The BTC Football Trading Thread
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@matt-wood Not nice when you're trading... Very annoying
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Did similar in first Aussie match but;
Layed u2.5 goals for 0.1pts
Dutched 3-0, 2-1, 1-2 & 0-3 for 0.1pts (Layed the 2-1 @1.5 to protect against late goal)Total P&L 0.24pts green
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In the next Aussie game;
Central Coast Mariners v Adelaide
Layed u2.5 goals for 0.1pts @ 2.51 for 0.1pts (0.16pts liability)
Dutched Correct Scores 3-1, 2-2 & 1-3 for 0.1pts (0.1pts liability)Will look to LCS @ 1.95 or lower for 0.26pts if score is less than 2 goals
Maximum trade liability 0.52pts red
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Just the one game which shows value on my Split Stake filter today;
Spanish Segunda
Las Palmas v Lugo4/5 home games have gone o1.5
5/5 away games have gone o1.53/5 home games have gone BTTS
5/5 Away games have gone BTTS
At this stage my biggest red flag is lack of wins by both teams although the home team has a couple in their previous 5 home games the away team has zero... Although they still seem to be scoring & conceding.
I have seen posts on the forum which say the Spanish Segunda is good for goals and not many 0-0's... Personally I've never seen that and last time I checked I believe it had 11% 0-0's so trade with caution if following and do your own pre match due diligence.
Best of luck
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@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
WCQ's Updated;
Not been able to check value for tonight's WCQ's as the Betfair Exchange is currently down. Although I believe there has only been one 0-0 in this round of games so therefore if it appears to show value it should be good to go, so long as there's decent IPS.
I will hopefully be able to update with my watchlist later
Forebet Score Prediction Follows Each Game
Northern Ireland v Bulgaria 3-0 - Result 0-0 (Guess I had to catch one) - 1.5pts red employed saver lay @1.5Greece v Georgia 1-1 - Result 1-1 waited for market to settle and odds can move against you quite quickly at time of first goal but while waiting for market to settle was just about to hit the cash out button and market suspended for the 2nd goal - 1.43pts green
Austria v Denmark 2-2 - Result 0-4 was fully matched on this game but really fancied o1.5 goals even though IPS wasn't brilliant, removed red after 1st goal - 0.58pts green
Scotland v Faroe Islands 5-1 - Result 4-0 - NT (goal too early)
Armenia v Romania 0-5 - Result 3-2 - 0.07pts green
Look for decent attacking intent and don't be afraid to switch between my preferred start to Ryan's if attacking intent is slow.
However it might be worth checking out the u21 games as well, most notebly;
Forebet Score Prediction Follows Each Game
Iceland v France 2 -3
Croatia v England 3 - 3
Switzerland v Portugal 2 -4
Was too busy to trade the u21 games but there was some nice green to be had here and hopefully you managed to profit from them.I will be keeping tabs on trading the o2.5 goals market in the above games
Will be looking to enter around the 15/20min mark
My choice of trade;
25% on entry
25% plus 25pts
25% circa 2.9
25% circa 3.9Remove red if only matched on 2 dripped stakes green up if 3rd or 4th dripped stake is matched... Take red around the 75/80th minute mark or when o0.5 goal back odds match your total average dripped stake.
Choose to use saver lay (Lay uo.5 goals) wisely!!!
Total evenings P&L 0.45pts green
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The German media has gone after the national team big style this morning.
Even the normally sober Frankfurter Allgemeine has a front page article. Low gets the blame.
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Pretty sure we would have given our blokes hell if we'd lost to North Macedonia!
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What happened there, I went for a quick shower and everyone scored....SHG's out the window...
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@darri said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
lcs scotland vs faroe 1-0 HT
Some interesting scores right now see where they are at come 60-70mins
GOAL! 100% tonight and finishes off the int break for me, made just shy of 8points/8% bank here so happy with that, now big effort between now and end of season in the domestics
hope some have managed to get on these -
A bad call on the France game. Going to keep an eye out for a chance to get a second half goal.
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Germany down 0-1 got to be lay the dog or back the fav....!!!!
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lcs scotland vs faroe 1-0 HT
Some interesting scores right now see where they are at come 60-70mins
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@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
I’ll be laying under 1.5 goals in the Moldova
v Israeli 
match. I’m probably biasedGoal! 1-0 do what you want now!
Goal! 1-1
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@keelan-kanji Lay the draw I mean . On italy , germany , france games
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Anyone looking to lay the international games . Or is the price on the draw too high at half time?
cheers
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@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
I’ll be laying under 1.5 goals in the Moldova
v Israeli match. I’m probably biasedGoal! 1-0 do what you want now!
le jeu avant tout
Am Yisrael Chai
When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game... -
@darri said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
FHG scotland vs faroe islands
GOAL! 1-0 didnt have to wait that long, keeps ticking the profits up
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Matched at 1.39 in Scotland for FHG took a bit to post this as my Mrs has just tried to murder me with a Thai pork chilli salad. I mean I’m going back on the road soon surely she could wait a week to get me out of the house.
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@jez-rourke-pilott said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
laying
When do you normally enter a lay o1.5 at kick off or drip after certain times ?
I lay before kick off.
Studying and trying to watch the match at the same time!
