The BTC Football Trading Thread
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Had a disappointing day on my papertrading but I can see from this wasn't as bad as it could have been.
I've decided to concentrate purely on games that have already had goals and goals that have come earlier.
I had 1 game in Serbia that was 1-1 @ HT and stayed that way.
Bayer scored early and I thought there would be another Fhg. It didn't come.
Sparta Rotterdam went behind early 2nd half and again no further goals.
So 3 red trades and nothing else qualified for me.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
See Betfair up to their old tricks reopening the Liverpool match odds market.
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@daniel-cooper said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@alastair-todd said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Today neatly wiped out the whole of February so far. Rubbish.
Its been brutal hasn't it!
Also, the rugby was s**t!!!
Yes, actually I'm amazed on today's record that I didn't have AC Milan to win 2-0 against a club 14 places below it in Serie A!
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@alastair-todd said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Today neatly wiped out the whole of February so far. Rubbish.
Its been brutal hasn't it!
Also, the rugby was s**t!!!
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Today neatly wiped out the whole of February so far. Rubbish.
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@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
LTD - LCS at Tenerife in Spain 2 0-0 @ HT
1-0 happy days.
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LTD - LCS at Tenerife in Spain 2 0-0 @ HT
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Probably my last tonight. Laying under 1.5 goals in the Brighton v Aston Villa match. Only real value I see left tonight
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@daniel-mills Looks like we've all took a battering today
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oof. bit of a beating today. Lots of "should have"s!!
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3 losses all month, 4 losses today
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@richard-latimer I get few English games, certainly not enough to skew the figures negatively. But I’m wondering if what I said applies to other countries too
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@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@ben-dobie said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@lee-woodman mate I’m having a nightmare, I’ve got six months worth of results on my filter which don’t show a negative month for a goal 70+ , try to put that into practice and it suddenly falls on its arse
Absolutely the same, recorded over 600 games from July and very stable, low variance. Up the ante a little and it goes tits up. I even looked at the worse period it had so far but today alone has more than doubled the worse period. It’s one thing going wrong, it’s infinitely worse when you don’t know where you’re going wrong
@Lee-woodman Im hoping it’s just a s**t month so far got no other explanation for it mate
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5 draws in the Bundesliga, 2 0-0s.
La Liga 2 had 2 draws with a total of 10 goals.
Freakish day.
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@ben-dobie said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@lee-woodman mate I’m having a nightmare, I’ve got six months worth of results on my filter which don’t show a negative month for a goal 70+ , try to put that into practice and it suddenly falls on its arse
Absolutely the same, recorded over 600 games from July and very stable, low variance. Up the ante a little and it goes tits up. I even looked at the worse period it had so far but today alone has more than doubled the worse period. It’s one thing going wrong, it’s infinitely worse when you don’t know where you’re going wrong
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@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
LTD - LCS at Union Berlin 0-0 on 77.
Not to be had entered at Chateroux but goal came whilst posting and serving up dinner. Apologies for the after post. Have also entered at Grenoble.
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@lee-woodman mate I’m having a nightmare, I’ve got six months worth of results on my filter which don’t show a negative month for a goal 70+ , try to put that into practice and it suddenly falls on its arse
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LTD - LCS at Union Berlin 0-0 on 77.
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@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
LCS in the Napoli v Juventus match. Currently 1-0 after 60 minutes
F*****g awful day
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@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
I think i need to analyse my filters and see if the SR is different on saturdays. If its not then its obviously an issue somewhere between pulling the info from the filters and actively trading. Even when i trade my plan to the letter i seem to get very intermittent results, its a battle for the other 6 days to over-ride the damage caused by saturdays and then create the profit for the month!
Saturdays in English football seem to be for 'all other football' and i wonder if the same applies to other countries which could perhaps indicate the quality isnt as high (ie that all the better quality games have been selected for TV games at other times)
Lower league English 3pm games are a minefield I stay out of. Don't even record the data anymore as I'm simply not interested in the crazy amount of games and inconsistency.
