The BTC Football Trading Thread
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Will be monitoring Timbers match... It come through one of my BTTS filters so hopefully another SHG opportunity
I'm not seeing a goal fest pre match prob 1-1 maybe 1-2
Let's see how the game unfolds
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@james-rome said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@keith-anderson
@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Results form today's Under 1.5 goals Lay:
Laying Under 1.5 Goals:
03:00 - Colorado v Minnesota - FT 3-2
06:00 - Shimizu v Yokohama FC - FT: 1-1
07:05 - Melbourne City v Brisbane Roar - FT: 3-2
09:10 - Perth Glory v Melbourne Victory - HT: 2-1
12:00 - Portsmouth v Accrington - FT: 0-1
12:00 - Oxford v Burton - FT: 4-0
12:30 - Bochum v Regensburg - FT: 5-1
14:00 - Angers v Dijon - FT: 3-0
14:00 - FC Inter v FC Haka - FT: 2-1
17:00 - Bodo v Tromso - FT: 3-0
17:00 - Molde v Kristiansund - FT: 2-0
17:30 - Villarreal v Celta Vigo - FT: 2-4
19:00 - Arsenal v West Brom - HT: 2-0well done mate thats mint ...what odds are you typically laying at if you dont mind me asking
I wouldn't go above 5.0. Angers match was cheap around 3.75 pre kick-off. Some I had to wait until in-play.
I'll monitor the odds though and I'll make adjustments if needed
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@keith-anderson you laying them to win a certain amount? Whats the average odds roughly?
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@keith-anderson nice profit there
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@keith-anderson well played mate, great weekends results
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@keith-anderson
@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Results form today's Under 1.5 goals Lay:
Laying Under 1.5 Goals:
03:00 - Colorado v Minnesota - FT 3-2
06:00 - Shimizu v Yokohama FC - FT: 1-1
07:05 - Melbourne City v Brisbane Roar - FT: 3-2
09:10 - Perth Glory v Melbourne Victory - HT: 2-1
12:00 - Portsmouth v Accrington - FT: 0-1
12:00 - Oxford v Burton - FT: 4-0
12:30 - Bochum v Regensburg - FT: 5-1
14:00 - Angers v Dijon - FT: 3-0
14:00 - FC Inter v FC Haka - FT: 2-1
17:00 - Bodo v Tromso - FT: 3-0
17:00 - Molde v Kristiansund - FT: 2-0
17:30 - Villarreal v Celta Vigo - FT: 2-4
19:00 - Arsenal v West Brom - HT: 2-0well done mate thats mint ...what odds are you typically laying at if you dont mind me asking
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Results form today's Under 1.5 goals Lay:
Laying Under 1.5 Goals:
03:00 - Colorado v Minnesota - FT 3-2
06:00 - Shimizu v Yokohama FC - FT: 1-1
07:05 - Melbourne City v Brisbane Roar - FT: 3-2
09:10 - Perth Glory v Melbourne Victory - HT: 2-1
12:00 - Portsmouth v Accrington - FT: 0-1
12:00 - Oxford v Burton - FT: 4-0
12:30 - Bochum v Regensburg - FT: 5-1
14:00 - Angers v Dijon - FT: 3-0
14:00 - FC Inter v FC Haka - FT: 2-1
17:00 - Bodo v Tromso - FT: 3-0
17:00 - Molde v Kristiansund - FT: 2-0
17:30 - Villarreal v Celta Vigo - FT: 2-4
19:00 - Arsenal v West Brom - HT: 2-0 -
@james-rome MLS is a gold mine mate for 2nd half goals, even if the football isnt that great at times still seem to sneak a goal in, the level of defending isn't great
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@steve-sandell @Darri
cheers for these boys i was debating if i was right to get involded seen two others get involded gave me a bit mor confindence
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This post is deleted!
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@darri said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@darri said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
SHG inter miami vs atlanta 0-1 (to win 1pt)
Adding a late to this now also
GOAL! nice double up there
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@darri said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
SHG inter miami vs atlanta 0-1 (to win 1pt)
Adding a late to this now also
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SHG Inter Miami currently 0-1
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SHG inter miami vs atlanta 0-1 (to win 1pt)
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@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
SHG Roma HT 0-0
4-0 when last checked
Lay odds were 8.0 at HT so backed plus 2 goals with a split stake only 1 part matched with the early goal so just let it run... Nice green day
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late goal hertha berlin vs arminia 0-0 62 mins
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@alastair-todd Decide as much as you can when doing your plan without the emotion of the trade, when will you start assessing the game, what if x, and z has happened, what stake you will use etc then it leaves you to think about the trading opportunity in play. I personally back 5% per trade but I am comfortable with that for various reasons, if you aren’t comfortable with 5 then go for 1 or 2%
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@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@alastair-todd Regarding goal timings and odds then you have to find something that works for you. For example the PSV game that a few were on from HT won for them but my data suggests it’s a good trade from 60’ so that’s when I look to get involved. I played the trade as I would have liked, got a price I liked and I’d do it again even though it lost. Those guys won their trade based on their information but I can’t now turn around and say ‘I should’ve got in at HT’ because it was still a good trade for me that fit my longer term data. Odds on 60’ I look for a minimum of 1.33 but I try and hold out a little if possible. Some games are maybe 1.28 on 60’ so I tend to give them a swerve as they will still be low odds for the rest of the game. Don’t get too hung up on what others are doing, I’m happy others won the same trade I lost but I’m not kicking myself - if I did this trade 100 times I reckon I’d win enough to profit
All good points Lee, thanks. I didn't lose anything on the PSV game as I hadn't entered when the goal went in and luckily I was disciplined enough not to enter for a second one even though I thought there was a good chance of one coming (glad I didn't). My earlier post was mainly borne out of frustration at a couple of trades over the last couple of days when I did lay, at higher liability, and predictably lost - going against another rule of not committing more than 1 point liability.
All the points made on here this afternoon by you and others have been very helpful, so thanks all!
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SHG Roma HT 0-0
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@alastair-todd Regarding goal timings and odds then you have to find something that works for you. For example the PSV game that a few were on from HT won for them but my data suggests it’s a good trade from 60’ so that’s when I look to get involved. I played the trade as I would have liked, got a price I liked and I’d do it again even though it lost. Those guys won their trade based on their information but I can’t now turn around and say ‘I should’ve got in at HT’ because it was still a good trade for me that fit my longer term data. Odds on 60’ I look for a minimum of 1.33 but I try and hold out a little if possible. Some games are maybe 1.28 on 60’ so I tend to give them a swerve as they will still be low odds for the rest of the game. Don’t get too hung up on what others are doing, I’m happy others won the same trade I lost but I’m not kicking myself - if I did this trade 100 times I reckon I’d win enough to profit