The BTC Football Trading Thread
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In for an FHG at Lyon - Reims @ 1.62
Top 3 goal scorers for Lyon this season on the pitch, and some really dangerous looking counter attacking play already.
Good pre match stats too. Not the best odds, the markets seem to think a goal is likely too.
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@catalin-radu Yeah sure, looking at that trade you would still need 2 goals for double bubble but could still LCS to cover red... However as this is considered an Insurance bet it can greatly affect your bottom line... Check to see how your filter performs ie would always LCU's after 1 goal increase your bottom line or would it increase it's loss element... You would need to study the results on your filter to understand if you need to take the loss on the chin and move on or if you can LCU's if facing a red situation.
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My goals trade watchlist for today:
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29/11/2020 12:30:00 KV Mechelen Beerschot Wilrijk Late Goal
29/11/2020 14:00:00 Lens Angers Late Goal
29/11/2020 14:00:00 Hobro Hvidovre Late Goal
29/11/2020 15:00:00 Gent Waregem Late Goal
30/11/2020 17:00:00 Lechia Gdansk Lech Poznan Late Goal
30/11/2020 19:45:00 Antwerp Leuven Late GoalThere was more but im not doing the swedes anymore
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@alan-steward nice point of view. As I said before, I'm new to trading, and I'm learning every day and with every trade. I was on a over 2.5 goals, at 0-1 for the dog with the favourite pushing to equalise. In every trade I put 1 point and at 0.5 point loosing, I go out
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Nice day yesterday with 6 from 6 SHG wins, below is todays picks... This filter currently converts at around 83%
Sorry LCU's on 59mins Betfair time
Yesterdays games as posted in the morning
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@catalin-radu Hi mate what trade were you using?... In the past I have lowered my original stake leaving enough to LCU when exiting my main trade, if fairly comfortable I would also stay in my main trade if 1 goal would produce a win and if the goal does come it's double bubble... Of course if no further goals come then you have increased your risk... One thing you can do is look at the results on your filter and see if laying current unders or score will have a positive impact.
I must add this is a method I generally use for in-play as my recorded historical data would possibly suggest move on... Hope this helps
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My SHG's list for today, won't trade them all - Norway and Sweden at the end of there seasons and I have doubts about the viabilitiy of Greece and Turkish leagues from a trading point of view
Inplay will also be key, something I really need to focus on.
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How You cannot be frustrated, when you get out from a trade, and after 2 minutes a goal is scores? If you are a machine and you don't have feelings, maybe
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Loads of football on today guys, yesterday 1 of the 2 I posted was a qualifier and it was a winner so happy days!
Today's list is a bit bigger, I am looking for a SH goal in these games, wanting a lively start to the SH then I will enter.
Country League Date Home Away
Singapore Premier League 29/11/2020 09:30:00 Young Lions Home Utd
Belgium Jupiler League 29/11/2020 12:30:00 KV Mechelen Beerschot Wilrijk
Sweden Allsvenskan 29/11/2020 13:30:00 Varbergs Malmo FF
Denmark 1st Division 29/11/2020 14:00:00 Hobro Hvidovre
Belgium Jupiler League 29/11/2020 15:00:00 Gent Waregem
Belgium Proximus League 29/11/2020 15:00:00 Lommel Utd RWDM -
Morning all, seems like some good results for some people yesterday. Very busy for me with non trading stuff but did manage 2 pts green so all good. Bit more relaxed today, so should be better for trading (cue the mountain of red)
LOADS of games on filters this morning, more than yesterday in fact. Will not be trading all of these. Will be super selective with pre match and in play. Looking for SHG in these.
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Quite a few games today. Need to be quite selective in-play:
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Betfair conveniently seems to be suspended throughout the Sao Paulo match. Maybe a good thing to prevent overtrading!
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Learned a couple of interesting approaches today on here @bottlabroon @Darri ... won’t be doing it all of the time until I’m consistent on my late goals but so good to see different approaches to trading games .... only scratched today but happy with what I did. This place really is the best place to be to learn
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I kept in the madrid game. Looked like they had the pressure and last minute hit cross bar. I could have traded out for a very very small green. But i did think there was more to be had maybe the if they got the goal before 85th would have been easier.
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@darri said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
lcs brugge 0-0 71 mins
lcs atalanta 0-0 75 mins
Lay of alaves, will lcs late on as coverGOALS! 2/3 small profit on madrid with the lcs covering the lay, atalanta winning and brugge losing.
Scratch for today, couple dead trades halted the profit for today but loads tomorrow to help finish off november -
@bottlabroon said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Watchlist for goals trades is quite thin today for a Saturday:
9/16 went over 2.5. I managed to get into the games at Watford, Oxford, Rizespor, Podbeskidzie & Everton. 3 winning trades, 1 scratch trade & 1 losing trade.
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Goal in madrid 4 to play
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@darri said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@alastair-todd horrible game last 5 mins, mignolet pulled of a superd save tho so cant say it didnt have its chances
It was a very good save, no doubt about it! Frustrating though as Atalanta and Brugge undid a great FHG trade in Norway earlier. Ended the day 0.1 pts up which is annoying but I suppose it's better than Red.
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A Former Userreplied to Alastair Todd on 28 Nov 2020, 21:39 last edited by A Former User 28 Nov 2020, 21:39
@alastair-todd horrible game last 5 mins, mignolet pulled of a superd save tho so cant say it didnt have its chances
21841/42901