The BTC Football Trading Thread
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LCS Arminia vs Bremen 0-0 HT
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Crazy finish in the Tokyo match... J League can deliver these late goals but match selection is key... Strong IPS or strong in-play action required
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So, this is just an insight to how I trade from IPS... Hopefully it's been useful... I will never take away anybody's desire or need to trade watching live games this is just how I trade... There's no right or wrong way regarding Live games or Live stats just a traders preference.
So a 3rd goal (& now 4th lol) in Tokyo game... Decent decision to remove red not always an easy call
And nominal green released in Fukuoka game.Just shy of 0.25pts green
Am happy with that as it's a new season
Enjoy your days trading
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@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Backed plus 2 goals in FC Tokyo v Kobe match for 0.125pts... Will look to drip same again on 59mins Betfair time and then queue LCS for 0.25pts at 1.9 (lay u1.5 goals)
Queued 2nd back drip stake at 3.2 on plus 2 goal market (o2.5)
Looking lively... Good SONT count & Goalkeeper saves
0-2 will take green after 3mins of 2nd goal
Decided to remove red and go the the 3rd goal... Fancy a home goal, prob regret it lol
Locked in 0.23pts if 3rd goal... Could be a morning of scratch trades but let's see
Take green if it's your preferred option
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@alan-steward That would be a good call if they stay like this, I will start to watch and see how they go.
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Looks like VAR in Tokyo match
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@mark-gorton When it gets into full swing look to trade the o2.5 goal market... Am just trading with caution this morning as it's only just into their season
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@alan-steward First time I have looked at the J league...its crazy town...every 1000hrs game had one or more goals in under 10 mins.....how do you trade that!!!
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@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
My 10 o'clock Watch List
Goals too early in J League but Korean game looks slow so wait to see strong IPS before/if enter... Typical and there's the goal... Still, the point is IPS wasn't strong enough for me to enter
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Backed plus 2 goals in FC Tokyo v Kobe match for 0.125pts... Will look to drip same again on 59mins Betfair time and then queue LCS for 0.25pts at 1.9 (lay u1.5 goals)
Queued 2nd back drip stake at 3.2 on plus 2 goal market (o2.5)
Looking lively... Good SONT count & Goalkeeper saves
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0-1 in Fukuoka match... Will watch restart before removing red... Will wait 5mins
Removed red... 0.019pts if second goal or scratch
On to the 10 o'clock games
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My 10 o'clock Watch List
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Queued Split Stake in Fukuoka game as below... Am only using half stakes to consider using a saver lay around the 75min mark
Entered 0.125pts at 1.35 & will proceed as below dripping 0.125pts with each stake
My choice of Split Stake
Split Stake Trade
25% Stake on 15mins (if still 0-0)
25% stake plus 25pts
25% stake 1 whole pt (plus on 2nd stake)
25% stake 1 whole pt againTypical staking could look like;
25% on 1.35
25% on 1.60
25% on 2.92
25% on 3.95Exit when the back price on over 0.5 goals reached your average odds... prob around 80mins
Remove red if only matched on first 2 stakes
Take green if matched on 3rd & 4th stakes
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Will be watching the J League games below, hoping to enter Split Stake on o1.5 if odds hit 1.5
Watching the Aussie game for SHG ops but slightly put off by only one team in it... Will be looking for Western to get some SONT or focus on J League
That's Tokyo game out as I was typing lol
And Sydney 2-0 up so will focus on remaining two J League games until 10 o'clock
This is how I'm able to focus on in-play games I'm interested in
Goal too early in Fukuoka game (disallowed?) need to be fully convinced with the Urawa game as both have had 0-0's although home team was last season
Have decided not to trade Urawa game
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Is it just me but does this week feel like a dreaded International break a couple of weeks before we hit the next one.
Seems to be very little to trade this week not that that's a bad thing necessarily
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Fancy SHG in Juve game but shocking odds, although to be expected with Juve facing knocked out of CL
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@keith-anderson Good shout though mate
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@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
LTD / LCS in the Charlton v Northampton match. Currently 0-0 at HT
Interesting shout mate, was that based on general results from my filter or were you watching the game?
No, I think stats based trading has been difficult lately, so I switched to odds based trading
Odds based?
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@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
LTD / LCS in the Charlton v Northampton match. Currently 0-0 at HT
Interesting shout mate, was that based on general results from my filter or were you watching the game?
No, I think stats based trading has been difficult lately, so I switched to odds based trading
le jeu avant tout
Am Yisrael Chai
When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...
