ ✅

    O1.5

    Koln vs Leipzig⛔ can't believe this was nil nil ..stats buster part 2
    St Truiden vs Kortijk (Still In Play) Will report on it later
    Lok Zagreb vs Osijek✅ greened up

    02.5 Split stake out after 60 mins if no goal

    Volendam vs Alkmaar✅ just green with goal around 60 mins but only because I was slow cashing out
    Partick vs Cove Rangers✅ greened up
    Koln vs Leipzig⛔ as above

    FHG

    Partick vs Cove Rangers✅
    Moerierense vs Academico✅

    Saving grace the FHG but the reflection is these days happen - got to look them in they eye and get perspective that its been a really really good run.. and go again tomorrow.. again apologies if I cost you ☹ ☹ ☹

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    3
  • A Offline
    A Offline
    Andy Harris
    wrote on last edited by
    #2223

    I don't know if anyone has got any back testing or data on the u3.5 goals strategy? It's doing badly at the minute, is it worth flipping it into an over 3.5 goals strategy? The odds for this is over 3.0 for almost all games so the strike rate wouldn't need to be that high to be profitable.

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #2224

    SHG in the Borussia M'gladbach v Schalke 04 match. 0-0 at HT

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #2225

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Lay Under 1.5:

    0_1675511753371_fbbb1b98-ad48-40e9-82fb-366f17b400f2-image.png

    Not Maltese game yet. Waiting for more data on some of the applicable numbers.

    3/4 less than a pt loss

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #2226

    @keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Anyone else fancy Newcastle tonight? 1.72 is a fair price

    1-0. You can green up, but I'm staying in a little longer

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #2227

    Anyone else fancy Newcastle tonight? 1.72 is a fair price

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    Akiva AndersonA 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • MichaelM Offline
    MichaelM Offline
    Michael
    wrote on last edited by Michael
    #2228

    Think it was a bit unfortunate, coming up against Everton on Dyche’s first game in charge - and at Goodison. So much still in their control. I actually think Jorginho will prove a brilliant signing for Arsenal this season - but feel free to bookmark this and remind me in a few months!

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to james everard on last edited by
    #2229

    @james-everard If someone would have told you in July you'd be 5 pts clear at the top of the table first week of Feb you'd have snapped there hands off - werent even expected to be close to top 4 at start of the season.

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to james everard on last edited by
    #2230

    @james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @richard-latimer We shall agree to disagree mate and hope you are right

    🤣

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • J Offline
    J Offline
    james everard
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #2231

    @richard-latimer We shall agree to disagree mate and hope you are right

    https://1drv.ms/x/s!AgAENvh6njGR8wT6kcGOYgHyGFQq?e=Zo3Tic

    Richard LatimerR ? 2 Replies Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to james everard on last edited by
    #2232

    @james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    It's not like we didn't try to get Caiceido or Mudryk. Mudryk went for silly money on an 8.5yr contract.

    Caiceido stayed put as they didn't want to sell. Trossard was good business. Not sure what you wanted but we are so far ahead of schedule!

    If you want to win the league you go out and get players who are going to improve the squad , not Jorginho . Side ways and backwards all he does , a couple of Chelsea fans at work were very happy he has gone would have paid us £10million to get rid of waste of space.
    Trossard is a good signing but they had no intention of getting Caiceido they knew they weren't going to sell from the outset.
    Seriously though do you think we will win the league ?

    I think we could at this stage of the season. I also think there's no guarantee if you spend for the sake of it. Would you prefer to spend £300m and become Chelsea haha??

    Who would you realistically have gone for? It's all very well saying we should have done this and we should have done that but you're sounding like Claud on AFTV haha

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    J 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • J Offline
    J Offline
    james everard
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #2233

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @richard-latimer Just realistic buying crap like Jorginho was a sign of lack of ambition . We needed a world class striker and a central defensive midfielder and got neither as we won't splash the cash. Nketiah is ok but not world class to win the league you need a world class striker.

    You sound like you should be on AFTV to be fair😂

    Claude was my idol lol rip

    https://1drv.ms/x/s!AgAENvh6njGR8wT6kcGOYgHyGFQq?e=Zo3Tic

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • J Offline
    J Offline
    james everard
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by james everard
    #2234

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    It's not like we didn't try to get Caiceido or Mudryk. Mudryk went for silly money on an 8.5yr contract.

    Caiceido stayed put as they didn't want to sell. Trossard was good business. Not sure what you wanted but we are so far ahead of schedule!

    If you want to win the league you go out and get players who are going to improve the squad , not Jorginho . Side ways and backwards all he does , a couple of Chelsea fans at work were very happy he has gone would have paid us £10million to get rid of waste of space.
    Trossard is a good signing but they had no intention of getting Caiceido they knew they weren't going to sell from the outset.
    Seriously though do you think we will win the league ?

    https://1drv.ms/x/s!AgAENvh6njGR8wT6kcGOYgHyGFQq?e=Zo3Tic

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #2235

    SHG in the Aston Villa v Leicester City match. 2-3 at HT

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by Richard Latimer
    #2236

    It's not like we didn't try to get Caiceido or Mudryk. Mudryk went for silly money on an 8.5yr contract.

    Caiceido stayed put as they didn't want to sell. Trossard was good business. Not sure what you wanted but we are so far ahead of schedule!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    J 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to james everard on last edited by
    #2237

    @james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @richard-latimer Just realistic buying crap like Jorginho was a sign of lack of ambition . We needed a world class striker and a central defensive midfielder and got neither as we won't splash the cash. Nketiah is ok but not world class to win the league you need a world class striker.

    You sound like you should be on AFTV to be fair😂

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    J 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • J Offline
    J Offline
    james everard
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #2238

    @richard-latimer Just realistic buying crap like Jorginho was a sign of lack of ambition . We needed a world class striker and a central defensive midfielder and got neither as we won't splash the cash. Nketiah is ok but not world class to win the league you need a world class striker.

    https://1drv.ms/x/s!AgAENvh6njGR8wT6kcGOYgHyGFQq?e=Zo3Tic

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #2239

    SHG in the Koln v Leipzig match. 0-0 at HT

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to james everard on last edited by
    #2240

    @james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    SHG in the Everton v Arsenal match. 0-0 at HT

    It's gone the wrong way Keith🤦‍♂️

    Knew as an Arsenal fan everyone was getting ahead of themselves with winning the league. Now only 5 clear, With Man City twice, Chelsea, Liverpool and Newcastle away still left i think we will finish 2nd or 3rd City will win by at least 6 points this season

    One defeat. Hold your horses there Mr Pessimist😂

    We may or we may not but I'm not conceding after just this🤣

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    J 1 Reply Last reply
    0

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