The BTC Football Trading Thread
-
@darri not enough!
I've got a sheet of about 800 results which i've been narrowing down every few hundred games. So realistically, about 100 recent results with the current settings. Gone from picking up 20-30 games on a Saturday to about 10 to pick from.
Any thoughts always appreciated. Definitely not discounting the time of the season / year impacting results too.
-
@daniel-mills how much data have you got mate?
-
@daniel-mills said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Tempting fate here, seem to be on a run of only posting games that lose. Anyway... these are on my watch list today for a second half goal. The Daegu and Jeju matches this morning were on there too and both came in, fingers crossed for a decent day trading!
Ended up trading on these today. Narrowly missed the Dortmund and Shaffhausen goals by a couple of ticks. Not going to lose any sleep over it as the price was still a bit low for me. Could have avoided the Moscow game as 0-0's seem to be the most common losers for me at the minute, something to keep an eye on I think - it might just even out still.
All of the other games came in with a second half goal, beginning to wonder whether its worth laying the score at HT instead of holding out for a particular price like Stu's LTD filter. Need to see if the losses swing back too violently (filter currently sitting at 82% strike rate overall, 85% when you take out 0-0) before making any decisions.
-
@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
My Laying Under 1.5 Goals List today. I wouldn't anything over 5.0. Most of these will be Under 5.0 pre-kick-off anyway.
The first two have came in, I can post these the night before.
Inter Milan qualifies, but the odds are 5.7 and they have already won the league, so I have omitted them from my list.
Laying Under 1.5 Goals:
06:00 - Jeju
06:00 - Daegu
12:00 - Furth
14:00 - Hammarby
14:30 - Wolfsburg
15:00 - Cheltenham
15:00 - Morecambe
15:00 - Salford
15:00 - Tranmere
15:00 - Hartlepool
18:30 - Columus Crew
19:45 - AnderlechtResults for these today. I managed to get on all but the Furth match. I forgot about it for some reason!
06:00 - Jeju - FT: 1-3
06:00 - Daegu - FT: 3-0
12:00 - Furth - FT: 2-2
14:00 - Hammarby - FT: 3-2
14:30 - Wolfsburg - FT: 3-0
15:00 - Cheltenham - FT: 4-1
15:00 - Morecambe - FT: 2-0
15:00 - Salford - FT: 3-0
15:00 - Tranmere - FT: 0-0
15:00 - Hartlepool ****- HT: 2-4****
18:30 - Columus Crew - FT: 3-1
19:45 - Anderlecht - FT: 2-2 -
@matt-wood just checked, yep all up to date
thats me for the night back tomorrow, strange how it showed all of sat but not sun from the update on thursday, will see what adam says on the support thread later -
@darri I think it has been updated just now, mine says 20:22 today
-
@darri said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
FHG liverpool vs southampton (to win 1pt)
GOAL! 1-0 good finish to the day, fingers crossed for some filter update before games go live tomorrow
-
@karl-mccarthy said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@darri I just need to get more confident in my trades. I’m nowhere near the level where you, Alan et al are, but am learning so much and hopefully in next few months you’ll see more from me. Keep up the great work.
Hi Karl. It can be really daunting posting your trades on here. But, this is a very receptive community. There are no twats on here (well, apart from me) who will criticise or complain (t**t I may be, but I'd never do that). In fact, it may even accelerate your learning.
Also, remember that even if/when you do post a trade, it's not your responsibility if someone else plays the same trade. It's a horrible feeling when something you post loses, but we all understand that the decision to place the same trade rests with us. We all understand that it's quite brave to post trades and appreciate the effort anyone takes in doing so.
Well done with what you've done so far.
-
FHG liverpool vs southampton (to win 1pt)
I see the stats are down for tomorrow hopefully an update will come, iv seen some of the guys have already posted on the stats support page so adam can see. Might be having to manually look tomorrow, just a heads up to those looking to tomorrow
-
@darri I just need to get more confident in my trades. I’m nowhere near the level where you, Alan et al are, but am learning so much and hopefully in next few months you’ll see more from me. Keep up the great work.
-
@karl-mccarthy hey bud, if the leeds game, the under 2.5 game and this are doing this well why dont you start posting/sharing them if your gonna be doing updates on them, sometime can look a bit after the fact type thing. Lovely that you made a tidy profit tho
-
Made a late late LTD entry in the City game. What a nice way to start wind down for the night.
-
Although 3 SONT (only 2 on Sofascore) Goztepe game looks quite flat with regards to pace of play.
Oh, and neither team has anything to play for... If they were smashing stars I'd have taken it on.
I already have my quota of green today so will give this match a miss
Best of luck to those still trading
-
Statistically the Average number of goals per game, the % of games going O2.5 and number of 0-0's is pretty average based on the previous 10 years. Like Darri said the away wins has increased this year - about 3% above the average of 10 years, however, this figure has been increasing for the last few years anyway
-
@darri said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
SHG cska vs krasnodar 1-1 HT
SHG man city vs chelsea 1-0 HTGOALS! 2/2 there
-
@stuart-capstick said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@alan-steward
Your name is MUCH better, Alan.
-
@alan-steward
Your name is MUCH better, Alan.
-
@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
My afternoons SHG watchlist
Hammarby
Schaffhausen
GoateeAll games have strong probability of o2.5 goals and BTTS
Am off to visit my boy this afternoon to see their new house so keep eye on IPS if you fancy a go.
I would take 0-0, 1-0, 0-1 or 1-1 for first two games or 0-0, 1-0 or 0-1 in Turkey
Lol, so the real team name is Goztepe... But you all knew that right
-
SHG cska vs krasnodar 1-1 HT
SHG man city vs chelsea 1-0 HT -
@darri You're spot on of course. I really need to stop doing this - every time it happens I immediately think that I didn't need to do that. Although it isn't good to see other people losing on matches, it does give me a crumb of selfish comfort that at least I am starting to pick the right matches to get on and the same ones as the experts on here! Onwards and upwards (I hope).
