The BTC Football Trading Thread
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@alan-steward be lucky to find a filter that producing 80% of H2 goals after 80 mate. This one has a goal after 60β 134/181. This isnt just the first goal though so for after 60 for first H2 goal it will be much lower
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@matt-wood cheers looking to jump straight back into this one. It always worked well for me but took 2 months to get something else up and running
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@alan-steward not sure- i back over 1.5 at start of second half or LTD/lcs later on
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@john-hurst hi mate out of interest what's your filters strike rate post 59mins?... Really needs to be 80% to enter on 60mins
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Afternoon all....Im back and looking forward to doing some trading on the footie with you lot
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02/12/2020 16:00:00 Charleroi vs Waasland-Beveren H2 Goal
My bad this is tomorrow haha
Approaching 200 selections on the second half goal filter and is running at 89% for at least one H2 goal. Average goal time 57 mins. -
@martin-walker said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@matt-wood is this darris shg filter. Ive decided to add it back in for some potentials and looks like my list for the day. If so do you have any sort of current strike rate for it? After 60 mins preferably. Havnt tracked it in a couple of months.
Morning Martin.
Those results are from two different filters I run side by side. One is very heavily inspired by Darri's, strike rates:
I would imagine Darri's filter would produce very similar results.
My other filter strike rates:
Hope that helps
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Nothing on Gary's SHG filter today... Have a few games come up on a new filter I'm working on but early days yet and these games appear to be covered by @Lee-woodman anyway so will leave you in his capable hands with those
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Skysports advertising their televised football matches over the Christmas / New Year period. Massive amount of games on TV. Add to that:
Amazon Prime: Premier League
BBC: Premier League & FA Cup
BT Sports - Premier League, FA Cup, Ligue 1 and Bundesliga 1 & 2
Premier Sports: Serie A & Scottish Cup
Free Sports: Serie A, Polish League & Portugal League
La Liga TV: La Liga
Merry f*****g Christmas!!
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looks like Bayern are fielding a virtual reserve team against Athletico tonight.
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@stuart-capstick said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@lee-woodman
CL games are often great value for late goals, provided the game is not a dead rubber.
Top teams and players (therefore, reliable) plus incentive to score. Very rare to get 0-0 in a CL game.
Yes, the last 15 minutes especially.
A wee tip when trading Champions League matches - don't watch a single match. Watch the BT Champions League Goal Show. It is normally on BT Sport 1. They show you the highlights of every match as they happen - great for getting a feel of the game and reading the play
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@lee-woodman
CL games are often great value for late goals, provided the game is not a dead rubber.
Top teams and players (therefore, reliable) plus incentive to score. Very rare to get 0-0 in a CL game.
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@matt-wood is this darris shg filter. Ive decided to add it back in for some potentials and looks like my list for the day. If so do you have any sort of current strike rate for it? After 60 mins preferably. Havnt tracked it in a couple of months.
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Traded angry after that embarrassing display at the KP last night, won't happen again should have took the evening off.
Today's SHG filter only has a couple of games, as with Matt, not Leagues I've traded much or paid much attention to will see how first half goes.
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Morning all. Seems like there were some crazy games last night, dreaded VAR rearing its head again! I was an old man and went to bed at about 2030 so no late trades for me
Filter thrown up a few today for 2HG:
I will not be trading all of these games.
Leagues one and two I am wary about so will only trade if inplay looks top notch. Never traded Ligue 2 so will probably paper trade that one and just watch the markets and game etc. -
Just one game on my filters that ill be trading today:
I like the look of these aswell for SH goals:
Im going to try out trading the CL tonight, although i dont normally trade 'cup' competitions. It will be slightly reverse in that instead of hitting a filter and then hitting my attention in-play, a game will have to hit my attention in-play and then i will do a little research on the relevant teams. Only baby stakes for this, more for practice really
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a goal ruled out by var in west ham game and a missed pen in the eibar game, 2/4 for tonight really good last 3 days to end november, will do an update on the blog tomorrow. Hopefully over the last month people have managed to get on post is up
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@darri said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
lcs betis vs eibar 0-2 67 mins
lcs west ham vs villa 2-1 74 minsHows your luck on these?! Missed penalty on one game and a goal ruled out by VAR on the other