The BTC Football Trading Thread
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@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Oh dear Spurs
I lay them as there away record is shocking but even I didn’t expect that score line after 20
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@lee-woodman I thought it was bad at 3-0. Went away for 10 mins and had to double check i wasnt seeing things when i turned it back on
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Oh dear Spurs
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Now I know a lot of people don't tend to post their successful days, so I wanted to post this profit and loss sheet from yesterday showing a very strong day. Still down for the month but it’s been a good recovery. It was a particularly good day for Tom under 1.5 lays, the last week I have been more selective in taking the set and forgets because of a drawdown that we had in early April and yesterday I only took 2 of his 6 selections, off his 6 selections 5 won. And i think this just shows you how difficult it is sometimes with these set and forget you've just got to realise that it is a variance issue and not a strategy that is failing.
Another of the strategies that I’ve been doing the hasn't had a very successful month is the ELO Lay away team and I only took one of the selections yesterday and all four won. Again, it shows you that variance has to be a key factor that you need to address and accept that over the course of a month/ year you're going to have downturns and you just have to accept those downturns and keep moving forward. This is one of the things that I struggle with as a trader, and I think if I can start to accept losses more, I think I'll start to turn a corner.
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@alex-rule said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Does anyone else find that their Set and Forget strategies struggle to most on Saturdays? Always seem to break even or be down a bit across the portfolio. Not sure if there is a reason or if it's a coincidence?
I follow Martins and Tomasz 1.5 goals set and forgets and this Saturday had a full house for Martins and 1 loser from 8 on Tomasz. I use the filters on the site rather than the email so I might have slightly different selections.
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This Australian A-league is raining goals when first score wow
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@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@martin-walker Very good post. Also from this weekend with the European leagues coming to an end i am only trading from the filters if matches have something riding on it( learnt the last two seasons which cost a lot of money)
Good news is won't be long until the summer leagues have enough matches to qualify ( especially South American, usa and Japan leagues, the Scandinavian leagues will be a few weeks )agree. I didnt trade a few winners yesterday which was frustrating but previously would of gone in hard and ended up with egg on my face.
I had a lot of success with the south american leagues last summer and Japan/USA/Scandinavia always had goals.
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@martin-walker Very good post. Also from this weekend with the European leagues coming to an end i am only trading from the filters if matches have something riding on it( learnt the last two seasons which cost a lot of money)
Good news is won't be long until the summer leagues have enough matches to qualify ( especially South American, usa and Japan leagues, the Scandinavian leagues will be a few weeks ) -
My opinions on bad saturdays is that its nothing to do with the day of the week.
You can go from a few selections every day to a shortlist of 30 trades on a saturday so your margin for error or just standard losses rises dramatically.
When these losses occur its all in a small time frame so the loss hurts more. If these were spread out over the month more youd be questioning your approach or the strategy itself which is what i believe is the answer to solving bad saturdays.
Start by being stricter with your trades than any other day. Really limit yourself to only a few really strong trades. All of a sudden youve turned terrible days into maybe break even or slight profit days then go from there.
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@james-rome said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@alex-rule funny enough I was thinking this for my unders filter going to see if there's a way on excel to remove the Saturday games see if it makes a difference to p/l
Please report back and let me know what you find. I seem to love Sundays but wonder about bothering with Sat sometimes!
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@alex-rule funny enough I was thinking this for my unders filter going to see if there's a way on excel to remove the Saturday games see if it makes a difference to p/l
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@samo
We have got mail!!
my morning ritual is restored haha
Enjoy a nice trading day all
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@dan-mackinnon said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@mr-emmet-moorehouse said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Just spent 3 weeks in the Balkans- no trading. It's good to be back.
Judging by how April has gone for most of us that seems like a wise decision!
“April is the cruelest month, breeding
lilacs out of the dead land, mixing
memory and desire, stirring
dull roots with spring rain,
and also, the SHG goal market
has really gone to shite.”― T.S. Eliot, The Waste Land
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@mr-emmet-moorehouse said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Just spent 3 weeks in the Balkans- no trading. It's good to be back.
Judging by how April has gone for most of us that seems like a wise decision!
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SHG in the Lazio v Torino match. 0-1 at HT
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Just spent 3 weeks in the Balkans- no trading. It's good to be back.
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SHG in the Burnley v QPR match. 0-0 at HT
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SHG in the Plymouth v Cambridge match. 1-1 at HT
