The BTC Football Trading Thread

[A Former User]

@akiva-anderson Nice to see results presented like this. Thanks for sharing.

[Akiva Anderson]

1.5 Goals (My Picks):

18:00 - Hapoel Be'er Sheva v Ashdod
18:00 - Helsingborg v Öster
19:45 - AFC Bournemouth v Brighton & Hove Albion

1.5 Goals (BTC):

19:45 - AFC Bournemouth v Brighton & Hove Albion

SHG:

18:00 - Hapoel Be'er Sheva v Ashdod
19:45 - AFC Bournemouth v Brighton & Hove Albion
19:45 - Leeds v Nottingham Forest

I rarely do 1.5 Goals, but the filter is still normally good for a SHG.

[A Former User]

@matthew-harrison said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@stuart-wallace-0
For Tomasz lay u1.5

There have been 8 Liga Portugal Games, it is £82.6 down with a strike rate of 37.5% versus an overall strike rate of 73.3%
interestingly 4 of those games have included Santa Clara playing away.

yeah, i knew Portugal was a troublesome league, thats why i hesitated about last nights game (although i still did it !)

[Akiva Anderson]

I'm 3.7 points up in April.

Japan J-League 01/04/2023 08:00 Cerezo Oskaa Yokohama Fontale 1.21 2-0 2-1 £21.00 OA/B SHG
Australia A-League 01/04/2023 09:45 Sydney FC Western United 1.21 1-2 3-3 £21.00 OA/B/O SHG
Australia A-League 01/04/2023 09:45 Sydney FC Western United 1.31 1-2 3-3 £31.00 OA/B/O SHG
South Korea K-League 01/04/2023 11:00 Daejon Citizen FC Seoul 1.29 2-1 3-2 £29.00 OA SHG
South Korea K-League 01/04/2023 11:00 Daejon Citizen FC Seoul 1.41 2-1 3-2 £41.00 OA SHG
England Premier League 01/04/2023 12:30 Manchester City Liverpool 1.21 1-1 4-1 £21.00 B/O SHG
Italy Serie A 01/04/2023 14:00 Cremonense Atalanta 1.25 0-1 1-3 £25.00 O SHG
Germany Bundesliga 01/04/2023 14:30 Freiburg Heartha Berlin 1.37 0-0 1-1 £37.00 OA/B/O SHG
England Premier League 01/04/2023 15:00 Arsenal Leeds 1.21 1-0 4-1 £21.00 B/O SHG
England Premier League 01/04/2023 15:00 Brighton Brentford 1.21 2-2 3-3 £21.00 SHG
Spain La Liga 01/04/2023 15:15 Athletic Bilbao Getafe 1.42 0-0 0-0 -£100.00 O SHG
France Ligue 1 01/04/2023 16:00 Auxerre Troyes 1.4 0-0 1-0 £40.00 B/O SHG
Israel Premier League 01/04/2023 16:30 Hapoel Jerusalem Maccabi Tel Aviv 1.22 0-1 0-2 £22.00 OA/O SHG
Italy Serie A 01/04/2023 17:00 Inter Milan Fiorentina 1.24 0-0 0-1 £24.00 O SHG
Czech Rep First League 01/04/2023 18:00 Slavia Prague Sigma Olomouc 1.21 1-0 4-0 £21.00 OA/B/O SHG
Israel Premier League 01/04/2023 18:00 Maccabi Haifa Hapoel Beer Sheva 1.27 1-0 1-0 -£100.00 OA/O SHG
Italy Serie A 01/04/2023 19:45 Juventus Verona 1.36 0-0 1-0 £36.00 OA/O SHG
Spain La Liga 01/04/2023 20:00 Elche Barcelona 1.27 0-1 0-4 £27.00 O SHG
Australia A-League 02/04/2023 06:00 Melbourne City Newcastle Jets 1.21 0-1 1-1 £21.00 OA/O SHG
France Ligue 1 02/04/2023 12:00 Lille Lorient 1.21 1-0 3-1 £21.00 OA/O SHG
Spain La Liga 02/04/2023 13:00 Celta Vigo Almeira 1.25 2-2 2-2 -£100.00 OA/O SHG
Holland Eredivisie 02/04/2023 13:30 Sparta Rotterdam Feyenoord 1.21 1-1 1-3 £21.00 OA/O SHG
Sweden Allsvenkan 02/04/2023 14:00 Norrkoping Sirius 1.28 0-1 1-1 £28.00 OA/O SHG
France Ligue 1 02/04/2023 14:00 Angers Nice 1.33 1-1 1-1 -£100.00 OA/O SHG
England Premier League 02/04/2023 14:00 West Ham Southampton 1.31 1-0 1-0 -£100.00 OA/O SHG
Denmark Superliga 02/04/2023 15:00 Brondby Viborg 1.22 0-1 0-3 £22.00 OA SHG
France Ligue 1 02/04/2023 16:05 Monaco Strasbourg 1.25 1-2 4-3 £25.00 OA/O O1.5
France Ligue 1 02/04/2023 16:05 Monaco Strasbourg 1.21 1-2 4-3 £21.00 OA/O SHG
England Premier League 02/04/2023 16:30 Newcastle Manchester United 1.25 0-0 2-0 £25.00 TV SHG
Sweden Allsvenkan 02/04/2023 16:30 Goteborg Varnamo 1.29 0-0 0-1 £29.00 OA/O SHG
Italy Serie A 02/04/2023 17:00 Roma Sampdoria 1.3 0-0 3-0 £30.00 O SHG
Denmark Superliga 02/04/2023 17:00 Kobenhavn Nordsjaelland 1.24 0-1 2-1 £24.00 O SHG
Belgium Pro League 02/04/2023 18:15 Union St Gilloise Sint Truiden 1.25 0-0 2-1 £25.00 O SHG
Italy Serie A 02/04/2023 19:45 Napoli AC Milan 1.26 0-2 0-4 £26.00 OA/O SHG
Spain La Liga 02/04/2023 20:00 Atletico Madrid Real Betis 1.28 0-0 1-0 £28.00 O SHG
Israel Liga Leumit 03/04/2023 17:00 Maccabi Petach Tikva Hapoel Akko 1.24 0-0 1-1 £24.00 OA/O SHG
Sweden Allsvenkan 03/04/2023 18:00 Mjallby Varbergs 1.41 1-0 2-2 £41.00 OA/B/O SHG
Sweden Allsvenkan 03/04/2023 18:10 Elfsborg Hacken 1.21 0-1 0-2 £21.00 OA/B SHG

