The BTC Football Trading Thread
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If anybody is trading Ryans Split Stake this summer these leagues converted at minimum 80% last summer;
Brazil - Serie A
Iceland - Pepsideild
Mexico - Liga Mx
Norway - Elitserien
Sweden - Allsvenskan
USA - MLSI'm not on Ryan's filter this summer as I'm working on my own stuff which is doing just fine.
I've decided for the first time ever to only manual trade this summer but will return to automation when winter league football resumes.
There's pure gold here... Enjoy!
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One thing I would say with these Euro's is we have to pay close attention to the venue of each game. It's not usually an issue when you have one nation hosting as you know they are at home and everyone else is either away against them, or neutral when playing each other. I almost got caught out on the Italy game yesterday, I need to pay closer attention to this myself!
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@karl-mccarthy said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@martin I think the remote control car at the start had more possession than Turkey according to stats
haha genius!
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If you're not too sure about trading the Euros and you fancy trading league football these games will be worth monitoring for SHG if the following scorelines;
0-0, 1-0, 0-1 & 1-1
For a quick breakdown of colour filtering
- Light Green 1 dominant team strong attack against poorer defence
- Mid Green 2 strong attack against 1 poorer defence
- Dark Green 2 strong attack against 2 poorer defence
I see strong probability of minimum 2 goals per game
I'm at my mates for a BBQ today so prob won't be trading... Best of luck if following
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@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@karl-mccarthy said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@martin I think the remote control car at the start had more possession than Turkey according to stats
That thing is gonna collide with a player in one of these games
Can you get odds on that? -
@martin said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@matt-wood I did a podcast last night that really talks quite in depth on how I approach international football https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/podcast
Nice listen...
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@karl-mccarthy said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@martin I think the remote control car at the start had more possession than Turkey according to stats
That thing is gonna collide with a player in one of these games
le jeu avant tout
Am Yisrael Chai
When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game... -
@martin I think the remote control car at the start had more possession than Turkey according to stats
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Notable mentions for Laying Under 1.5 Goals:
12:00 - Torquay v Notts County
14:00 - Wales v Switzerland
17:00 - Denmark v Finland
20:00 - Belgium v Russiale jeu avant tout
Am Yisrael Chai
When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game... -
Lay Under 1.5 Goals - Saturday, 12th June - @daniel-Cooper
Lay Under 1.5 Goals:
23:00 - Santos v Juventude
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@martin said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Hard to tell if Italy were very impressive or Turkey are just very poor. Think it was a combo of the two.
First time they've scored 3 in one game at the Euros though. And the way they pressed isn't what you associate with the efficient Italian teams of the past.
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@darri said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@john-folan well there is that i suppose, follows on from recent convos on here about we already have some great stuff on here that actually its often best just to get onboard, the amount made from keith, me, alan, ryans splits and stuart is plenty on average every month long term, unless your beating that silly not to be on them
Yep. Alan got me onto Ryan’s split stake which I have now automated on bf bot and posted for anyone who wants it. Stuart’s I do as well. Anything that can be automated usually as I don’t always have time to watch this thread. You could literally use this thread to build yourself a good size betting bank while you learn your stuff.
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@john-folan well there is that i suppose, follows on from recent convos on here about we already have some great stuff on here that actually its often best just to get onboard, the amount made from keith, me, alan, ryans splits and stuart is plenty on average every month long term, unless your beating that silly not to be on them
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@eamonn-hogan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Nothing for tomorrow from my Under 1.5 goals list..
...BUT...
I will Lay Under 1.5 Goals in...
20:00 - Italy v Turkey
Well done Italy
FT: Catholics
3 - 0 Muslims 
I got lay odds at 3.2
Lay odds at HT were 1.85
Wasnt on this one. Had 3/3 in Ireland.
Comhghairdeas Eamonn! Iontach!
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@darri said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@chris-osborne this comp will be good for match reading, we cant rely on pre match stats too much, only the players involved, prices and inplay stats/watching the game/both, loads of traders who use this to learn how the markets behave will be in a great position going into the new season. For me this is a massive break from my own strategies in regular season mode and a return to my old trading of match reading. If your normally a trader who relies on pre match data (me) then this will allow you to hone skills for cup football.
Risk-Reward is something you have to experiment with to truly find out, we get taught safe options and odds which puts trading options into a narrow window, paper trade some ideas and then keep tracking into the new season.
Whereas I’m just going to follow Keith and you
. I haven’t the time or the inclination to learn football trading. Especially after 7 hours of scalping the horse markets. I do agree on risk vs reward though. I use a probability table Martin posted when I first joined BTC. Price vs Strike rate is literally the first thing I look at for any trade. Even lazy ones like copying you and Keith. Value is so important. A lay at 7’s is still value of the strike rate supports it. -
@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Nothing for tomorrow from my Under 1.5 goals list..
...BUT...
I will Lay Under 1.5 Goals in...
20:00 - Italy v Turkey
Well done Italy
FT: Catholics
3 - 0 Muslims I got lay odds at 3.2
Lay odds at HT were 1.85
Wasnt on this one. Had 3/3 in Ireland.
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@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Nothing for tomorrow from my Under 1.5 goals list..
...BUT...
I will Lay Under 1.5 Goals in...
20:00 - Italy v Turkey
Well done Italy
FT: Catholics
3 - 0 Muslims I got lay odds at 3.2
Lay odds at HT were 1.85
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Fair play to Italy how they have set up, after going 0-2 I thought they would shut up shop but they are still pushing till the end!!!
