The BTC Football Trading Thread

james everard

@alan-steward Hi mate cheers for that . I was doing well before this virus with the split stake over 1.5 goal strategy. This was a slightly different variation based on a stats filter I had set up and traded on 30mins, 45mins, 55mins and 65mins and trade out on 72mins if no goal. With follow your rules though cheers mate

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@james-everard I watch the games on youtube James, no freezing so far. Plus, it's about 30 seconds closer to the actual time than the BF stream

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@alan-steward had 2 goals ruled out for offside!

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Not many shots at goal yet just 1off target???

Pace of game looks slow, have made a decision to wait until HT

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@james-everard Sorry mate, yes

Based on Ryan's Split Stake... If your happy with the game and stats enter on 30mins... If not convinced maybe wait until HT & LTD

Use what ever stake size your comfortable with

james everard

@alan-steward Hi Alan , your 50% split stake strategy is this based on the over 1.5 goal market?

james everard

Following Alan and Richards take on the football at the moment like I posted yesterday havn't got a clue at the moment with little stats etc.
What live stream do you use ? I have been trying to watch on Betfair and this has happens all the time just freezes all the time anyone else have this problem?

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Today's Belarus Premier League Games

Isloch v Belshina - My trade of choice will be 50% Split Stake

Vitebsk v Shakhtor - No specific trade before start of play watch the game or stats to see if any opportunity unfolds - If deciding to trade in-play Small stakes/Low odds recommended

Smolevichy-STI v BATE - My trade of choice will be 50% Split Stake

Dinamo Brest v Dinamo Minsk - My trade of choice will be 50% Split Stake

For In-Play stats in either game I will be looking for minimum 1 dangerous attack per minute played & 3 SOT by 30/35mins to enter 50% Split Stake and 4 SOT before entering SH Trade.

If in-play stats don't reach 3 SOT by 30 minutes will wait until HT to enter either LTD or over 0.5 goals

At HT - If in doubt of goal before 70mins either hold off 2nd stake or wait until LTD Price hits 1.98/1.95 & Lay for 0.5pts

At 70mins - If already fully matched with Split Stake & still 0-0 either take the red or LTD at current available odds & Lay same points as in o1.5 goals around 70/75mins & LTD price must be minimum 1.98/1.95 (with this scenario I'm happy to wait until 75mins for better price)

Before entering if you're in any doubt of risking 2pts you can either lower your staking to a total red of 1 or 0.5pts. so you will either halve or quarter the above staking plan.

if I miss entry I will move on.

Entry point 50% Stake = 25/30mins depending on inplay stats

Best of luck!

Richard Latimer

@geoff-hall would have been. As is I didn't do it haha

Geoff Hall

@richard-latimer nice one on Gangwon WD

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@richard-latimer got in for an over 1.5 at 30mins, greened out before the end of the first half. Glad I did!

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

08:30 Gangwon v Seoul

A filtered 2nd half goal pick.
3.5 ave goals scored
3.35 overall ave goals
90% over 0.5 2nd half
8/10 scored by home 2nd half
6/10 scored by away 2nd half
Ave first 2h goal time 69 mins

If 0-0/1-1 @ HT I'll lay draw after 65 mins
If they score a 2nd half goal before then I'll lay the under
If 0-1 @ HT I'll lay under 1.5 after 65 mins and if a goal comes sooner I'll lay under 2.5

Filtered play is a bust. Not liking the 1-1 as a lay when home team started with odds of 2.66

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

08:00 Anyang v Ansan

8/10 scored on both sides.
At least 1 goal should be incredibly likely.
Over 1.5 is 85% overall so a further goal is likely.

If it's 0-0 at HT I'll look to LTD 60-65 mins and if a goal is scored before I'll assess.
If it's 1-0/0-1 at HT I'll look to lay under 1.5 60-65 mins.

Laid under 1.5 goals

This one not looking great. The perils of goals scored at the wrong time.

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

08:00 Anyang v Ansan

8/10 scored on both sides.
At least 1 goal should be incredibly likely.
Over 1.5 is 85% overall so a further goal is likely.

If it's 0-0 at HT I'll look to LTD 60-65 mins and if a goal is scored before I'll assess.
If it's 1-0/0-1 at HT I'll look to lay under 1.5 60-65 mins.

Laid under 1.5 goals

Ryan

@martin-futter Can see it, USA will want their sport 100%

Martin

This seems quite promising for MLS fans:https://www.ajc.com/sports/atlanta-united-eales-steps-will-take-for-mls-resume/rZ5AAOzIcdmQsiLg35MJoO/

Richard Latimer

@geoff-hall less ave goals less chance of a goal.

Richard Latimer

Nuts. Missed the first game being asleep haha

Geoff Hall

@richard-latimer said in [The BTC Football Trading Thread]...

Red flag: Goals scored ave 2.70 and overall goals ave 2.50.

what are you saying is a danger sign please Richard out of interest ?

Richard Latimer

Small caveat
I've not checked most of the odds so if they're crazy stupid I'll move on.