The BTC Football Trading Thread

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Goal in Hannover moves the goal posts. I'll wait until 70 to back the next over there.

Now 2-2, may back over 4.5 on 75.....

[Richard Latimer]

Goal in Hannover moves the goal posts. I'll wait until 70 to back the next over there.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Boleslav looks like a good FHG. Will use same entry plan as in Hannover.

That said, their price drifted quite a bit and is right on the edge of where the data says to go on FHG so one to leave and track.

[Richard Latimer]

Boleslav looks like a good FHG. Will use same entry plan as in Hannover.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

My potentials for today:

So, these games at present, what I will be lookng for and how I will play them:

FHG, I'm torn. I'll either continue backing over 2.5 halfway through as low risk option and hoprfully health green when first goes in or I'll back over 0.5 FHG after possibly 10mins or 18mins. Difference so far is 12 selections more at the earlier point of entry and 82% as opposed to 78%.

Where I've marked FH? this is too check on home odds after kickoff as I want 2.19 or less ave book price (oddsportal.com).

SH Play will be back next over on 66mins providing no prior H2 goals. Some say SH? This is because these leagues I won't get iinvolved in if there haven't been any prior H2 goals at present.

When 1 goal has been scored up to the 59th minute, home is fave of 2.19 or less and find themselvs either drawing (not 2-2 - I hate it) or losing by one then I will back another goal on 69mins (70th minute). This will include the matches SH?

When 2 quick goals have been scored up to 59th minute (h/a odds can be anything and score can be anything, even 2-2 probably) I will back another after 74 mins (75th minute). Again this will include matches labelled SH?

Hopefully not too confusing but I'm trying to follow the data as well as open more avenues when goals come too early.

Goal in Hannover already but Bochum fits criteria for a FHG. Will either get in after 10mins, 18mins or back over 2.5 on 22mins. I'm choosing these points of entry for a variety of reason. Between 10mins and 12mins has seen a good few goals, after not so much until 18mins.

22mins usually means a half stake back when the game is 0-0 @ HT.

Scratch that on Bochum. Avoided making an error. FH averages not good enough.

[Alastair Todd]

@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Does anyone have any hates regarding modern football? I have loads! VAR, the handball rule, lack of injury time played to name but a few!

The one thing that has annoyed me this morning is the referee stopping play when a player is injured. The referee generally stops play if a player is injured - even if it’s not a head injury. More often than not the physio doesn’t even make it onto the pitch and the player gets back to his feet and play resumes. It stops momentum. It’s a dreadful rule!

Rant over!

The thing that REALLY annoys me is players going down as if they've been shot by a sniper when they've had their ankle tapped or a stray arm in the face. Compare and contrast with international rugby players...

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

My potentials for today:

So, these games at present, what I will be lookng for and how I will play them:

FHG, I'm torn. I'll either continue backing over 2.5 halfway through as low risk option and hoprfully health green when first goes in or I'll back over 0.5 FHG after possibly 10mins or 18mins. Difference so far is 12 selections more at the earlier point of entry and 82% as opposed to 78%.

Where I've marked FH? this is too check on home odds after kickoff as I want 2.19 or less ave book price (oddsportal.com).

SH Play will be back next over on 66mins providing no prior H2 goals. Some say SH? This is because these leagues I won't get iinvolved in if there haven't been any prior H2 goals at present.

When 1 goal has been scored up to the 59th minute, home is fave of 2.19 or less and find themselvs either drawing (not 2-2 - I hate it) or losing by one then I will back another goal on 69mins (70th minute). This will include the matches SH?

When 2 quick goals have been scored up to 59th minute (h/a odds can be anything and score can be anything, even 2-2 probably) I will back another after 74 mins (75th minute). Again this will include matches labelled SH?

Hopefully not too confusing but I'm trying to follow the data as well as open more avenues when goals come too early.

Goal in Hannover already but Bochum fits criteria for a FHG. Will either get in after 10mins, 18mins or back over 2.5 on 22mins. I'm choosing these points of entry for a variety of reason. Between 10mins and 12mins has seen a good few goals, after not so much until 18mins.

22mins usually means a half stake back when the game is 0-0 @ HT.

[Matt Wood]

@chris-osborne said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Does anyone have any hates regarding modern football? I have loads! VAR, the handball rule, lack of injury time played to name but a few!

The one thing that has annoyed me this morning is the referee stopping play when a player is injured. The referee generally stops play if a player is injured - even if it’s not a head injury. More often than not the physio doesn’t even make it onto the pitch and the player gets back to his feet and play resumes. It stops momentum. It’s a dreadful rule!

Rant over!

VAR, Incompetant Referees we have in England, Offside Rule Handball Rule, Ridiculous scheduling of games purely for TV purposes I could go on and on and on

Clubs, Players and MAnagers need to come together and approach FA etc to scrap VAR in this country (Fifa/UEFA wont allow this) and for TV to have no control over scheduling (need to be careful without TV money the game in this country is effectively bankrupt) neither will happen.

Agreed, with the TV, Simon Jordan said a couple of years back that the FA/Premier league should set up their own streaming platform to televise the game and get the subs directly from everyone rather than selling to various groups. Might be less money initially but they would be in control of scheduling etc then.

