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The BTC Football Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #15481

    @alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @richard-latimer What trade you got for the A-League game mate?

    I've gone through todays games and the Aussie match is showing home fav but home team aren't exactly free scoring but away teams defence looks shocking...

    McCarthur although it's only a potential depending on what happens in game.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #15482

    Laying Under 1.5 Goals

    16:30 - KUPS v Mariehamn
    19:30 - Glenavon v Warrenpoint

    I also like the look of Laying Under 1.5 goals in the Espanyol v Cartagena match. Lay odds are only 3.5 - Value!

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #15483

    @richard-latimer What trade you got for the A-League game mate?

    I've gone through todays games and the Aussie match is showing home fav but home team aren't exactly free scoring but away teams defence looks shocking...

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #15484

    Todays games... These games are taken from a new project I'm working on with the Football Ratings Page... The Fireball o1.5 trades are on 🔥

    0_1620978840398_Ratings 14-05.JPG

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #15485

    Todays SHG Watchlist

    If you feel like trading ensure you're happy with IPS @ HT... Minimum stats are 45 dangerous attacks and 3 SONT per goal, with these No's you should see a decent amount of SOFFT & corners... That said as you can see from yesterdays results these selections have been converting just over 90% straight from the filter regardless of score, the sweet spot for SHG is 80% or over for profit.

    SCHAFFHAUSEN v CHIASSO

    I trade manually without queuing as below

    Odds 6.2 or less queue LCS at odds 4.0 if early goal move on

    Odds over 6.2 at HT back plus 2 goals for 0.25pts queue 0.25pts plus 2 goals 1 whole pt on HT... Lay CS at 1.98 if no goal... Trade out, remove red if only 1 part matched, take green if 2 parts matched, let run if 1.98 lay is matched for 2 late goals

    However for a straight LCS on 59mins Betfair time these games based on a score prediction & avg o2.5 goal odds convert at

    1 SHG = 92%
    SHG Post 59mins = 90%

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by A Former User
    #15486

    Results Updated

    @alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Todays games... These games are taken from a new project I'm working on with the Football Ratings Page... The Fireball o1.5 trades are on 🔥

    0_1620980318227_Ratings Results 13.JPG

    3/4 SHG post 59mins Betfair time

    Had to edit the post as I included some lower tier qualifiers which I'm not posting just yet... 3/4 would prob have been scratch with these but I only traded Belgium & Norway game for SHG

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #15487

    @alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Todays SHG Watchlist - Results Updated
    If you feel like trading ensure you're happy with IPS @ HT... Minimum stats are 45 dangerous attacks and 3 SONT per goal, with these No's you should see a decent amount of SOFFT & corners... That said as you can see from yesterdays results these selections have been converting just over 90% straight from the filter regardless of score, the sweet spot for SHG is 80% or over for profit.

    AJAX v VENLO SHG Times - 56,75,77
    PSV v ZWOLLE SHG Times - 54,69,90
    FC EMMEN v HEERENVEEN SHG Times - 53,82,88

    I trade manually without queuing as below

    Odds 6.2 or less queue LCS at odds 4.0 if early goal move on
    Odds over 6.2 at HT back plus 2 goals for 0.25pts queue 0.25pts plus 2 goals 1 whole pt on HT... Lay CS at 1.98 if no goal... Trade out, remove red if only 1 part matched, take green if 2 parts matched, let run if 1.98 lay is matched for 2 late goals
    However for a straight LCS on 59mins Betfair time these games based on a score prediction & avg o2.5 goal odds convert at
    1 SHG = 92%
    SHG Post 59mins = 90%

    3/3 post 59mins Betfair time yesterday... Because of high odds at HT I backed the plus 2 goal market and let it run if only 1 part matched... I ignored the Red Cards as it's the Dutch League

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #15488

    Just updating yesterdays picks I posted on here then I'll see what's in store today

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #15489

    @alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @keith-anderson Am sure there's 1pt green out there somewhere... You'll sniff it out 😉

    I got Kuwait and Lithuania. Yeah, it's pretty crap today haha!

    One A-league game in the morning on my filter.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #15490

    @keith-anderson Am sure there's 1pt green out there somewhere... You'll sniff it out 😉

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Daniel Cooper on last edited by
    #15491

    @daniel-cooper it's a good filter mate and can return you 6/7pts green a month... Certain leagues will convert with 85% strike rate, off the top of my head Italy Serie A, German Bundesliga & Turkish Super Liga... I never used to trade a league unless it hit 80% strike rate and theses quoted figures are from qualifying games 👍

    1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #15492

    Not a lot on for a Friday

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Daniel CooperD Offline
    Daniel CooperD Offline
    Daniel Cooper
    wrote on last edited by Daniel Cooper
    #15493

    Ryans O1.5 Split Stake filter, since I started to personally track it 10 days ago, has hit 85% Outright Successes (FT 2 or more goals). Early days but thats quite something.

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #15494

    Laying Under 1.5 Goals - RESULTS -

    02:00 - Minnesota v Vancouver - FT: 1-0
    17:30 - Norrkoping v Degerfors - FT: 1-1
    19:00 - Rosenborg v Viking - FT: 5-0

    Had the Lay Under 1.5 goals in the Man United v Liverpool match

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #15495

    Typical, just manually loaded one of my 5 part Split Stakes and they score... No chance to post here and no real green with only 1 part matched so wil just let it run... Hopefully we will get SHG opportunities

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #15496

    @darri said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Back from training, FHG granada vs real 0-0

    GOAL! 0-1 looked too open not to 👍 🤑

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #15497

    Back from training, FHG granada vs real 0-0

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #15498

    @keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Those Liverpool Centre Backs look like a car crash waiting to happen. I’ll lay under 1.5 goals when odds hit 4.9

    Another good call mate... Nice work

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #15499

    @keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Those Liverpool Centre Backs look like a car crash waiting to happen. I’ll lay under 1.5 goals when odds hit 4.9

    Told ya! F*****g idiots! 😂

    Goal! 1-1

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Daniel Helps 0 on last edited by
    #15500

    @daniel-helps-0 🤣🤣🤣

    1 Reply Last reply
    0

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