The BTC Football Trading Thread

Richard Latimer

@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@Richard-latimer Is your Betfair screen suspended mate?

Yes...not amused haha!

Richard Latimer

I have been keeping an eye on Brest reserves and inplay stats at the point I would back over 2.5 now. Unfortunately it's suspended currently. Come on betfair ffs!!

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@Richard-latimer Is your Betfair screen suspended mate?

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@pete-smith said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Not sure if they've been cancelled. Can't find anywhere now.

I've found them under friendly matches. There's no match view or stats so giving them a miss tonight.

I've got them but that's not the point. One suspended and one where all the money has disappeared. I'm almost sure they've been cancelled.

Think one is still playing. Laid @ 1.26 and greened @ 1.42. no idea what is happening to be fair haha!

The other has been settled void.

Richard Latimer

@pete-smith said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Not sure if they've been cancelled. Can't find anywhere now.

I've found them under friendly matches. There's no match view or stats so giving them a miss tonight.

I've got them but that's not the point. One suspended and one where all the money has disappeared. I'm almost sure they've been cancelled.

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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Not sure if they've been cancelled. Can't find anywhere now.

I've found them under friendly matches. There's no match view or stats so giving them a miss tonight.

Richard Latimer

@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@Richard-Latimer Hi mate have also added a new tread you will find that I'm sure... Swedish friendlies tonight???

Prob with friendlies I think it's back o0.5 FHG then lay the 0-0 @ HT... Basically anything goes lol

That said, you often get a FHG in friendlies, just depends on price offered etc

Not sure if they've been cancelled. Can't find anywhere now.

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@Richard-Latimer Hi mate have also added a new tread you will find that I'm sure... Swedish friendlies tonight???

Prob with friendlies I think it's back o0.5 FHG then lay the 0-0 @ HT... Basically anything goes lol

That said, you often get a FHG in friendlies, just depends on price offered etc

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Hi all, sorry for the delay in uploading my spreadsheet for the Belarus Premier League.

I will also look to add first goal times scored and conceded 1st half & 2nd half... That said I don't think we should try to get too cute with this league, I don't believe it looks that consistent, only time will tell.

I have added the last 10 home and away games and obviously most of these are from last season so use as a yard stick... And some results from the newly promoted teams are from Div 1 (all identified).

I will create a thread and add some more detail as this thread can get lost with the number of posts.

Hopefully I'll have the new thread created this evening or tomorrow morning latest.

If you have any comments please let me know

Nice. Where is the sheet?

Ah sorry, didn't read properly. What do you think about the Swedish friendlies haha?

Richard Latimer

@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Hi all, sorry for the delay in uploading my spreadsheet for the Belarus Premier League.

I will also look to add first goal times scored and conceded 1st half & 2nd half... That said I don't think we should try to get too cute with this league, I don't believe it looks that consistent, only time will tell.

I have added the last 10 home and away games and obviously most of these are from last season so use as a yard stick... And some results from the newly promoted teams are from Div 1 (all identified).

I will create a thread and add some more detail as this thread can get lost with the number of posts.

Hopefully I'll have the new thread created this evening or tomorrow morning latest.

If you have any comments please let me know

Nice. Where is the sheet?

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Hi all, sorry for the delay in uploading my spreadsheet for the Belarus Premier League (Link added to my signature)

I will also look to add first goal times scored and conceded 1st half & 2nd half... That said I don't think we should try to get too cute with this league, I don't believe it looks that consistent, only time will tell.

I have added the last 10 home and away games and obviously most of these are from last season so use as a yard stick... And some results from the newly promoted teams are from Div 1 (all identified).

I will create a thread and add some more detail as this thread can get lost with the number of posts.

Hopefully I'll have the new thread created this evening or tomorrow morning latest.

If you have any comments please let me know

Richard Latimer

Anyone see the over 2.5 odds on these Swedish friendlys? Thinking got to be worth a small lay while keeping an eye on inplay stats.

One of them is about 1.2? Not a lot to lose even if there's an early goal.

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Still looking at inplay stats here. I fancy another.

Missed it but the thinking was right again.

Richard Latimer

Still looking at inplay stats here. I fancy another.

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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Theres the goal I need. May go over 2.5 @ ht as well if odds increase a bit.

yes 1-0 was nice but red card now, i greened up and is now out of the game

Richard Latimer

Theres the goal I need. May go over 2.5 @ ht as well if odds increase a bit.

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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

stats picking up according to willhill

O 1.5 SS here
1.65, 1.80 and 1,95 very low stake

Richard Latimer

stats picking up according to willhill

Richard Latimer

@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

So who's currently researching the Belarus reserve league haha??

At first glance the stats strongly suggest over 2.5 with 9/10 of the home teams fixtures going that way and 7/10 of the away teams. Of course we don't know about teams but these are strong stats.

A quick glance at the over 2.5 odds either says that somebody knows something we don't or there could be massive value.

Stats aren't detailed enough to show when the goals are scored so it's impossible to get an idea of whether these are first half teams or second half or indeed whether they spread the love.

What we can do though is to make sure the teams here have scored a good qty themselves.

home scored 2 or more in 6/10
home scored at least 1 in 8/10
Away scored scored at least 1 in 6/10

Home scored average = 1.8
Away scored average = 1
2.8 combined

Current odds:

Over 1.5 between 1.58 -1.68
Over 2.5 between 2.92 - 3.1

Anybody else have any thoughts?

Hi mate had a look at the btts to score market as I thought that could be a possiblilty but there is no liquidty only £1000 matched and the odds are only 2.12 which I don't think offers much of an edge especially as 25mins have been played. Perhaps keep an eye on the stats and enter over 1.5 goals or ltd at ht or early second half? We are scraping the barrel here I think f..k off covid19!!!!

Queuing over 2.5 @ 3.0

james everard

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

So who's currently researching the Belarus reserve league haha??

At first glance the stats strongly suggest over 2.5 with 9/10 of the home teams fixtures going that way and 7/10 of the away teams. Of course we don't know about teams but these are strong stats.

A quick glance at the over 2.5 odds either says that somebody knows something we don't or there could be massive value.

Stats aren't detailed enough to show when the goals are scored so it's impossible to get an idea of whether these are first half teams or second half or indeed whether they spread the love.

What we can do though is to make sure the teams here have scored a good qty themselves.

home scored 2 or more in 6/10
home scored at least 1 in 8/10
Away scored scored at least 1 in 6/10

Home scored average = 1.8
Away scored average = 1
2.8 combined

Current odds:

Over 1.5 between 1.58 -1.68
Over 2.5 between 2.92 - 3.1

Anybody else have any thoughts?

Hi mate had a look at the btts to score market as I thought that could be a possiblilty but there is no liquidty only £1000 matched and the odds are only 2.12 which I don't think offers much of an edge especially as 25mins have been played. Perhaps keep an eye on the stats and enter over 1.5 goals or ltd at ht or early second half? We are scraping the barrel here I think f..k off covid19!!!!