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The BTC Football Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
42.9k Posts 268 Posters 3.4m Views
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by A Former User
    #17741

    LCS slavia vs rangers 1-1 HT, and you know what team im cheering for for this trade πŸ˜‚

    LCS ajax vs YB 0-0

    Might enter the others but need a bit more inplay to decide, will edit this post for when i do enter the others

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #17742

    LTD / LCS in the Slavia Praha v Rangers match. Currently 1-1 at HT

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #17743

    @keith-anderson Crazy odds mate, thought I'd wait 15mins to see how the game starts... Mental start to the game

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • S Offline
    S Offline
    Steve Sandell
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #17744

    @alan-steward cheers Alan πŸ‘

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    0
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #17745

    @keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Europa League tonight.

    I'm going to Lay Under 1.5 goals in the Slavia Praha v Rangers match tonight. Quite cheap

    Goal after 6 minutes! That’s me in the money!

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #17746

    @alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    After no games qualifying on my filter yesterday, today has just the 1 game in the Portuguese 2nd tier... Not 100% convinced with it but will show all data below to show why not;

    Todays Qualifier

    If I've identified "Equal Form Teams" of late I have measured 22 games with no games ending 0-0 so in theory it should be okay... Red flag here is only 22 games;
    0_1615457809483_Capture Today.JPG

    Errrm! Did anybody trade this game using the strategy I'm working with?

    Forgot to add it to my bot πŸ€¦β€β™‚οΈ πŸ€¦β€β™‚οΈ πŸ€¦β€β™‚οΈ

    It's not that important but be nice to know what profit it returned lol

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Steve Sandell on last edited by
    #17747

    @steve-sandell Hi mate, no the odds filter is dynamic in so much that it will only show games within the odds range at any point during the game... So if the game was within your requested window all morning it would show it... However, as odds change during the day if it moved out of your requested window it would no longer show it.

    It's a reason I don't like working with that criteria

    Hope this helps πŸ‘

    S 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • S Offline
    S Offline
    Steve Sandell
    wrote on last edited by
    #17748

    Hi All
    Just a question about the filters. If i put a betfair odds range in and click apply it will bring up games within that odds range. Does it matter what time of day it is
    So if it was the morning or the afternoon would you get a different list as the odds move
    hope ive explained that well enough

    Example
    1.75 - 2.0 and Liverpool were at 1.80 at 10am so the filter would highlight that game but at 4pm there odds were 1.70 would the filter then not highlight this game

    Thanks

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #17749

    @darri said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    LCS celje vs gorica 0-1 HT

    no goal, europa league tonight tho πŸ‘

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    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #17750

    LCS celje vs gorica 0-1 HT

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #17751

    @keith-anderson Yep, and decent Goal prediction on Forebet as well, definitely one to keep tabs on πŸ‘

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    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #17752

    @keith-anderson Lol, no, I don't know what she was saying I was too busy trying to block her out πŸ˜‚ πŸ˜‚ πŸ˜‚

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #17753

    Europa League tonight.

    I'm going to Lay Under 1.5 goals in the Slavia Praha v Rangers match tonight. Quite cheap

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    ? Akiva AndersonA 2 Replies Last reply
    0
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #17754

    @alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    I’ve backed over 1.5 goals in the Liverpool v Leipzig match. Currently 0-0 at HT

    Goal! 2-0 there’s the over 1.5

    Good shout mate πŸ‘

    Was too mad to trade anymore last night after entering my Split Stake by mistake... Was trading on my phone in the kitchen with the misses chatting 100 mile an hour and wasn't fully focused on what I was doing... That will teach me πŸ˜‚ πŸ˜‚ πŸ˜‚

    It would be funny if the wife was saying 'Don't trade that match'!

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by A Former User
    #17755

    After no games qualifying on my filter yesterday, today has just the 1 game in the Portuguese 2nd tier... Not 100% convinced with it but will show all data below to show why not;

    Todays Qualifier

    If I've identified "Equal Form Teams" of late I have measured 22 games with no games ending 0-0 so in theory it should be okay... Red flag here is only 22 games;
    0_1615457809483_Capture Today.JPG

    The Portuguese 2nd tier has done okay on the filter as you can see below... 15 games, 14 wins 93% S/R... Only red flag is obviously it's only measured over 15 games
    0_1615457667328_Todays Trades.JPG

    My final evaluation is recent form - Previous 5 games for both home and away... With this fixture this concerns me the most... Both teams have only scored in 3 of their previous 5 games home & away respectively and both teams have had a 0-0 in their previous 5 games... Also neither team have had many wins, just the 1 each in previous 5 games... A strong sign here is 3 wins each in their previous 5 games.
    0_1615457646785_Portugal 2.JPG

    Conclusion...

    I will trade the game with small stakes to help evaluate the average P&L on this filter using the Split Stake I post.

    Hopefully this has some benefit to the newer traders on how to evaluate games... Each trader will have their own methods and it would be interesting to hear other experienced traders view on my evaluation methods.

    Obviously if trading manually, the acid test is in-play stats, measured by in-play software or watching the game live (and make sure you're not chatting to the missus whilst trying to evaluate a trade πŸ˜‚ πŸ˜‚ πŸ˜‚ )

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    4
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #17756

    @keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    I’ve backed over 1.5 goals in the Liverpool v Leipzig match. Currently 0-0 at HT

    Goal! 2-0 there’s the over 1.5

    Good shout mate πŸ‘

    Was too mad to trade anymore last night after entering my Split Stake by mistake... Was trading on my phone in the kitchen with the misses chatting 100 mile an hour and wasn't fully focused on what I was doing... That will teach me πŸ˜‚ πŸ˜‚ πŸ˜‚

    Akiva AndersonA 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    wrote on last edited by
    #17757

    Corrrrr Mbappe and Haaland are a bit special aren't they, they however have nothing on this Nat Phillips lad πŸ˜‰

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    1 Reply Last reply
    3
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #17758

    @keith-anderson thanks mate, good to see you in form tonight both parts winning πŸ‘

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #17759

    @darri said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @darri said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Lcs Liverpool vs Leipzig 0-0

    Not entering psg

    That'll do nicely πŸ‘ 2/3 tonight see what tomorrow brings, just shy of break even day today so nice refresh after break see what we get before dreaded int break

    Welcome back mate

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #17760

    @darri said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Lcs Liverpool vs Leipzig 0-0

    Not entering psg

    That'll do nicely πŸ‘ 2/3 tonight see what tomorrow brings, just shy of break even day today so nice refresh after break see what we get before dreaded int break

    Akiva AndersonA 1 Reply Last reply
    1

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