The BTC Football Trading Thread
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@samo
I don’t even know what the last goal was disallowed for. That division had 2 0-0 draws today.
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@matthew-harrison
i had the same trade
not even a fair disision, today at the ajax match a similar situation
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Went for over 0.5 at HT. I honestly can’t stand var
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SHG in the Norrköping v Sirius match. 0-1 at HT
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SHG in the Hammarby v Degerfors match. 1-1 at HT
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SHG in the Angers SCO v Nice match. 1-1 at HT
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SHG in the West Ham United v Southampton match. 1-0 at HT
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SHG in the Sparta v Feyenoord match. 1-1 at HT
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SHG in the Celta Vigo v Almeira match. 2-2 at HT
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ik your data shows that there is a 42.52% chance is that it will be under and you can lay for 1,27 (and maybe even lower right before starting time) then you have a 41,42 % value on the lay side.
then it is a really nice trade
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nice
thank you for your reaction. i just wanted to pick your brain and try to understand your thinking proces.
I like the idee that if some thing is not working out maybe the opposit side is the way to go. Martin talks about this a loti also took a look at you dropbox exel data sheet but need more time to understand it. it is realy detailed.
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@samo said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Hi i'm curious why you have feyenoord lay over 1,5?
Not to criticise but to learn how you look at things. I don't have it pop up on any filters for the over but i think the chance it will go over is pritty big.
If i look at the lay od it is not so low that i think it is like the thomasz strategie way out of proportion so there is value on the lay side.the question aside I hope you will win the trade and make money
By the way, reason it doesn't warrant a further look for me on the over is small amounts conceded. Feyenord concede on ave 0.9 goals a game, Sparta on average 1.3 a game. Fine individually but together that's a low number.
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@samo said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Hi i'm curious why you have feyenoord lay over 1,5?
Not to criticise but to learn how you look at things. I don't have it pop up on any filters for the over but i think the chance it will go over is pritty big.
If i look at the lay od it is not so low that i think it is like the thomasz strategie way out of proportion so there is value on the lay side.the question aside I hope you will win the trade and make money
Because it's within my raw data for the over but it doesn't qualify after the fine tuning. I've since learnt that with more fine tuning there could be a huge amount to be made on the contrary choice with these as my data shows 43.5% s/r on ave odds around 4.5/1 from well over 200 selections across the last year.
Big gains, minimal risk. There is.a fair chance it will go over but @ 1.27 to lay I'll take that chance.
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Hi i'm curious why you have feyenoord lay over 1,5?
Not to criticise but to learn how you look at things. I don't have it pop up on any filters for the over but i think the chance it will go over is pritty big.
If i look at the lay od it is not so low that i think it is like the thomasz strategie way out of proportion so there is value on the lay side.the question aside I hope you will win the trade and make money
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Lay Under 1.5:
Lay Over 1.5:
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@akiva-anderson Yes mate same for me
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Finally finished fine tuning!! Lay Under 1.5:
Lay Over 1.5:
No market for Ujpest
Disappointing end to the day meaning a small loss overall.
Surprised by Waalwijk. Oh well.
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@daniel-heim-råum said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@akiva-anderson you also do any MLS or way to late? haha
Doubt I'll be awake for those matches!
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Are the stats still down?
