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The BTC Football Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
42.9k Posts 268 Posters 3.4m Views
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by A Former User
    #14621

    @chris-osborne this comp will be good for match reading, we cant rely on pre match stats too much, only the players involved, prices and inplay stats/watching the game/both, loads of traders who use this to learn how the markets behave will be in a great position going into the new season. For me this is a massive break from my own strategies in regular season mode and a return to my old trading of match reading. If your normally a trader who relies on pre match data (me) then this will allow you to hone skills for cup football.

    Risk-Reward is something you have to experiment with to truly find out, we get taught safe options and odds which puts trading options into a narrow window, paper trade some ideas and then keep tracking into the new season.

    John FolanJ 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
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    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #14622

    @lee-woodman We're singing from the same hymn sheet - Quality over quantity

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  • ? Offline
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    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #14623

    @darri Fair enough thats a way of thinking I need to adapt too- Its the Risk v Reward that puts me off - I'll get there one day!

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  • ? Offline
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    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by A Former User
    #14624

    Lol... IPS got well hot and I went back in again... Going for another late goal with last wins green... CS 0-3

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  • ? Offline
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    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #14625

    @chris-osborne Yeah that’s what I’m doing, just using 1pt to back. I think I’m ok at it if I focus on one game, for me I tend to get too bogged down when there’s 300 games and I’m trying to monitor too many without prior filtering. It’s just getting a bit of experience and confidence on whatever games I watch

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
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    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #14626

    @chris-osborne 1.25 is my min, hence why i waited till just after HT to post, remember its about knowing what value means, if i said ill get 92% correct at those odds you would bite my hand off, if i said ill get 55% with evens people think thats better value, yet over 100 games ill stomp that , its all relative to your strike rate, yes its more advanced strat but thats why i post so other can get on, your all itching to get involved thinking its not value yet all saying a goal was inevitable. Its the same with keiths 1.5 lays and stuarts LTDs all relative to strike rate

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
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    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #14627

    @lee-woodman Same for me with Inplays wasn't quick enough but going to use this tournament to try and improve my match reading.

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by A Former User
    #14628

    @darri Yeah it was quite intense you could tell one was coming, and after the first they didn’t back off so a second seemed likely. The first was a bit early for me but odds were decent, 1.5 on about 62’ for a second. It’s slightly different for me to be purely trading on inplay but glad what I could see happening did actually happen!

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  • N Offline
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    Nick Terracciano
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #14629

    @alan-steward Winning ones.. Being inexperienced Im going to just enjoy the group stages then maybe go for unders

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  • ? Offline
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    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #14630

    @darri Was on Keith's was about to pull the trigger on the 2nd goal when they scored - 1.23 for +0.5 goals at half time is no value for me

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    wrote on last edited by
    #14631

    @Keith-Anderson you genius

    Read the first post on both threads.

    Horse Trading Resources
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/1111/john-s-horse-trading-resources

    BfBotmanager
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/2915/bfbotmanager-automation-discussion

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  • ? Offline
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    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #14632

    @chris-osborne They looked shattered in the 1st half!!!

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  • ? Offline
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    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #14633

    Turkey are abysmal Wales and Switzerland should both have a good chance against them

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
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    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #14634

    @lee-woodman yep way too much pressure from Italy, if you apply those stats both inplay and from what we saw in terms of knowing how those stats were in relation to expected goals chance, id say your strike rate will be extremely good, those international SHG odds at HT were so generous as they typically are, a lot of ticking of all my boxes for entry and off to a great start

    Looks like Me and Keith are on for a good start 💪 🤑 hope some have got on

    ? ? 2 Replies Last reply
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  • ? Offline
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    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #14635

    @darri It was never going to be 0-0 was it?!

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
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    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #14636

    @darri said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    SHG Italy vs Turkey 0-0 lots to like about the ending of the 1st half and how italy played, already 1st game in and the half time SHG odds are very generous for what we have just seen 👍

    GOAL! First half italy all over them and expected goal was getting good end of 1st half, cracking start to the Euros 👍 🤑

    Euro Points Ticker : +0.98

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
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    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #14637

    Could well be another here

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • E Offline
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    Eamonn Hogan
    wrote on last edited by
    #14638

    Had queued the shg in Italy game at 4. Last matched price 4.2.

    Trading spreadsheet
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1uQGqrD_SJLxH3URHO1lgDPqecTGXwCdTDREJIRcrkeU/edit#gid=415583658

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  • ? Offline
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    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #14639

    @alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Will be looking for a SHG in the Dundalk match tonight

    Should be good for SHG... Just took 2 quick SHG in UCD match but didn't get chance to post... Best of luck if follow 🤞

    👊 1-2

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • S Offline
    S Offline
    Steve Sandell
    replied to Steve Sandell on last edited by
    #14640

    @steve-sandell said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    SHG Dundalk v Waterford currently 1-1

    Goal 1-2

    1 Reply Last reply
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