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The BTC Football Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #19441

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Goal in Hannover moves the goal posts. I'll wait until 70 to back the next over there.

    Now 2-2, may back over 4.5 on 75.....

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    J Richard LatimerR 2 Replies Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by Richard Latimer
    #19442

    Goal in Hannover moves the goal posts. I'll wait until 70 to back the next over there.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #19443

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Boleslav looks like a good FHG. Will use same entry plan as in Hannover.

    That said, their price drifted quite a bit and is right on the edge of where the data says to go on FHG so one to leave and track.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #19444

    Boleslav looks like a good FHG. Will use same entry plan as in Hannover.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #19445

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    My potentials for today:

    0_1610789560773_a54d3548-117d-43e8-9416-ec4986e5f08c-image.png

    So, these games at present, what I will be lookng for and how I will play them:

    FHG, I'm torn. I'll either continue backing over 2.5 halfway through as low risk option and hoprfully health green when first goes in or I'll back over 0.5 FHG after possibly 10mins or 18mins. Difference so far is 12 selections more at the earlier point of entry and 82% as opposed to 78%.

    Where I've marked FH? this is too check on home odds after kickoff as I want 2.19 or less ave book price (oddsportal.com).

    SH Play will be back next over on 66mins providing no prior H2 goals. Some say SH? This is because these leagues I won't get iinvolved in if there haven't been any prior H2 goals at present.

    When 1 goal has been scored up to the 59th minute, home is fave of 2.19 or less and find themselvs either drawing (not 2-2 - I hate it) or losing by one then I will back another goal on 69mins (70th minute). This will include the matches SH?

    When 2 quick goals have been scored up to 59th minute (h/a odds can be anything and score can be anything, even 2-2 probably) I will back another after 74 mins (75th minute). Again this will include matches labelled SH?

    Hopefully not too confusing but I'm trying to follow the data as well as open more avenues when goals come too early.

    Goal in Hannover already but Bochum fits criteria for a FHG. Will either get in after 10mins, 18mins or back over 2.5 on 22mins. I'm choosing these points of entry for a variety of reason. Between 10mins and 12mins has seen a good few goals, after not so much until 18mins.

    22mins usually means a half stake back when the game is 0-0 @ HT.

    Scratch that on Bochum. Avoided making an error. FH averages not good enough.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • A Offline
    A Offline
    Alastair Todd
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #19446

    @keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Does anyone have any hates regarding modern football? I have loads! VAR, the handball rule, lack of injury time played to name but a few!

    The one thing that has annoyed me this morning is the referee stopping play when a player is injured. The referee generally stops play if a player is injured - even if it’s not a head injury. More often than not the physio doesn’t even make it onto the pitch and the player gets back to his feet and play resumes. It stops momentum. It’s a dreadful rule!

    Rant over!

    The thing that REALLY annoys me is players going down as if they've been shot by a sniper when they've had their ankle tapped or a stray arm in the face. Compare and contrast with international rugby players...

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by Richard Latimer
    #19447

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    My potentials for today:

    0_1610789560773_a54d3548-117d-43e8-9416-ec4986e5f08c-image.png

    So, these games at present, what I will be lookng for and how I will play them:

    FHG, I'm torn. I'll either continue backing over 2.5 halfway through as low risk option and hoprfully health green when first goes in or I'll back over 0.5 FHG after possibly 10mins or 18mins. Difference so far is 12 selections more at the earlier point of entry and 82% as opposed to 78%.

    Where I've marked FH? this is too check on home odds after kickoff as I want 2.19 or less ave book price (oddsportal.com).

    SH Play will be back next over on 66mins providing no prior H2 goals. Some say SH? This is because these leagues I won't get iinvolved in if there haven't been any prior H2 goals at present.

    When 1 goal has been scored up to the 59th minute, home is fave of 2.19 or less and find themselvs either drawing (not 2-2 - I hate it) or losing by one then I will back another goal on 69mins (70th minute). This will include the matches SH?

    When 2 quick goals have been scored up to 59th minute (h/a odds can be anything and score can be anything, even 2-2 probably) I will back another after 74 mins (75th minute). Again this will include matches labelled SH?

    Hopefully not too confusing but I'm trying to follow the data as well as open more avenues when goals come too early.

    Goal in Hannover already but Bochum fits criteria for a FHG. Will either get in after 10mins, 18mins or back over 2.5 on 22mins. I'm choosing these points of entry for a variety of reason. Between 10mins and 12mins has seen a good few goals, after not so much until 18mins.

    22mins usually means a half stake back when the game is 0-0 @ HT.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt Wood
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #19448

    @chris-osborne said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Does anyone have any hates regarding modern football? I have loads! VAR, the handball rule, lack of injury time played to name but a few!

    The one thing that has annoyed me this morning is the referee stopping play when a player is injured. The referee generally stops play if a player is injured - even if it’s not a head injury. More often than not the physio doesn’t even make it onto the pitch and the player gets back to his feet and play resumes. It stops momentum. It’s a dreadful rule!

    Rant over!

    VAR, Incompetant Referees we have in England, Offside Rule Handball Rule, Ridiculous scheduling of games purely for TV purposes I could go on and on and on

    Clubs, Players and MAnagers need to come together and approach FA etc to scrap VAR in this country (Fifa/UEFA wont allow this) and for TV to have no control over scheduling (need to be careful without TV money the game in this country is effectively bankrupt) neither will happen.

    Agreed, with the TV, Simon Jordan said a couple of years back that the FA/Premier league should set up their own streaming platform to televise the game and get the subs directly from everyone rather than selling to various groups. Might be less money initially but they would be in control of scheduling etc then.

    Catch that Green!

