The BTC Football Trading Thread
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Looking at split stake O1.5 on Dusseldorf, not much action yet but should pick up by 30 minutes
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Todays Split Stake picks following the strat below but by all means wait until 30mins and use Ryans Split Stake as long as still 0-0
Split Stake Trade
25% Stake on 15mins (if still 0-0)
25% stake plus 25pts
25% stake 1 whole pt (plus on 2nd stake)
25% stake 1 whole pt againTypical staking could look like;
25% on 1.65
25% on 1.90
25% on 2.9
25% on 3.9Exit when the back price on over 0.5 goals reached your average odds... prob around 80mins
Remove red if only matched on first 2 stakes
Take green if matched on 3rd & 4th stakes
Consider going for SHG if Score Prediction forecasts a 4 goal match & IPS supports (Games highlighted Green)
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@darri said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@darri said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Late goal kawasaki vs kashiwa 0-0 70 mins
GOAL! 1-0 in the 80th min good sat morning
Kawasakis 0-0 record in the last 45 games is 1/45 so pretty easy to speculate that a goal had a good chance of coming
expect their odds to not offer as much as the season progresses, basically the ajax/salzburg of the J league -
@darri said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Late goal kawasaki vs kashiwa 0-0 70 mins
GOAL! 1-0 in the 80th min good sat morning
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Late goal kawasaki vs kashiwa 0-0 70 mins
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@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Late LCS in Melbourne 1-2 71 mins.
1-3 76 mins super Saturday so far.
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Late LCS in Melbourne 1-2 71 mins.
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I reckon thereās another goal in Melbourne home side rattled and not used to being s**t.
Havenāt entered but might well do soon.
Will post if I do. -
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LTD - at Melbourne 1-1 will back over 2.5 if no change to score on 70 mins.
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@darri will be joining later if still 1-1.
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@mark-gorton to be honest mate thatās because none of us really care for the A League as a supporter league. Itās always run during the summer because it wouldnāt be able to compete with the AFL and the NRL for the national interest and during summer it competes with cricket so itās kinda niche in a way. Due to Covid this is the first season it will run over the winter months which wonāt be good for it. The NRL started this weekend and the AFL starts next weekend which isnāt good news for the A League. However from a trading perspective and taking all that away itās a great league.
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LCS melbourne vs adelaide 1-1
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@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Todays selections for Split Stakes
Not a huge amount of value here today and the Austrian Vorwarts game is prob one to miss with o1.5 goals and poss enter o2.5 goal market.
I have my COVID jab this morning but all being well will still do some manual Split Stake trading from another filter I'm working on (it's also performing nicely)
Whilst I understand the value is low here this is a set & forget strategy so am loading 100% on my bot
Grey cells are performing with 88/89% League S/R & Green cells are performing 90%+ League S/R
My choice of trade is;
Split Stake Trade
25% Stake on 15mins (if still 0-0)
25% stake plus 25pts
25% stake 1 whole pt (plus on 2nd stake) (or just queue at 2.88/2.92)
25% stake 1 whole pt again (or just queue at 3.85/3.95)Typical staking could look like;
25% on 1.65
25% on 1.90
25% on 2.9
25% on 3.9Exit when the back price on over 0.5 goals reached your average odds... prob around 80mins
Remove red if only matched on first 2 stakes
Take green if matched on 3rd & 4th stakes
As expected not a huge amount of profit from last nights games but green is green I guess and this strat is fully automated on the Bot
Total P&L from above games 0.38pts Green
I took about the same again with a couple of manual Split Stakes & SHG but again struggled to gain any real traction for green and took another 0.38pts full green.
One thing I will point out, I state in the above Trade to remove red if only matched on 1st & 2nd dripped stakes and only green up if matched with 3rd & 4th drip stakes... I only mention this in-case anybody else is following the trades and get slightly different/better results... Am struggling to get the bot to remove red only on first two parts and green up if/when matched with 3rd & 4th parts
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@james-woodroffe I spent 6 months over there in Queensland in 1993 attached to your Defence Force...great time. I was only ever taken to Ozzie rules or Rugby matches...No one talked about football.
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@mark-gorton A League is great to trade mate. Iām from Oz so I try and keep over it but itās one of my fav leagues to trade and now we have new clubs also so more matches
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@ryan-carruthers I was going to give it a go. Never tried it before so will be interested to see what happens
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@james-woodroffe Only started with BTC in Jan so just learning which leagues are good for small trades, these fit in with my free time and hope to be part of my normal trade soon.
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@mark-gorton Melbourne v Adelaide is probably the biggest rivalry in the A League and Melbourne were humiliated at home last week and had to make a statement. They spend more time looking down on the comp than looking up thatās for sure so some bruised egos this season. Itās a great league for goals not the most defensive league going around.
