The BTC Football Trading Thread

@alan-steward hi alan. What differs between when you decide to use this strategy verse your second half one where you back 2 goals at HT and 60?

Thanks

Hi mate, backing plus 2 goals at HT & 60 is a strat I'd use on a good SHG Filter such as Gary's SHG, or if I'm evaluating FH stats and feel theres enough attacking intent which would indicate a strong probability of a SHG... If you wanted to keep your liabilities down then it might also be a good strat to use with @Keith-Anderson HT shouts (even though he has an excellent strike rate), maybe not so much on Darris shouts as I believe he normally calls them later in the SH... The split stake I use when I'm ready to enter in the FH and the games come from a filter which delivers 90% strike rate with a goal between 10 & 75mins... Hopefully this answers your question???

Richard Latimer

Going for 70th minute goal in Adanaspor

Martin Walker

@alan-steward hi alan. What differs between when you decide to use this strategy verse your second half one where you back 2 goals at HT and 60?

Thanks

? Offline

Todays Split Stake picks following the strat below but by all means wait until 30mins and use Ryans Split Stake as long as still 0-0

24/2/2021 NIMES LORIENT
6th time on the filter this season and Lorient have conceded away from home in all 5 previous games

Consider saver lay above_ No

And please, no private message questions regarding any of my stats or info, please keep any questions posted here so that any member can see my/all responses

Split Stake Trade
25% Stake on 15mins (if still 0-0)
25% stake plus 25pts
25% stake 1 whole pt (plus on 2nd stake)
25% stake 1 whole pt again

Typical staking could look like;
25% on 1.65
25% on 1.90
25% on 2.9
25% on 3.9

Exit when the back price on over 0.5 goals reached your average odds... prob around 80mins

Remove red if only matched on first 2 stakes

Take green if matched on 3rd & 4th stakes

You can consider using a Saver Lay when removing red on leagues where considered "Yes" above but ensure game is hot and teams are chasing the goal - Saver lay would be to Lay u0.5 goals around the 75/80min mark and then decide to either keep u1.5 live ie not exit trade and lay u0.5 for 1pt or exit trade & lay u0.5 to cover red on u1.5

? Offline

@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Todays Split Stake picks following the strat below but by all means wait until 30mins and use Ryans Split Stake as long as still 0-0

23/2/2021 AARAU XAMAX - NT goal too early

23/2/2021 WINTERTHUR KRIENS - Red -0.8 (turned out to be an awful game and I almost cancelled my 4th drip stake, however, as I would normally trade this on my bot I left it running... I was looking to exit on the 75th min but the cash out button kept disappearing, no doubt a liquidity issue... I managed to catch 0.78pts red and took the loss on the chin)

Consider saver lay above_ Yes

Split Stake Trade
25% Stake on 15mins (if still 0-0)
25% stake plus 25pts
25% stake 1 whole pt (plus on 2nd stake)
25% stake 1 whole pt again

Typical staking could look like;
25% on 1.65
25% on 1.90
25% on 2.9
25% on 3.9

Exit when the back price on over 0.5 goals reached your average odds... prob around 80mins

Remove red if only matched on first 2 stakes

Take green if matched on 3rd & 4th stakes

You can consider using a Saver Lay when removing red on leagues where considered "Yes" above but ensure game is hot and teams are chasing the goal - Saver lay would be to Lay u0.5 goals around the 75/80min mark and then decide to either keep u1.5 live ie not exit trade and lay u0.5 for 1pt or exit trade & lay u0.5 to cover red on u1.5

Total green on above trades = -0.78ptspts red

Green on in-play trades = -0.35pts red (3 additional Split Stakes & 1 red SHG Split Stake)

Total P/L on Tuesday -1.13pts red

Additional Notes: Not a brilliant day but red days happen and unfortunately the red on my in-play trading compounded the days red... I think that's the first red in-play of the week to date and I guess it had to happen... If I'm being totally honest I don't feel I should have entered the in-play loss however I took that decision to trade it so will also take that loss on the chin.

Akiva Anderson

2/2 today. That’s me done. Plenty of football tomorrow again

Richard Latimer

Less than stellar day. Could have been a little better with more balls to go for it earlier in Volendam haha

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Hoping Charlton can hold off on the goals. Want no earlier than 70th for the next. Going for a late goal.

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Hoping Charlton can hold off on the goals. Want no earlier than 70th for the next. Going for a late goal.

Odds still not exactly great but I lost out on the last waiting for better odds so.... Laid 2.46

Richard Latimer

Hoping Charlton can hold off on the goals. Want no earlier than 70th for the next. Going for a late goal.