[Martin]

@paul-p nothing wrong with removing it, can always run it through back testing with all leagues to make sure later down the line.

[Paul P]

@matthew-harrison I don't trade Portugal Leagues for that reason. I would love to hear @Martin 's thoughts on filtering out certain leagues now that we have more than 12 months of results.....

[A Former User]

@stuart-wallace-0
For Tomasz lay u1.5

There have been 8 Liga Portugal Games, it is £82.6 down with a strike rate of 37.5% versus an overall strike rate of 73.3%
interestingly 4 of those games have included Santa Clara playing away.

[A Former User]

@stuart-wallace-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@stuart-wallace-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

We're back. Bad Gateway 2 Real(able) System 0.

Who is this bloke Tomacz? -i want to buy him a beer - despite a 3 game reverse last night , overall some 8 out of 11 this weekend - aint bad !!

Actually, it was more like 10 out of 13.
There is a Portuguese game on the startegy for tonight, however, ive noticed that Portugal is a non performing league for this strat.

gonna take Portugal off the list - another loss.

[Akiva Anderson]

Looks like Antonio Conte was right about Spurs!

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Lay Under 1.5:

I'm having a rubbish start to April. Refuse to believe it's more than a horrible bit of variance!

[A Former User]

@martin said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@martin-walker said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@martin im constantly struggling with any strategy after an international break. Will be leaving it from now on

couldn't agree with that more!

Tomacz doesnt have a problem

[Akiva Anderson]

SHG in the Elfsborg v Hacken match. 0-1 after 50 minutes

[A Former User]

@martin oh ok, so what results were you editing on the video ?

[Martin]

@martin-walker said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@martin im constantly struggling with any strategy after an international break. Will be leaving it from now on

couldn't agree with that more!

[Martin]

@gary-tunnicliffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@martin said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@gary-tunnicliffe it's this one mate: 0_1680281218048_filter-settings (4).txt

Thanks Martin, where can i find the results ? doesnt appear on your spread sheet that i can see ?

It's not a strategy I have shared yet, still a work in progress. Had a bad weekend but then again it was post international break.

[Richard Latimer]

Lay Under 1.5:

[Martin Walker]

@martin im constantly struggling with any strategy after an international break. Will be leaving it from now on

[A Former User]

@martin said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@gary-tunnicliffe it's this one mate: 0_1680281218048_filter-settings (4).txt

Thanks Martin, where can i find the results ? doesnt appear on your spread sheet that i can see ?

[A Former User]

@martin

i know hoping for a draw and watching the match live is going in against all things as some one who likes to watch football games.

i was thinking about a set and forget stile of trading for this one. so you let it run don't be bothered with the boring match and do something else.

maybe there is a pattern to see in the after international break. like filtering the leagues we can take a look at filtering the strategies witch one are losing a lot and maybe worth flipping around and some will be fine just to leave and let alone ?

[A Former User]

@matthew-harrison

yes i like that to. I think trading with set and forget is the s**t and the way to go.

If you want to trade live that is fine to i like it but i don't want to be depending on it.

what program do you use to get the signals if i may ask?

sharing the spreadsheet is great. thanks in advance