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #19449

    @chris-osborne said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Does anyone have any hates regarding modern football? I have loads! VAR, the handball rule, lack of injury time played to name but a few!

    The one thing that has annoyed me this morning is the referee stopping play when a player is injured. The referee generally stops play if a player is injured - even if it’s not a head injury. More often than not the physio doesn’t even make it onto the pitch and the player gets back to his feet and play resumes. It stops momentum. It’s a dreadful rule!

    Rant over!

    VAR, Incompetant Referees we have in England, Offside Rule Handball Rule, Ridiculous scheduling of games purely for TV purposes I could go on and on and on

    Clubs, Players and MAnagers need to come together and approach FA etc to scrap VAR in this country (Fifa/UEFA wont allow this) and for TV to have no control over scheduling (need to be careful without TV money the game in this country is effectively bankrupt) neither will happen.

    Football for me has always been and always will be about going to the games home and away and meeting up with people for a few drinks. One thing that COVID has made me realise is that if I wasn't able to go to the matches, I'd lose interest in football very quickly.

    I only really watch football for trading purposes nowadays, I can probably count on one hand the pundits who's opinion I think is worth listening to. The majority of them make a living out of regurgitating tired cliches, week after week, day after day.

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #19450

    @keith-anderson not being able to consistently make 30pts green mth in mth out 😂😂😂🤑

    1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by A Former User
    #19451

    @keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Does anyone have any hates regarding modern football? I have loads! VAR, the handball rule, lack of injury time played to name but a few!

    The one thing that has annoyed me this morning is the referee stopping play when a player is injured. The referee generally stops play if a player is injured - even if it’s not a head injury. More often than not the physio doesn’t even make it onto the pitch and the player gets back to his feet and play resumes. It stops momentum. It’s a dreadful rule!

    Rant over!

    VAR, Incompetant Referees we have in England, Offside Rule Handball Rule, Ridiculous scheduling of games purely for TV purposes I could go on and on and on

    Clubs, Players and MAnagers need to come together and approach FA etc to scrap VAR in this country (Fifa/UEFA wont allow this) and for TV to have no control over scheduling (need to be careful without TV money the game in this country is effectively bankrupt) neither will happen.

    ? Matt WoodM 2 Replies Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by A Former User
    #19452

    Todays Fireball Split Stakes set up on the bot for today (just shy of 5pts green MTD)

    0_1610793265495_Todays Trades.JPG

    Todays SHG watch list - Must be 0-0, 1-0, 2-0 or 0-2 (This suits score lines on my main Goal filter)

    Sparta Rotterdam v PSV

    HT Trade... Will lay Plus 2 goals @ HT for 0.5pts & 0.5pts on 55mins... Remove red on first goal or take red on circa 80mins

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    3
  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    wrote on last edited by
    #19453

    My HT LTD / LCS list for today

    Torino
    Stuttgart
    Sparta Rotterdam

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    replied to Nick Terracciano on last edited by
    #19454

    @nick-terracciano 100% you have no opinion on them, there’s teams I don’t like so when they come up on a filter I have to try and think objectively.

    I actually really enjoying finding out about other leagues, its especially good in quizzes when somebody asks the Q where is this town located and you go Finland - everybody goes how did you know that?! Lol Trading or CM/FM

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #19455

    @keith-anderson VAR for me and the inconsistency with it!

    PS I agree on the rule too, players use it to stop momentum - I imagine big Sam telling players to use it.

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #19456

    @lee-woodman What to say when you talk to yourself is one that is good.

    I also liked Atomic Habits - not really trading related but the principles applied to trading will help.

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #19457

    Does anyone have any hates regarding modern football? I have loads! VAR, the handball rule, lack of injury time played to name but a few!

    The one thing that has annoyed me this morning is the referee stopping play when a player is injured. The referee generally stops play if a player is injured - even if it’s not a head injury. More often than not the physio doesn’t even make it onto the pitch and the player gets back to his feet and play resumes. It stops momentum. It’s a dreadful rule!

    Rant over!

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    RyanR ? ? A 4 Replies Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #19458

    My potentials for today:

    0_1610789560773_a54d3548-117d-43e8-9416-ec4986e5f08c-image.png

    So, these games at present, what I will be lookng for and how I will play them:

    FHG, I'm torn. I'll either continue backing over 2.5 halfway through as low risk option and hoprfully health green when first goes in or I'll back over 0.5 FHG after possibly 10mins or 18mins. Difference so far is 12 selections more at the earlier point of entry and 82% as opposed to 78%.

    Where I've marked FH? this is too check on home odds after kickoff as I want 2.19 or less ave book price (oddsportal.com).

    SH Play will be back next over on 66mins providing no prior H2 goals. Some say SH? This is because these leagues I won't get iinvolved in if there haven't been any prior H2 goals at present.

    When 1 goal has been scored up to the 59th minute, home is fave of 2.19 or less and find themselvs either drawing (not 2-2 - I hate it) or losing by one then I will back another goal on 69mins (70th minute). This will include the matches SH?

    When 2 quick goals have been scored up to 59th minute (h/a odds can be anything and score can be anything, even 2-2 probably) I will back another after 74 mins (75th minute). Again this will include matches labelled SH?

    Hopefully not too confusing but I'm trying to follow the data as well as open more avenues when goals come too early.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Matt Wood on last edited by
    #19459

    @matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Well after a slow week for me my filters have exploded and vomited out loads of games! Lots of work this morning to trim that list down to a sensible amount.

    just about to look at mine, cheers for the heads up! will be a busy day

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt Wood
    wrote on last edited by
    #19460

    Well after a slow week for me my filters have exploded and vomited out loads of games! Lots of work this morning to trim that list down to a sensible amount.

    Catch that Green!

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    1

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