The BTC Football Trading Thread
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@steve-sandell said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
FHG Palmeiras v America
Hope so. It’s on my 1.5 goals filter
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FHG Palmeiras v America
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@alan-steward thanks I’m only looking for 0.5pt win anyway currently as at low stakes but will bare your suggestion in mind.
I’m ok with the occasional loss in these games which is always going to happen
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@eamonn-hogan Yep, see my response to @Chris-Osborne
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@chris-osborne Ah... Gottcha, maybe just look for 0.25pts green rather than 1pt... It's all horses for courses really and if you make more green than red it doesn't really matter what your anticipated % of green is.
That said maybe switch to 0.25pts green or even 0.5pts green if it makes you feel a tad more comfortable.
Keith has nailed his lays though and I believe they're quite profitable so long as you stick with it long enough to balance out any variance
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@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@chris-osborne 3pts??? how did you amass 3pts in a game mate
My maximum lay is 4.0 on my 1.5. I was risking 3 points also.
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@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@eamonn-hogan LOL, I seen your post and thought, hope so as it will scratch my o2.5 trade... That said not sure if you're aware but Sendai have an excellent defensive record of late... think that's 4 games not conceding more than 1 goal... Nice shout though
Cheers. A lot of attacking players by the home side. Banging the door down
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@chris-osborne said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@eamonn-hogan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@eamonn-hogan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
LCS Kahima 0-1 76 mins
1-1
98th minute. Was never in doubt
Love a late goal especially when it saves a 3pt loss
Yes mate. 16 goal attempts and 6 on target from home side, would have been disappointing if they didn’t get one.
With the over 0.5 as well that game brought up 1.96 for me.+4.9 for today as it stands
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@alan-steward It was on one of the U1.5 Lay strategies probably Keith's which i qued overnight at 3.9 which is the maximum price I will lay at.
I'm not foloowing all of them but when I am there basically set and forgets similar to Stuarts ltd at KO
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@chris-osborne 3pts??? how did you amass 3pts in a game mate
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@eamonn-hogan LOL, I seen your post and thought, hope so as it will scratch my o2.5 trade... That said not sure if you're aware but Sendai have an excellent defensive record of late... think that's 4 games not conceding more than 1 goal... Nice shout though
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@eamonn-hogan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@eamonn-hogan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
LCS Kahima 0-1 76 mins
1-1
98th minute. Was never in doubt
Love a late goal especially when it saves a 3pt loss
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@w-aburn Thanks mate... My dogs are taking me out for a seafood lunch and my kids are nowhere to be seen (they obviously haven't any diy requirements for this weekend)
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@eamonn-hogan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
LCS Kahima 0-1 76 mins
1-1
98th minute. Was never in doubt
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@ian-parry said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Hi Guys,
I'm new here and don't usually trade football so I thought I'd run this one by you guys and see if there's anything obvious I've missed.
In the outright market for the Euros currently Croatia are at $110 and Scotland are a whopping $420. The two play each other in the final group match and either one of them will win, or it will be a draw. If I back both and it's a draw I lose my money. But if one wins they will be on 4 points which will almost certainly be enough to qualify for the second round.
Now, $110 for the world cup finalists and $420 for any team seems way too big for a team in the second round, so I would expect the odds of the winning team to shorten quite a lot and provide a nice profit if I trade out. So the only risk here is a draw, which is made less likely by the fact that a draw is of no use to either team.
I know many of you are exceptional football traders so would be interested to hear your thoughts.
Interesting view... Not a trade I normally take on so not too aware of how the outcome odds may change... Maybe @Martin can help you here as I know he dabbles in this kind of thing... My personal thoughts are I'm not too sure prices will move that much to benefit risk reward, Martin will get back to you for sure as will other members who dabble in this market @Darri ?
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@ian-parry Not sure, problem is the loser is out the tournament. I backed Croatia as my outsiders at the start along with the "safer" options of Belgium and France.
Whichever team wins I'd remove the liability as soon as you can or cash out bearing in mind that you'll have a lost stake on the loser.
If its a draw both of them are out as 2 pts won't get you through as 3rd placed team
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Happy fathers day fellas.
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@Keith-Anderson LOL! bet you loved that one in Japan mate... 96th min goal!!!
It scratched my o2.5 trade so I'm happy but excellent results today
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Hi Guys,
I'm new here and don't usually trade football so I thought I'd run this one by you guys and see if there's anything obvious I've missed.
In the outright market for the Euros currently Croatia are at $110 and Scotland are a whopping $420. The two play each other in the final group match and either one of them will win, or it will be a draw. If I back both and it's a draw I lose my money. But if one wins they will be on 4 points which will almost certainly be enough to qualify for the second round.
Now, $110 for the world cup finalists and $420 for any team seems way too big for a team in the second round, so I would expect the odds of the winning team to shorten quite a lot and provide a nice profit if I trade out. So the only risk here is a draw, which is made less likely by the fact that a draw is of no use to either team.
I know many of you are exceptional football traders so would be interested to hear your thoughts.