[A Former User]

@chris-osborne said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Does anyone have any hates regarding modern football? I have loads! VAR, the handball rule, lack of injury time played to name but a few!

The one thing that has annoyed me this morning is the referee stopping play when a player is injured. The referee generally stops play if a player is injured - even if it’s not a head injury. More often than not the physio doesn’t even make it onto the pitch and the player gets back to his feet and play resumes. It stops momentum. It’s a dreadful rule!

Rant over!

VAR, Incompetant Referees we have in England, Offside Rule Handball Rule, Ridiculous scheduling of games purely for TV purposes I could go on and on and on

Clubs, Players and MAnagers need to come together and approach FA etc to scrap VAR in this country (Fifa/UEFA wont allow this) and for TV to have no control over scheduling (need to be careful without TV money the game in this country is effectively bankrupt) neither will happen.

Football for me has always been and always will be about going to the games home and away and meeting up with people for a few drinks. One thing that COVID has made me realise is that if I wasn't able to go to the matches, I'd lose interest in football very quickly.

I only really watch football for trading purposes nowadays, I can probably count on one hand the pundits who's opinion I think is worth listening to. The majority of them make a living out of regurgitating tired cliches, week after week, day after day.

[A Former User]

@keith-anderson not being able to consistently make 30pts green mth in mth out

[A Former User]

@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Does anyone have any hates regarding modern football? I have loads! VAR, the handball rule, lack of injury time played to name but a few!

The one thing that has annoyed me this morning is the referee stopping play when a player is injured. The referee generally stops play if a player is injured - even if it’s not a head injury. More often than not the physio doesn’t even make it onto the pitch and the player gets back to his feet and play resumes. It stops momentum. It’s a dreadful rule!

Rant over!

VAR, Incompetant Referees we have in England, Offside Rule Handball Rule, Ridiculous scheduling of games purely for TV purposes I could go on and on and on

Clubs, Players and MAnagers need to come together and approach FA etc to scrap VAR in this country (Fifa/UEFA wont allow this) and for TV to have no control over scheduling (need to be careful without TV money the game in this country is effectively bankrupt) neither will happen.

[A Former User]

Todays Fireball Split Stakes set up on the bot for today (just shy of 5pts green MTD)

Todays SHG watch list - Must be 0-0, 1-0, 2-0 or 0-2 (This suits score lines on my main Goal filter)

Sparta Rotterdam v PSV

HT Trade... Will lay Plus 2 goals @ HT for 0.5pts & 0.5pts on 55mins... Remove red on first goal or take red on circa 80mins

[Ryan]

My HT LTD / LCS list for today

Torino
Stuttgart
Sparta Rotterdam

[Ryan]

@nick-terracciano 100% you have no opinion on them, there’s teams I don’t like so when they come up on a filter I have to try and think objectively.

I actually really enjoying finding out about other leagues, its especially good in quizzes when somebody asks the Q where is this town located and you go Finland - everybody goes how did you know that?! Lol Trading or CM/FM

[Ryan]

@keith-anderson VAR for me and the inconsistency with it!

PS I agree on the rule too, players use it to stop momentum - I imagine big Sam telling players to use it.

[Ryan]

@lee-woodman What to say when you talk to yourself is one that is good.

I also liked Atomic Habits - not really trading related but the principles applied to trading will help.

[Akiva Anderson]

Does anyone have any hates regarding modern football? I have loads! VAR, the handball rule, lack of injury time played to name but a few!

The one thing that has annoyed me this morning is the referee stopping play when a player is injured. The referee generally stops play if a player is injured - even if it’s not a head injury. More often than not the physio doesn’t even make it onto the pitch and the player gets back to his feet and play resumes. It stops momentum. It’s a dreadful rule!

Rant over!

[Richard Latimer]

My potentials for today:

So, these games at present, what I will be lookng for and how I will play them:

FHG, I'm torn. I'll either continue backing over 2.5 halfway through as low risk option and hoprfully health green when first goes in or I'll back over 0.5 FHG after possibly 10mins or 18mins. Difference so far is 12 selections more at the earlier point of entry and 82% as opposed to 78%.

Where I've marked FH? this is too check on home odds after kickoff as I want 2.19 or less ave book price (oddsportal.com).

SH Play will be back next over on 66mins providing no prior H2 goals. Some say SH? This is because these leagues I won't get iinvolved in if there haven't been any prior H2 goals at present.

When 1 goal has been scored up to the 59th minute, home is fave of 2.19 or less and find themselvs either drawing (not 2-2 - I hate it) or losing by one then I will back another goal on 69mins (70th minute). This will include the matches SH?

When 2 quick goals have been scored up to 59th minute (h/a odds can be anything and score can be anything, even 2-2 probably) I will back another after 74 mins (75th minute). Again this will include matches labelled SH?

Hopefully not too confusing but I'm trying to follow the data as well as open more avenues when goals come too early.

[Martin]

@matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Well after a slow week for me my filters have exploded and vomited out loads of games! Lots of work this morning to trim that list down to a sensible amount.

just about to look at mine, cheers for the heads up! will be a busy day

[Matt Wood]

Well after a slow week for me my filters have exploded and vomited out loads of games! Lots of work this morning to trim that list down to a sensible amount.